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民调:英国人希望民主党赢得中期选举Brits want the Democrats to win the midterms

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2026年10月30日,华盛顿特区,美国国会大厦。(弗朗西斯·钟/POLITICO via AP Images)The U.S. Capitol building is seen in Washington, D.C. on Oct. 30, 2026. (Francis Chung/POLITICO via AP Images)

伦敦——根据最新的 POLITICO 调查,英国人希望民主党在美国中期选举中获胜,并认为共和党胜利将对世界更具风险。

LONDON — Brits would like the Democrats to triumph in the U.S. midterms and believe a Republican win would be riskier for the world, according to a new POLITICO poll.

PF Global 的一项民调显示,40% 的英国人更愿意看到民主党在周二的美国选举中夺得国会控制权,而仅有 15% 认为共和党更合适。

A survey by pollster PF Global found that 40% of Britons would rather the Democrats win control of Congress in U.S. elections on Tuesday, compared to just 15% preferring the Republicans.

即使在由唐纳德·特朗普盟友尼格尔·法拉奇领导的右翼政党“改革英国”支持者中,只有 27% 认为共和党胜利更好,民主党则为 21%。

Even among Reform UK supporters — the right-wing party led by Donald Trump ally Nigel Farage — only 27% want a Republican win compared to 21% for the Democrats.

英国人认为共和党掌权会使世界局势更危险,三分之一的人认为如果美国总统所在党派掌控国会,全球事务将变得更混乱,而 17% 认为会更安定。

Brits see a Republican hold as a riskier result for the world, with a third expecting global affairs to get more chaotic if the U.S. president’s party controls Congress, compared to 17% who believe it will be less chaotic.

特朗普在英国公众中长期不受欢迎,55% 的人认为他的总统任期对英国不利,只有 17% 认为有益。他的政府在改革党支持者中略受欢迎——但 38% 的该群体仍持负面看法,27% 认为正面。欧盟更可靠的盟友PF Global 的调查表明,英国人认为许多其他国家和集团比美国更可靠。仅有 35% 的人相信美国会成为英国可靠的盟友——这一数字远低于澳大利亚(66%)、加拿大(65%)、德国(54%)、欧盟(53%)和法国(50%)。在七个选项中,受访者仅将中国视为比美国更不可信的伙伴。

Trump has long been unpopular with the British public, and 55% say his presidency has been bad for the U.K. compared to 17% who think it’s been good. His administration is slightly more popular with Reform supporters — but 38% of that cohort still view it negatively, compared to 27% who regard it positively. EU is a more ‘reliable ally’Brits see a raft of other nations and blocs as more reliable partners than the U.S., the PF Global survey suggests. Only 35% trust the U.S. to act as a reliable ally to the U.K. — a far lower figure than for Australia (66%), Canada (65%), Germany (54%), the European Union (53%) and France (50%). Of the seven options given, those surveyed only saw China as a less trusted partner than the U.S.

安迪·伯恩汉首相推动与欧盟建立更紧密关系似乎也得到了公众支持。

Prime Minister Andy Burnham’s push for a closer relationship with the EU appears to also have public support.

调查显示,超过一半的英国公众(54%)支持优先加强与欧盟的关系,而非与英联邦国家(46%)和美国(29%)。

The survey suggests more than half the British public (54%) back prioritizing strengthening relations with the EU over Commonwealth countries (46%) and the U.S. (29%).

布朗汉姆周一前往加勒比地区参加英联邦政府首脑会议(CHOGM),他正寻求与这56个成员国——大多数是英国帝国的前殖民地——建立更大的经济合作。

Burnham traveled to the Commonwealth Heads of Government Meeting (CHOGM) in the Caribbean on Monday as he seeks to build greater economic cooperation with the 56-strong association of countries — most of which are former territories of the British Empire.

在支持改革者中,只有52%将加强与美国的关系列为首要任务,而英联邦国家为48%,欧盟为34%。

Only Reform supporters put strengthening U.S. relations at the top of their list (52%) compared to 48% for Commonwealth countries and 34% for the EU.

PF Global 调查负责人塞布·瑞德表示:“特朗普总统迅速重塑了跨大西洋关系。英国人认为他们的传统盟友不再可靠,这促使他们探索其他联盟。

Seb Wride, head of polling at PF Global, said: “President Trump has rapidly reshaped the transatlantic relationship. Brits see their traditional ally as less reliable, and that is pushing them to explore other alliances.

“问题是这种情绪在特朗普之外还能延伸到何种程度。蓝色浪潮可能足以让一些英国人觉得特朗普得到了应有的结果。但修复特殊关系对中期选举来说是一个更大的要求,少数英国人对此关注度很高。”事实上,只有22%的人表示他们对中期选举了解很多,而40%的人则了解很多关于英格兰足球队队长哈里·凯恩赢得享有盛誉的金球奖的消息。

“The question is how far this sentiment extends beyond Trump. A blue wave might be enough for some Brits to feel Trump got what he deserved. But repairing the special relationship is a much bigger ask of a midterm election that few Brits are watching closely.”Indeed, just 22% said they’ve heard a lot about the midterms, compared to 40% who had heard a lot about England footballer captain Harry Kane winning the prestigious Ballon d’Or trophy for the best-performing footballer.

PF Global 在2026年10月28日至11月2日期间对2038名英国成年人进行了调查。

PF Global polled 2,038 U.K. adults between Oct. 28 and Nov. 2, 2026.

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