选民李、沃利、特蕾莎和杰拉尔德。塔拉·阿南德 / NPR 摄 沃利和杰拉尔德都在2024年投了特朗普总统一票，帮助他在佐治亚州获胜。他们在2026年的投票展示了总统及其政党在今天的中期选举中面临的挑战。
Voters Lee, Wally, Theresa, and Gerald. Tara Anand for NPR Gerald and Wally both voted for President Trump in 2024, helping him with the state of Georgia. Their votes in 2026 illustrate the challenges the president and his party face in today's midterms.
杰拉尔德依然全力支持，给特朗普打了A+++。他在佐治亚州提前投票的第一天投了票，支持共和党参议员候选人迈克·柯林斯和州长候选人里克·杰克逊。
Gerald is still all in, giving Trump an A+++. He cast his ballot on the first day of early voting in Georgia for Republicans Mike Collins for Senate and Rick Jackson for governor.
“从头红到尾，”杰拉尔德说。“有个别情况只有民主党人无人竞争，我宁愿写上自己的名字，因为我拒绝把票投给民主党人。”另一方面，沃利则代表了特朗普联盟的松动。自三月以来，每次被问到时，他都给总统打F。
"Red all the way down the ballot," Gerald said. "There was one instance where there was nothing but a Democrat running unopposed and I preferred to write my own name in, because I refuse to give a Democrat my vote." Wally, on the other hand, represents a fraying of the Trump coalition. Every time he's been asked since March, he's given the president an F.
“我就是觉得他不是个有效的领导人，我认为作为美国人我们本可以做得好得多，”他说。
"I just don't think that he's an effective leader and I thought that as Americans we'd do so much better," he said.
沃利说通胀是影响他投票的首要议题，但他不太指望任何一位政客或任何一次选举能解决它。他也在佐治亚州提前投票，投给了民主党籍现任参议员乔恩·奥索夫和州长候选人凯莎·兰斯·博托姆斯——这既是反对特朗普，也是反对MAGA。他给国会里的民主党人和共和党也都打了F。
Wally said inflation is the top issue influencing his vote, but he doesn't have a lot of hope that any one politician or any one election can fix it. He also voted early in Georgia for the Democratic Senate incumbent Jon Ossoff and gubernatorial candidate Keisha Lance Bottoms — a vote against Trump and MAGA as much as anything else. He gives Democrats and Republicans in Congress an F as well.
“我觉得这些人本质上是在偷美国纳税人的钱，我们在这次中期选举需要彻底的变革，下届总统大选也需要巨大的变革，”他说。
"I think these people are essentially stealing money from the American public and we need wholesale change in this midterm, and we also need a big change for the next presidential election," he said.
沃利和杰拉尔德是NPR定期回访的一组摇摆州摇摆选民中的一员，这是一个名为“Swing Shift”的长期报道项目。NPR同意不使用他们的全名，以便他们能自由谈论政治，而无需担心个人或职业上的报复。
Wally and Gerald are among a group of swing voters in swing states NPR has been checking in with regularly as part of a long-term reporting project called Swing Shift. NPR has agreed not to use their full names so they can speak freely about politics, without fear of personal or professional repercussions.
所有“Swing Shift”选民在过去十年里都曾投过特朗普总统的票。其中大多数人就在两年前还投了他一票。
All of the Swing Shift voters have cast a ballot for President Trump over the past decade. Most of them voted for him just two years ago.
当美国人在中期选举中投票时，他们将有机会对国家的状况表达看法，此时距特朗普总统第二任期开始已近两年。
When Americans cast their votes in the midterm elections, they'll have the chance to weigh in on the state of the country, nearly two years into President Trump's second term in office.
当被要求用一个词或短语形容自己的感受时，“摇摆轮班”选民使用了“混乱”、“分裂”、“一团糟”和“可怕”等词。
Asked for one word or phrase to describe how they are feeling, Swing Shift voters used words like "messy," "divided," "disarray," and "scary. "
在选举日之前的一周，他们对特朗普执政表现的评价与全国民调大致一致：大多数人感到不满或不以为然，常常将伊朗战争和高能源价格列为主要担忧。在11名“摇摆轮班”选民中，只有两人告诉美国国家公共电台，他们对特朗普的第二任期感到满意。
In the week before Election Day, their assessment of Trump's performance on the job roughly aligns with national polls: most were unhappy or underwhelmed, often citing the war in Iran and high energy prices as major concerns. Only two of the 11 Swing Shift voters told NPR they were happy with Trump's second term.
来自宾夕法尼亚州的选民特蕾莎在2020年投票给前总统乔·拜登，2024年又投票给特朗普总统，她说她会给总统打C-。
Theresa, a Pennsylvania voter who voted for former President Joe Biden in 2020, then President Trump in 2024, said she would give the president a C-.
“因为他说战争只会持续几周。而我们知道事实并非如此，”她说。
"Because he said the war was only going to be a few weeks. And we knew that was not the case," she said.
来自内华达州的李是对特朗普感到满意的选民之一，但他仍对与伊朗的战争表示担忧。他给特朗普本任期的执政表现打了A-。“因为伊朗战争拖得有点久，”他说。
Lee from Nevada, one of the voters happy with Trump, still voiced concerns about the war with Iran. He gave Trump's performance in office this term an A-. "Because the war in Iran is taking kind of long," he said.
美国国家公共电台第一次采访李时，他正处于失业状态。如今有了新工作，他对经济的看法有所改善。他说自上次选举以来，他变得更加倾向共和党，也更加怀疑民主党人。
When NPR first spoke to Lee, he was out of work. Now, with a new job, his outlook on the economy has improved. He said he's gotten even more Republican since the last election and more suspicious of Democrats.
与此同时，同样来自内华达州、从拜登转向特朗普的选民金特罗告诉美国国家公共电台，他在今年的中期选举中正重新转向民主党。
Meanwhile, Quintero, a Biden to Trump voter, also from Nevada, told NPR he is swinging back to Democrats in this year's midterms.
这就是共和党面临的挑战：两年过去，特朗普2024年的基本盘并不能提供可靠的共和党选票。
That's the challenge for Republicans: two years in, the Trump 2024 base isn't supplying reliable Republican votes.
特朗普笼罩着每一场选战——但他本人不在选票上。尽管这次选举与所有中期选举一样，已变成对总统及其政策的公投，但他本人并不在选票上。因此问题在于，他们对特朗普及其总统任期的感受将如何转化为对众议院、参议院和州长职位的选票。
Trump hangs over every race — but he isn't on the ballot Even as this election, like all midterms, has turned into a referendum on the president and his policies, he isn't on the ballot. So the question is how their feelings about Trump and his presidency will translate to votes for the House, Senate and governors.
在宾夕法尼亚州，“摇摆班次”（Swing Shift）选民们的意见出现了分歧：其中四分之三的人在2024年投票支持了特朗普。现在，他们中有三人计划投票支持正在竞选连任的民主党籍州长乔什·夏皮罗（Josh Shapiro）。
In Pennsylvania, the Swing Shift voters are divided: three out of four voted for Trump in 2024. Now, three of them plan to vote for Democratic Gov. Josh Shapiro, who is seeking re-election.
“我进去之后可能会再次改变主意。但在目前这个阶段，我将选择我们熟悉的政治人物，也就是夏皮罗，”特蕾莎（Theresa）说。
"I might get in there and change my mind again. But at this point, it is going to be with the politician that we're familiar with, which is Shapiro," Theresa said.
在费城北部郊区，史蒂芬（Stephen）住在全国竞争最激烈的众议院选区之一——宾夕法尼亚州第一国会选区。现任共和党籍众议员布赖恩·菲茨帕特里克（Brian Fitzpatrick）此前曾挺过民主党浪潮的冲击，史蒂芬愿意继续支持他。
In the northern suburbs of Philadelphia, Stephen lives in one of the most competitive House districts in the country, Pennsylvania's 1st Congressional District. Incumbent Republican Rep. Brian Fitzpatrick has survived a Democratic wave before, and Stephen is willing to stick with him.
“我仍然会再次选举布赖恩·菲茨帕特里克，但对于其他所有人，我会说也许是民主党人，或者……也许写其他人的名字，”史蒂芬说。不过，在选票最顶端的州长竞选上，他将投票给夏皮罗。
"I would still re-elect Brian Fitzpatrick but everything else, I would say maybe Democratic or…maybe do a write in," Stephen said. At the top of the ticket, though, he's voting for Shapiro.
只有来自费城的约翰（John）表示，他在州长竞选中投票给了共和党人。他说，他觉得国家正处于“摇摇欲坠”的边缘，而且他对两党都不满意。他密切关注新闻，并看到了政治浪潮的走向。
Only John from Philadelphia said he voted for the Republican in the governor's race. He said he feels like the country is "teetering" and he isn't happy with either party. He follows the news closely and sees where the political tides are headed.
“我认为华盛顿将会有很多调查、很多关于弹劾的讨论以及大量的僵局，”约翰在谈到民主党可能在期中选举中获胜时说。“我不知道我们现在是否还能经得起这些折腾。所以我用来形容这个国家现状的词是‘焦虑’。”2026年期中选举摇摆州
"I think there will be a lot of investigations, a lot of impeachment talk and a lot of gridlock in Washington," John said of a possible Democratic win in the midterms. "And I don't know if we can afford that right now. So my word to describe the state of the country is 'anxious.'" 2026 midterms swing state