
周二,在亚特兰大东点图书馆外,一名行人走过投票标志,这一天是提前投票的第一天。
A person walks past a voting sign at the East Point Library on Tuesday, the first day of early voting, in Atlanta.
梅根·瓦纳/盖蒂图片社 在NPR应用程序中关注中期选举及更多内容 就在距离选举日还有几周之际,一些关键选民表示,对总统特朗普的深深沮丧和失望正在促使他们制定选举计划。
Megan Varner/Getty Images Follow the midterms & more in the NPR App Some key voters say deep frustration and disappointment with President Trump are motivating their election plans just weeks before Election Day.
NPR于周二晚间旁听了两个在线焦点小组,对象是12名佐治亚州选民,他们在2020年投票给总统拜登,随后在2024年支持了特朗普。
NPR observed two online focus groups Tuesday night with 12 Georgians who voted for President Biden in 2020 and then supported Trump in 2024.
几乎所有选民——12人中有11人——表示对特朗普一直以来的工作表现感到失望。10人表示后悔投票给他。
Almost every voter — 11 out of 12 — said they were disappointed with the overall job Trump has been doing. And 10 said they regret voting for him.
43岁的查尔斯·P自称为民主党人,他说道:“我一直感到失望。”(这些选民在不使用姓氏的条件下参与了讨论。)他接着说:“我只是觉得这个政府根本没有任何积极的方面。通货膨胀只增不减,战争更多了。关税根本没有起作用。现在我们的敌人似乎比以往任何时候都多。在他的任期内,我实在看不出有什么积极的成果。” 56岁的共和党人理查德·A表示,他已经失业10个月了,在他看来,在特朗普领导下,国家发展方向存在着长长的一系列问题。
"I've been disappointed," said Charles P., 43, who identified as a Democrat. (The voters participated under the condition their last names would not be used.) "I just don't feel like there's any positive to this administration at all," he continued. "Inflation has only gotten worse, there've been more wars. The tariffs haven't done anything. It seems like we have more enemies now than ever. I just don't see anything positive with his tenure." Richard A., a 56-year-old Republican, said he's been out of work for 10 months and there is a long list of problems he sees with the direction of the country under Trump.
他说:“粮食危机,挑起与伊朗的战争,通货膨胀。移民与海关执法局的移民政策让无数家庭骨肉分离,并造成了死亡……一切似乎都在走下坡路。” 这些评论与特朗普不断下滑的支持率以及共和党暗淡的中期选举前景相吻合 特朗普最近几天恢复了竞选行程,力陈自己的政绩,并呼吁共和党人在华盛顿保留控制权。
"Food crisis, starting the war with Iran, inflation," he said. "ICE immigration has just torn families apart, has caused deaths. ... It just seems like everything has gone downhill." The comments align with Trump's faltering approval rating and a darkening midterm outlook for Republicans Trump has picked up his campaign travel in recent days, touting his record and arguing for the GOP to retain control in Washington.
这些针对摇摆选民的焦点小组会议每个月都在全国各地的关键摇摆州举行。它们由讯息传达公司Engagious和市场研究招聘公司纳尔逊研究公司运营 NPR每月与他们合作,作为“摇摆选民项目”的一部分。 焦点小组并不像民调那样具有科学显著性,但它们确实能让人一窥选民的想法。在本案中,它们让我们得以一窥选民是如何决定在今年秋天支持谁的。
These focus groups with swing voters are conducted every month in battleground states across the country. They are run by messaging firm Engagious and market research recruiting firm Nelson Recruiting NPR partners with them each month as part of the Swing Voter Project Focus groups are not scientifically significant like polls, but they do provide insight into what voters are thinking. And in this case, they provide some insight into how voters are deciding who they are supporting this fall.
倒向民主党人 Engagious总裁里奇·索au主持了这些焦点小组讨论。他表示,今年首次有过半的摇摆选民表示,特朗普将影响他们的中期选举决定。
Swinging to Democrats Rich Thau, president of Engagious, moderates these focus groups. He said for the first time this year, a majority of swing voters said Trump was going to influence their midterm decisions.
索au说:“在过去的几个月里,当我们问及特朗普总统是否会影响他们的投票方式时,他们会说诸如‘嗯,我主要看候选人本身’或者‘我关注的是国内的整体环境’这样的话。”
"In previous months, when we asked people whether President Trump would influence how they vote, they would say things like, 'Well, I'm looking mainly at the candidates themselves,' or 'I'm looking at the overall sort of environment in the country,'" Thau said.
*“这个月,12人中有7人表示他会影响他们投票给民主党。这是前所未有的。”49岁的民主党人卡拉·S是这7人之一。
"This month, seven out of 12 said that he would influence them to vote for Democrats. And that was new." Karla S., a 49-year-old Democrat, was one of those seven. "I did vote Republican for 2024," she said.
她说:“我在2024年确实投票给了共和党。我已经下定决心了。我太失望了,以至于我打算一票投到底,全选民主党、民主党、民主党。因为我对这个政府的表现太失望了。”
"I made up my mind. I've been so disappointed that I'm just going to go straight and just do Democrat, Democrat, Democrat. Because I'm so disappointed with how this administration has been doing."
41岁的无党派人士塞德里克表示,他不会投票给任何与特朗普联系紧密的政治人物。
Cedric, a 41-year-old independent, said he won't be voting for any politicians that are closely aligned with Trump.
*他说:“我认为我们没有走在正确的方向上,所以我不想投票给那些不敢站出来反对他、或者会顺应他政策的候选人。我在寻找一些不同的东西。”
"I think we're not going in the right direction, so I don't want to vote for a candidate that's not going to stand up to him or they're going to go along with his policies," he said. "I'm looking for something different."
12名参与者中有10人表示,他们计划投票给佐治亚州现任民主党参议员乔恩·奥索夫。一些选民表示,他们希望他留任,正是因为他不会与特朗普同流合污。
Ten out of the 12 participants said they plan on voting for Georgia incumbent Democratic Sen. Jon Ossoff. Some voters said they wanted to keep him in office specifically because he wouldn't be aligned with Trump.
恢复秩序 索au表示,一些选民认为,如果民主党夺取国会控制权,可能会给国家——特别是经济——带来一些急需的稳定性。
Restoring order Thau said some voters felt that if Democrats take control of Congress, it could provide some needed stability to the country — and the economy, in particular.
他说:“有一种看法认为,民主党可以恢复某种程度的秩序,并且能够一定程度上控制总统正试图做的事情或一直在做的事情,其程度或许能恢复他们对经济的一些信心。”
"There was some sense that Democrats could restore some semblance of order, and that they'd be able to control a bit of what the president is trying to do or has been doing, to the point where that might restore some of their confidence in the economy," he said.
65岁的无党派选民托马斯·M表示,这就是他对民主党掌管国会的期望。
That's what Thomas M., a 65-year-old independent voter, said is his expectation of a Democratic-run Congress.
他说:“我认为,如果有一些不害怕站出来反对他的人在,就会对特朗普施加更多的制约。”
"I think there would be more controls placed on Trump with people who are not afraid to stand up to him," he said.
相比之下,索au称,如果共和党保住权力,“一些受访者告诉我们,他们认为总统将对发生的事情拥有更大的控制权,因为共和党人害怕站出来反对他。”
In contrast, if Republicans retain power, Thau said "some respondents told us they thought that the president would have even more control over what goes on because Republicans are afraid to stand up to him."
43岁的共和党人珍妮弗·W表示,她担心“特朗普将拥有完全的自由裁量权”。2026年中期选举
Jennifer W., a 43-year-old Republican, said she worries "Trump would have free rein." 2026 midterms