预测市场显示，民主党赢得参议院多数席位的几率，以及几场关键参议院竞选的胜算，持续上升，尽管民调和分析师预测得克萨斯州、爱荷华州和阿拉斯加州等州的竞争将非常胶着。
Odds of Democrats winning the Senate majority—as well as several key Senate races—continue rising on prediction markets, even as polls and analysts predict tight races in states like Texas, Iowa, and Alaska.
自2024年大选以来，预测市场声名大噪，当时它们预测特朗普总统获胜，而许多民调显示竞争激烈。但一些选举观察人士审视其数据，担心由于交易者身份未知，其预测可能被操纵。
Prediction markets have gained prominence since the 2024 election, when they predicted a victory for President Trump as many polls showed a close race. But their data has been scrutinized by some election-watchers who worry that their projections can be manipulated because the identity of traders is not known.
中期选举是对这些平台的重要考验，此前一系列冷门候选人击败赔率获胜，使这些平台处于守势。
The midterm elections are an important test for these platforms, which have been on the defensive since a string of long-shot candidates beat the odds.