
从愤怒的选民到不受欢迎的总统,以下是传统共和党选区的美国人转向民主党的原因。作者:杰克·拉帕姆民主党在美国中期选举中大获全胜,夺得了国会的控制权。
From angry voters to an unpopular president, here is why Americans in traditional Republican areas turned to Democrats. By Jake Lapham The Democrats have swept to victory in the US midterm elections, taking control of Congress.
尽管在这些选举中,执政党通常会经历一个糟糕的夜晚,但共和党失败的规模被视为对唐纳德·特朗普入主白宫两年的强烈否定。
While the incumbent president's party generally tends to have a bad night in these elections, the scale of the Republican defeat is being viewed as a resounding rejection of Donald Trump's two years in the White House.
从愤怒的选民到不受欢迎的总统,以下是共和党失去如此多席位的五个原因。
From angry voters to an unpopular president, here are five reasons why the Republicans lost so many seats.
- 生活成本飙升从东海岸到西海岸,全美各地的选民一直在艰难应对基本生活必需品成本的飙升。在关键选战中,这种愤怒在基层显而易见。
- Soaring cost of living From coast to coast, voters across the US have been grappling with the soaring cost of essentials. That anger was palpable on the ground in key races.
“汽油价格、食品杂货价格,什么都在涨,”一位北卡罗来纳州选民在选举前告诉BBC,并补充说她在这次选举中把票从共和党转投给了民主党。
"Gas prices, grocery prices, everything's going up," one North Carolina voter told the BBC ahead of the elections, adding that she had switched her vote from Republican to Democratic this election.
截至9月的一年里,物价上涨了3.7%,受燃料和能源价格推动而走高。根据政府数据,10月初美国柴油平均零售价略低于9月份创下的每加仑6.52美元(4.83英镑)的纪录。
Prices increased by 3.7% in the year to September, driven higher by fuel and energy prices. Average US retail diesel prices in early October were just shy of the record of $6.52 (£4.83) per gallon seen in September, according to government data.
根据选民民调数据,近八成选民(79%)表示,通胀在过去一年给他们及其家庭造成了严重或中度的困难。
Almost eight in 10 voters (79%) said inflation had caused them and their family a severe or moderate hardship in the past year, according to data from voter polls.
超过六成受访者将此事归咎于特朗普,称他们认为物价高于往常是总统政策所致。
And more than six in 10 respondents laid the blame for that at the feet of Trump, saying they thought higher than usual prices were because of the president's policies.
- 不受欢迎的伊朗战争物价飙升的一个主要因素是美国和以色列于2月对伊朗发动的战争。
- Unpopular Iran war A major factor in surging prices has been the war with Iran which the US and Israel launched in February.
德黑兰为报复而实际上关闭了霍尔木兹海峡,扼住了全球石油和液化天然气(LNG)运输的关键通道,此后燃料价格随即飙升。自那以后,美国选民一直在加油站为此付出代价。
Fuel prices then shot up after Tehran effectively closed the Strait of Hormuz in retaliation, strangling a key artery for the passage of the world's oil and liquefied natural gas (LNG). US voters have been paying the price at the petrol pump ever since.
这场战争已表明在大多数美国人中普遍不受欢迎。对MAGA派共和党人来说,这也像是特朗普“美国优先”竞选议程中一个被打破的承诺——他曾承诺不会再发动战争。
The war has proved broadly unpopular with most Americans. For Maga Republicans it also felt like a broken promise in Trump's America First campaign agenda in which he pledged there would be no more wars.
在一项选民民调中,约六成(63%)受访者表示,美国对伊朗采取军事行动是错误决定。
Around six in 10 (63%) of those asked in a voter poll said the US made the wrong decision to take military action against Iran.
另外,四分之三的选民(74%)表示,这场冲突是他们投票选举国会时的一个关键或重要因素。
Separately, three-quarters of voters (74%) said the conflict was a crucial or major factor in their vote for Congress.
选举次日早晨,特朗普承认这场战争在败选中有一定影响,但他在福克斯新闻的一次采访中坚称,他别无选择,只能介入以阻止伊朗获得核武器。
The morning after the election, Trump conceded the war had played a role in the defeat but insisted in an interview on Fox that he had no choice but to intervene to stop Iran getting a nuclear weapon.

直播:关注结果:来自全国各地的最新消息 反应:欣喜若狂的场面和历史性时刻 指南:什么是美国中期选举?
LIVE: Follow RESULTS: The latest from around the country REACTION: Ecstatic scenes and historic moments GUIDE: What are the US midterms?
- 民主党纪律严明的信息传达这场民主党浪潮的规模和广度之所以成为可能,是因为一些强有力的候选人给人真诚可信的印象,尤其是在传统的共和党腹地。他们坚持传达关于生活成本和医疗保健可及性的纪律严明信息。
- Disciplined message from Democrats The scale and breadth of this Democratic wave was made possible by some strong candidates who came across as authentic, especially in traditional Republican heartlands. They stuck to a disciplined message about the cost of living and healthcare access.
前教师詹姆斯·塔拉里科和牧师亚当·汉密尔顿还以各自的方式谈论自己的信仰,分别在得克萨斯州和堪萨斯州引起共鸣。
Former teacher James Talarico and pastor Adam Hamilton also talked about their faith in a way that struck a chord in Texas and Kansas respectively.
在南卡罗来纳州,民主党人安妮·安德鲁斯爆冷获胜。作为一名前儿科医生,她对医疗保健可负担性的关注在一个许多人认为医疗体系已失灵的国家引起共鸣。
In South Carolina, Democrat Annie Andrews pulled off a shock upset. A former paediatrician, her focus on health care affordability resonated in a country where many see the system as broken.
前公共卫生官员阿卜杜勒·埃尔-赛义德在密歇根州获胜,为该党保住这一席位,他把“让金钱远离政治,让金钱进入你的口袋”作为关键口号。
Former public health official Abdul El-Sayed, who triumphed in Michigan to keep that seat Democratic, made getting "money out of politics, money in your pocket" a key slogan.
在佐治亚州赢得连任的民主党参议员乔恩·奥索夫将生活成本和腐败作为核心信息。这位39岁的候选人在特朗普两次赢下的州轻松获胜,只会助长有关他2028年竞选总统的传言。
Democratic Senator Jon Ossoff, who won re-election in Georgia, made the cost of living and corruption a central message. The 39-year-old's comfortable victory in a state Trump won twice will only fuel rumours of a 2028 presidential run.
就连特朗普本人也称赞了民主党人,他对福克斯新闻说他们“干得不错”。
Even Trump himself praised the Democrats, telling Fox News they "did a good job".
相反,得克萨斯州的肯·帕克斯顿等一些共和党候选人则因竞选不力、未能充分关注选民关切而受到批评。
Conversely, some Republican candidates like Ken Paxton in Texas were criticised for running poor campaigns that were not focused enough on voters' concerns.

- 特朗普的不受欢迎拖累共和党选民最不满的两个问题——飞涨的物价和伊朗战争——都与总统直接相关。
- Trump's unpopularity a drag on Republicans Two of the issues voters were most unhappy with - rocketing prices and the Iran War - were directly linked to the president.
他的支持率甚至在共和党选民中也有所下降,这使得一些在2024年支持他的州尤其脆弱。他敦促选民想象他本人也在选票上,以图激发支持者的热情。
His approval ratings had even fallen among Republican voters, which made some of these states which backed him in 2024 especially vulnerable. He urged voters to imagine he was on the ballot in an effort to galvanise his supporters.
但在作为美国政治核心人物十多年后,一些人认为这些结果证明特朗普品牌的魅力可能正在消退。
But after more than a decade as the central figure in American politics, some see these results as evidence that the glitz may be wearing off Trump's brand.
在民众愤怒日益加剧的背景下,让自己成为共和党竞选的核心是有风险的,而且似乎适得其反。
Against a backdrop of increasing anger, making himself the focus of the Republican campaign was risky and appears to have backfired.
在投票前的几个月里,民调显示许多美国人希望特朗普更多地关注他们对飞涨物价的担忧。
In the months leading up to the vote, polling indicated that many Americans wanted Trump to focus more on their concerns about rocketing prices.
在周一于华盛顿特区发表的最后一场竞选演讲中,他长篇大论地谈到了自己颇具争议的倒影池翻修工程——那池子就在他身后。
In his final campaign speech on Monday in Washington DC, he talked at length about his controversial renovation project of the Reflecting Pool behind him.
- 拉美裔和黑人选民再次转向两年前,部分拉美裔和黑人选民转向共和党,帮助特朗普取得了决定性胜利。在这次中期选举中,这一趋势似乎发生了逆转。
- Hispanic and black voters shift again Two years ago a move towards Republicans among some Hispanic and black voters helped Trump secure a decisive win. That seems to have reversed in these midterms.
民主党赢得了得克萨斯州与墨西哥边境沿线拉美裔占绝大多数的国会选区的全部三个众议院席位。
Democrats claimed all three House races in the overwhelmingly Hispanic congressional districts along the Texas-Mexico border.
据《纽约时报》分析,与2024年总统选举相比,拉美裔占多数的县对共和党参议院候选人的支持率下降了超过22个百分点。
Majority-Hispanic counties moved more than 22 percentage points against Republican Senate candidates, compared with the 2024 presidential election, according to a New York Times analysis.
数据记者杰夫·阿德尔森表示,这一变化幅度超过了全国任何其他主要人口群体。
The change is more than any other major demographic group in the country, data reporter Jeff Adelson said.
这一转变正值民众对移民执法普遍愤怒之际。皮尤研究中心的数据显示,多数(56%)美国人对移民和海关执法局持负面看法。种族比例较高的县在参议院选举中明显更倾向民主党候选人。
The shift comes amid widespread anger at immigration enforcement, with a majority (56%) of Americans saying they have an unfavourable opinion of ICE, according to the Pew Research Center. Counties with a black majority also moved significantly towards Democratic candidates in Senate races.
密西西比州的参议院选举处于胶着状态,该州黑人选民占比约为37%,是美国黑人选民比例最高的州。
The Senate race is on a knife-edge in Mississippi, which has the largest share of black voters of any US state with around 37%.
如果Scott Colom能够胜出,他将成为自1982年以来密西西比州首位当选参议员的民主党人。
If Scott Colom can win, he would become the first Democrat elected to the Senate in Mississippi since 1982.