《卫报》委托哈里斯民调在大选前进行的民意调查显示，选民究竟有多愤怒，并指出共和党惨败的一个关键原因：来自农村选民的支持率暴跌，而农村选民曾是唐纳德·特朗普基本盘的关键选民群体。
Polling conducted by the Harris Poll for the Guardian before the election shows just how angry voters were and points to one key reason Republicans lost so badly: plummeting support from rural voters, once a key constituency of Donald Trump's base.
今夏，95%的美国人表示认为存在负担能力危机，特别是由于汽油和食品杂货价格飙升。到了10月，61%的选民认为国家正经历衰退，尽管从技术层面上讲并非如此。
Over the summer, 95% of Americans indicated they believed there was an affordability crisis particularly because of steep gas and grocery prices. By October, 61% of voters believed the country was experiencing a recession, even though technically it wasn't.
很难忽视通胀对本次大选的影响。关键选民数月来对已成常态的现状表达了深深的不满。缅因州的伐木工人表示，对加拿大的关税正在损害他们本已受挫的行业。得克萨斯州单程通勤需三小时的司机们每月在汽油上花费400美元。中西部各地的农民表示，柴油价格上涨加剧了本已因干旱而艰难的生长季。
It's hard to ignore the impact inflation has had on this election. Key voters had expressed for months deep discontent with what had become the status quo. Loggers in Maine said that tariffs against Canada were hurting their already-battered industry. Drivers in Texas facing three-hour commutes to work were spending $400 a month on gas. Farmers across the midwest said diesel prices were exacerbating a growing season beleaguered by drought.
近期数据显示，这种逆转不仅出现在民主党人和独立人士身上——自特朗普重返白宫以来，他们对经济持悲观看法——也出现在一些共和党人身上。
Recent data showed the flip wasn't just seen among Democrats and independents, who have held pessimistic views on the economy since Trump returned to office, but among some Republicans, too.
2月，在伊朗战争爆发前夕，49%的共和党人认为经济正在好转。到了10月，这一比例将降至仅28%。
In February, right before the war in Iran began, 49% of Republicans said the economy was getting better. By October, that number would drop to just 28%.
这种痛苦在农村选民身上显得尤为严重，他们长期被视为特朗普的核心基本盘。
The pain seemed especially acute for rural voters, long considered a core base for Trump.
这位总统通过将自己包装为一位将在华盛顿做局外人的成功商人，赢得了许多支持者。但汽油和柴油价格飙升，在那些长途驾驶是日常生活一部分的地区，成了一个主要痛点。
The president had gained many of his supporters by angling himself as a successful businessman who would be an outsider in Washington. But soaring gas and diesel prices have been a major pain point in parts of the country where driving long distances is an everyday part of life.
与城市和郊区选民相比，农村选民更有可能表示汽油价格损害了他们的财务状况，他们处于经济“生存模式”，或者一笔意外账单就可能让他们陷入困境。他们也稍微更有可能认为共和党在腐败问题上比民主党更严重，即当选官员利用职权谋取私人经济利益。
Rural voters were much more likely to say that gas prices were hurting their finances and that they were in economic "survival mode", or that one surprise bill could sink them, compared with their urban and suburban counterparts. They were also slightly more likely to that Republicans had a bigger problem with corruption, or elected officials using their position for personal financial gain, than Democrats.
在中期选举前一个月，表示经济正在恶化的农村美国人比例自特朗普就职以来上升了17%，而郊区选民仅上升5%，城市选民上升3%。
In the month before the midterms, the number of rural Americans who said the economy was getting worse climbed 17% since Trump took office, compared with a 5% increase for those in the suburbs and a 3% jump among urban voters.
然而，在中期选举前夕，特朗普试图用言语创造另一种现实，声称汽油价格正在下降，工资在上涨，美国与其他国家的贸易从未如此强劲。
Yet on the eve of the midterm elections, Trump was trying to speak a different reality into existence, one where gas prices were going down, wages were rising and the US's trade with other countries had never been stronger.
“我走遍全国各地，在过去两个半周举行的所有集会上发表演讲，美国已经准备好了。他们准备好去投票了，”特朗普周一在林肯纪念堂倒影池前表示。“我希望他们准备好做正确的事。”但美国人面临的现实截然不同，美国人也做出了相应的回应。从缅因州到得克萨斯州的关键竞选中，共和党在势均力敌的选战中落败，民主党将在未来两年控制国会。
"I've traveled all across the country, spoken at all of these rallies I've done over the last two and a half weeks, and America is ready to go. They're ready to vote," Trump said in front of the Lincoln Memorial's reflecting pool on Monday. "I hope they're ready to do the right thing." But the reality that Americans have been facing is vastly different, and Americans responded accordingly. Republicans in key races from Maine to Texas lost their toss-up races on Tuesday, and Democrats will have control of Congress for the next two years.
民主党承诺将全力解决成为选举焦点的问题：特朗普政府残酷的移民打压、白宫腐败、不断上涨的医疗成本以及经济问题，特别是物价上涨。
Democrats have promised they will be busy trying to address the issues that were at the forefront of the election: the Trump administration's brutal immigration crackdown, corruption in the White House, rising healthcare costs and the economy, specifically higher prices.
共和党刚开始审视物价对选举结果的影响。万斯周三表示，失利是“伊朗战争的代价”。“任何关于我们何去何从的诚实对话都必须从这一点开始，”万斯说。
Republicans are just starting to take stock of the role prices had on the election outcome. JD Vance on Wednesday said the loss was the "cost to pay" for the Iran war. "Any honest conversation about where we go from here must start there," Vance said.
尽管中期选举对民主党而言是一场“蓝色海啸”，但选前民调显示，选民对该党应对负担能力问题的能力仍存疑虑。在大选前一个月，当被问及哪个党派有解决负担能力危机的方案时，34% 的受访者表示两党均无方案。民主党（27%）略微领先共和党（24%），但许多选民似乎不确定任何党派都能解决这些切身经济问题。
As much as the midterms were a "blue-nami" for Democrats, pre-midterm polls showed voters were still unsure about the party's ability to deal with affordability. When asked which party had the solution to the affordability crisis a month before the election, 34% said that neither party had a solution. Democrats (27%) slightly edged out Republicans (24%), but many voters seemed unsure whether any party could deal with these pocketbook issues.
2024 年总统大选前进行的类似民调显示，关键的独立选民对经济前景同样感到悲观。通胀在 2022 年触及一代人以来的高点，许多美国人认为拜登和民主党做得远远不够。
Similar polling conducted before the 2024 presidential election showed that key independent voters were feeling just as pessimistic about the economy. Inflation had reached a generational high in 2022, and many Americans felt that Biden and Democrats weren't doing enough.
特朗普执政期间物价上涨，尤其是伊朗战争爆发后，情况只会更糟。但许多选民已承受多年的经济倦怠，并将在未来几年期待看到实实在在的成果。
Price increases under Trump, particularly after the Iran war, have only gotten worse. But many voters are dealing with years of economic burnout and will expect results in the coming years.