共和党试图通过一次大胆的中期选区重划来保住众议院多数席位，但该计划在周二以极其戏剧性的方式失败。
Republicans tried to save their House majority with a bold wave of mid-cycle redistricting. It failed in spectacular fashion on Tuesday.
为何重要：共和党不仅未能在他们重新划定以有利于本党候选人的多个选区赢得席位，还因把支持分散而使一些共和党现任议员面临失利的危险。
Why it matters: Republicans not only fell short of winning seats in several districts they redrew to favor their candidates, they put some GOP incumbents in danger of losing by spreading their support thin.
- 田纳西州众议员斯科特·德斯贾莱斯（R-田纳西），自2010年进入国会以来大多以压倒性优势连任，但根据田纳西州务卿的非官方最终结果，他落后于民主党对手200票。
• Rep. Scott DesJarlais (R-Tenn.), who has mostly won landslide reelections since entering Congress in 2010, trailed his Democratic opponent by 200 votes, according to the Tennessee secretary of state's unofficial final results.
- 共和党州立法者在划分他的选区时，试图巩固邻近的共和党势力，导致他的选区的共和党倾向下降近20个百分点。
• Republican state legislators carved up his district in an effort to shore up neighboring Republicans, making his district nearly 20 percentage points less GOP-leaning.
当前形势：虽然共和党通过在田纳西州夺取一个民主党选区来弥补了上述损失，但他们在其他州试图稳固为共和党选区的席位大多未能实现。
State of play: While Republicans succeeded in picking up a Democratic district in Tennessee to make up for that loss, they largely failed to pick up the seats they tried to make reliably Republican in other states.
- 佛罗里达州：共和党在重新划定的四个席位中全部失利，未能击败民主党议员达伦·索托、凯西·卡斯特尔和贾里德·莫斯科维茨，也未能夺取民主党人皮娅·丹迪亚赢得的新席位。
• Florida: Republicans are set to go 0-for-4 in redistricted seats, failing to unseat Democratic Reps. Darren Soto, Kathy Castor and Jared Moskowitz, or capture a new seat that Democrat Pia Dandiya won.
- 德克萨斯州：共和党在五个被大幅重新划为有利于本党的选区中，仅有一个可能以微弱优势获胜，民主党则轻松保住了里奥格兰德河谷和圣安东尼奥地区的多个席位。
• Texas: Republicans are set to narrowly win just one of the five districts they redrew heavily in their favor, with Democrats easily hanging onto several Rio Grande Valley and San Antonio-area seats.
- 俄亥俄州：民主党议员格雷格·兰兹曼和马西·卡普图尔尽管被划入更不友好的地区，仍然保住了席位。
• Ohio: Democratic Reps. Greg Landsman and Marcy Kaptur held on despite Republicans drawing them into more hostile territory.
- 阿拉巴马州：民主党议员肖马里·菲格尔斯也将在共和党原本计划收归己有的选区中轻松获胜。
• Alabama: Democratic Rep. Shomari Figures is also set for a comfortable win in a district Republicans had planned to fall into their hands.
- 路易斯安那州：即将退休的民主党议员克莱奥·菲尔兹的选区被共和党大幅倾向于共和党，最终将进入12月的决选，对阵民主党人帕特里夏·摩尔和共和党人盖布·弗尔门特。
• Louisiana: The district of retiring Democrat Rep. Cleo Fields, which Republicans made significantly more GOP-leaning will go to a December runoff between Democrat Patricia Moore and Republican Gabe Firment.
其中最令人震惊的周六夜间的结果之一是，民主党在北卡罗来纳州取得多场看似胜利，众议院候选人在参议员当选人罗伊·库珀在选票顶端的强劲表现带动下受益。
One of the most stunning results of the night was Democrats' multiple apparent victories in North Carolina, where House candidates were boosted by Sen-elect Roy Cooper's strong performance at the top of the ballot.
- 民主党有望翻转数个席位，这些席位此前被库克政治报告评为可能甚至稳固的共和党席位，很可能击败共和党众议员艾迪生·麦克道威尔、布拉德·诺特和蒂姆·摩尔。
• Democrats are on track to flip several seats that were rated as likely or even solidly Republican by Cook Political Report, likely unseating Republican Reps. Addison McDowell, Brad Knott and Tim Moore.
- 他们也很可能击败众议员理查德·哈德森，他是全国共和党国会委员会主席。众议院规则委员会主席弗吉尼亚·福克斯落后约100票。
• They are also likely to unseat Rep. Richard Hudson, the chair of the National Republican Congressional Committee. Virginia Foxx, who chairs the House Rules Committee, is behind by about 100 votes.
- 总的来说，该州众议院代表团可能从共和党10比4的多数变为民主党9比5的多数。
• In all, the state's House delegation could go from a 10-4 Republican majority to a 9-5 Democratic one.
深层解读：北卡罗来纳州的结果是2024年残酷选区划分的产物，当时共和党州立法者稀释了大多数稳固的共和党选区，以削弱几名众议院民主党人。
Between the lines: The North Carolina result is the product of a brutal 2024 gerrymander in which GOP state legislators diluted most solidly Republican districts to draw out several House Democrats.
- 他们去年又重新划分了选区，结果却将民主党众议员唐·戴维斯置于更不利的选区。
• They redistricted again last year, only to put Democratic Rep. Don Davis in more hostile territory.
- 共和党众议员格雷格·墨菲——其选区被塞入更多民主党选民，以使戴维斯的选区更红——周二晚上险胜。
• GOP Rep. Greg Murphy — whose district was packed with more Democratic voters to make Davis' seat redder — barely hung on Tuesday night.
- 2024年被划出选区的前民主党众议员凯西·曼宁告诉《axios》，周二的结果“绝对”是共和党重新划分选区适得其反的结果。
• Former Democratic Rep. Kathy Manning, who was one of the Democrats drawn out in 2024, told Axios that Tuesday's result was "absolutely" a result of GOP redistricting backfiring.
核心结论：民主党全国委员会副主席夏斯蒂·康拉德告诉《axios》，共和党“试图违反法律，违背这些规范，进行大规模的威权主义权力夺取”。
The bottom line: Republicans "tried to break the laws and go against these norms in your massive authoritarian power grab," DNC vice chair Shasti Conrad told Axios.
- “结果如何？”
• "How did that turn out?"