
非洲政党在基础设施崩溃、电力和供水中断的背景下面临周三市政选举的审判。
African political parties that have presided over crumbling infrastructure and a collapse in electricity and water provision face a reckoning in Wednesday’s municipal elections.
投票于当地时间上午7点开始,预计于晚上9点结束,选举委员会预计将在三天内公布结果。
Voting began at 7 a.m. local time and is due to end at 9 p.m., with the electoral commission expected to release the results within three days.
超过2900万人已登记参加257个地方和区议会席位的投票,选民对管理情况的失望情绪高涨。
More than 29 million people have registered to cast ballots in the contest for seats in the 257 local and district councils, with disillusionment running high over how many are being managed.
对坑洼道路和马虎基础服务的愤怒大多指向西里尔·拉马福萨总统的非洲民族大会(ANC),该党在2024年选举中首次失去全国多数,自三十年前执政以来首次出现此局面。
Much of the anger over potholed roads and slipshod basic services have been directed against President Cyril Ramaphosa’s African National Congress, which lost its national majority in 2024 elections for the first time since it took power three decades earlier.

多项民意调查显示其支持率进一步下滑,主要竞争对手民主联盟(DA)以及前总统雅各布·祖马的乌姆孔托·韦西兹党(MKP)均有所上升。
A series of opinion polls show its support slipping further, with the Democratic Alliance, its main rival, and former President Jacob Zuma’s uMkhonto weSizwe Party, or MKP, making gains.
调查还表明,在八个最大市镇中大多数地区不太可能出现绝对胜者。以下是选举中值得关注的关键点:南非人对政治的兴趣已持续数十年下降,周三有数百万符合投票资格的选民并未前往投票。
The surveys also suggest that an outright winner is unlikely to emerge in most of the eight biggest municipalities. These are some of the key things to watch in the election: South Africans’ interest in politics has been on a downward trend for decades, and millions of those who are eligible to vote on Wednesday didn’t.
最近由人文科学研究委员会调查的成年人中,仅有17%表示对国家的民主轨迹感到满意,而68%表达了强烈不满。
Just 17% of adults recently surveyed by the Human Sciences Research Council said they were satisfied with the country’s democratic trajectory, while 68% expressed active dissatisfaction.
在对2533名登记选民进行的益普索调查中,一半受访者表示没有政党代表他们的观点,68%认为政治家不可信。
In an Ipsos poll of 2,533 registered voters, half of respondents said no party represented their views, while 68% said politicians couldn’t be trusted.
投票率低可能有利于民主联盟,该党历来在动员支持者投票方面优于对手。投资者将关注民粹主义反对党支持力度的任何上升,以及这可能对以非洲民族大会为首的执政联盟的稳定性产生的影响——该联盟一直将经济增长和创造就业置于优先位置。
A low turnout may favor the DA, which has historically been better than its opponents in getting supporters to the polls. Investors will be watching for any surge in backing for populist opposition parties and what that could mean for the stability of the ANC-led governing alliance, which has prioritized economic growth and job creation.
在一个大规模失业的国家里,市政委员会席位是令人垂涎的职位,而这场选举及其前几届选举的筹备期都因多名候选人遭暗杀而蒙上阴影。以往的投票过程往往比较平静,结果也普遍被认为可信——尽管祖马的政党曾就2024年大选结果提起法庭挑战。
In a country with mass unemployment, municipal council seats are prized positions and the runup to this election and its predecessors has been marred by the assassination of a number of candidates. Voting in the past has tended to be peaceful though, and the results have generally been regarded as credible — although Zuma’s party did challenge the outcome of the 2024 general elections in court.
最近成为仇外暴力爆发中心的东部夸祖鲁-纳塔尔省被视为潜在的引爆点,拉马福萨授权向该地区部署510名士兵,驻守至本月底,协助警方维持秩序。
The eastern KwaZulu-Natal province, which has recently been the epicenter of an outbreak of xenophobic violence, is seen as a potential flashpoint and Ramaphosa authorized the deployment of 510 soldiers to the region until the end of this month to help the police maintain order.

目前由非国大联盟执政的南非经济中心,多年来深受政治动荡和管理不善之苦,居民长期面临定期停电和停水。
Currently run by an ANC-alliance, South Africa’s economic hub has been dogged by years of political instability and mismanagement, with residents subjected to regular electricity and water outages.
民主联盟派出其前领导人海伦·齐勒竞选市长。作为该国最知名的政治家之一,她曾任开普敦市长,大多数民调显示她将获得最多选票。
The DA is fielding its former leader Helen Zille as its mayoral candidate. One of the country’s best-known politicians, she previously served as the mayor of Cape Town, and most polls show her winning the biggest share of the vote.
但她极有可能远未达到过半数,意味着该市很可能将继续由一个充满派系斗争的联盟执政。
She’s likely to fall well short of securing a majority though, meaning the city will probably continue being run by a fractious coalition.

被广泛认为是该国管理最好的城市开普敦,自2006年以来一直由民主联盟执政,该党领导人吉尔丁·希尔-刘易斯有很大机会连任市长,开启第二个五年任期。
Widely considered to be the country’s best-run city, Cape Town has been governed by the DA since 2006 and party leader Geordin Hill-Lewis stands a good chance of winning a second five-year term as mayor.
不过,该党并未稳操胜券能保住绝对多数,因为爱国联盟和自由阵线正在蚕食其支持基础。
The party isn’t assured of retaining its outright majority however, with the Patriotic Alliance and Freedom Front Plus making inroads into its support base.
此外,由于内部移民涌入和游客激增导致住房成本飙升,引发了民众反弹;纳税人也因市政税费激增而群情激愤。
There has also been a backlash over a surge in housing costs that’s largely been driven by internal migration and an influx of tourists, while ratepayers are up in arms over surging municipal levies.

祖马在2018年被非国大迫使辞职前,担任南非总统近九年,这九年丑闻不断。他后来成为乌姆孔托韦·西克韦党的推动力,该党主张国有化银行和矿山,并在2024年选举中获得了近15%的选票。
Zuma served as South Africa’s president for almost nine scandal-marred years before the ANC forced him to resign in 2018. He later became the driving force behind MKP, which favors nationalizing banks and mines and won almost 15% of the vote in the 2024 election.
祖马在其家乡夸祖鲁-纳塔尔省仍然很受欢迎,他的党在首次参加市政选举时,看起来有望赢得该省多个城镇的控制权,包括包含东部港口城市德班的埃泰克维尼。
Zuma remains popular in KwaZulu-Natal, his home province, and his party looks set to win control of a number of towns there in its maiden municipal election, including Ethekwini, which encompasses the eastern port city of Durban.
该党上个月遭遇挫折,当时84岁的祖马住院近两周,无法进行竞选活动。乌姆孔托韦·西克韦党表示,他当时因疲劳住院,现已康复。
The party suffered a setback last month, when Zuma, 84, was hospitalized for almost two weeks, preventing him from campaigning. The MKP said he was suffering from fatigue and has recovered.