字号·· | 护眼
纽约时报

民主党如何在2026年选举中横扫得州:看看哪些共和党县较2024年翻盘How Democrats Swept Texas in the 2026 Elections: See Which G.O.P. Counties Flipped From 2024

点「原文对照」整页切到原文,或双击某段只看那段的原文。

这场选举的意义不仅在于詹姆斯·塔拉里科赢得美国参议院席位,或吉娜·希诺霍萨击败了连任三届的州长格雷格·阿博特。从上到下,民主党席卷德克萨斯州,赢得所有主要州级职位,还夺得了德克萨斯州众议院的控制权。

It wasn’t just that James Talarico won the U.S. Senate race or that Gina Hinojosa defeated Greg Abbott, the three-term governor. Up and down the ballot, Democrats swept Texas, winning all of the top statewide offices. They also flipped the Texas House of Representatives.

德克萨斯州每个县都向左转,投票支持民主党的比例比两年前特朗普总统参选时更高。深红的东德克萨斯松林地区杰斐逊县、位于潘汉德尔以南的拉博克县,以及被誉为德州石油天然气中心的佩米安盆地米德兰县,都向左转移。休斯顿和达拉斯以外的郊区县也是如此。即便是已经是民主党势力中心的大城市,也取得了进一步的进展。

Every county in Texas shifted left, voting more Democratic than two years ago when President Trump was on the ballot. Rural counties like Jefferson in the Piney Woods region of deep red East Texas, Lubbock just south of the Panhandle and Midland in the Permian Basin, known as the epicenter of Texas oil and gas, all moved to the left. So did suburban counties outside Houston and Dallas. Even big cities, already centers of Democratic power, saw further gains.

共和党州议员为重新绘制更有利选区而进行的选区重划,反而在民主党浪潮选举中让本党候选人处境岌岌可危。民主党赢得了共和党重新划定以利于自己的五个选区中的四个,还扭转了共和党在2024年边境地区取得的许多进展。各县投票情况在美国参议院选举中,德克萨斯州每一个县都向民主党转移。总体而言,民主党赢得了28个在2024年投给特朗普先生的县。

Redistricting efforts undertaken by Republican state legislators to redraw a more favorable map left their own candidates vulnerable in a Democratic wave election. Democrats won four of the five districts that Republicans had redrawn to favor them, and they also reversed many of the gains Republicans made along the border in 2024. How counties voted In the race for U.S. Senate, every single county in Texas shifted toward Democrats. In total, Democrats won 28 counties that voted for Mr. Trump in 2024.

以下是今年易手县在近期选举中的投票情况:今晚最显著的转变之一发生在北德克萨斯,民主党翻转了几个长期被视为共和党势力中心的县。肯·帕克顿的老巢科林县,曾被认为铁板一块的红色堡垒,被称为“帕克顿之乡”,如今已彻底变蓝。

Here is a look at how counties that flipped this year voted in recent elections: One of the most notable shifts of the night happened in North Texas, where Democrats flipped several counties long considered centers of Republican power. Ken Paxton’s home base, Collin County, which was once considered so solidly red that it was called “Paxton country,” turned solidly blue.

附近的登顿县也易手了。沃思堡所在的塔兰特县,2018年变蓝,2024年又变红。该县今年出现明显回归民主党的趋势,自2024年以来转向了24个百分点。

Nearby Denton County also flipped. Tarrant County, the home of Fort Worth, went blue in 2018 and red in 2024. It saw a notable swing back toward Democrats — moving 24 points since 2024.

塔拉里科的大本营——他在2018年翻转了一个德克萨斯州众议院红色席位首次当选的地方——也变蓝了。位于奥斯汀附近的德克萨斯州中部威廉森县向民主党方向摆动了22个百分点。

Mr. Talarico’s home base, where he was first elected by flipping a red Texas House seat in 2018, also went blue. Williamson County in Central Texas, near Austin, swung 22 points in the Democrat’s direction.

共和党一直依赖德克萨斯州农村地区维持其执政地位。但今年,每一个农村县都向左倾斜,其中13个从红变蓝。除一个县外,其余翻转的县都是西班牙裔占多数,包括美墨边境沿线里奥格兰德河谷的两个农村县。

Republicans have always depended on rural Texas to keep them in power. But this year, every single rural county shifted to the left and 13 flipped from red to blue. All but one of those flipped counties are majority Hispanic, including the two rural counties in the Rio Grande Valley along the U.S.-Mexico border.

唯一的例外是布鲁斯特县,这是该州面积最大的县,也是大弯曲国家公园所在地。这个深受喜爱的公园以其苍凉的沙漠美景著称,今年大选期间成为焦点,因为特朗普政府试图清理土地并竖立屏障以执行其移民政策。那里的选民对这种侵占反应不佳。他们在投票箱中表达了愤怒,将选票从共和党投给了民主党。

The one outlier was Brewster County, geographically the largest in the state and the home to Big Bend National Park. The beloved park, with its stark desert beauty, became a flashpoint in the election this year after the Trump administration tried to clear land and erect barriers to enforce its immigration policies. Voters there did not take kindly to the encroachment. They made their anger known at the ballot box, switching their votes from R to D.

各群体投票情况的差异 民主党在全州几乎所有人口群体中都取得了进展。这一分析基于《纽约时报》选民趋势的初步数据,该数据按年龄、种族、教育程度和性别估算每个州2026年大选的结果。

How different groups voted Democrats made gains with nearly every demographic group around the state. This analysis was based on preliminary data from Times Voter Trends, which estimated the results of the 2026 election by age, race, education and gender for every state.

年轻选民急剧背离共和党——以44个百分点的优势支持民主党——此前他们在2024年曾向特朗普方向倾斜。亚裔选民也大幅转向民主党。2026年,一些共和党成员将该州不断壮大的南亚社区妖魔化,包括警告伊斯兰教法的威胁。

Young voters turned sharply away from Republicans — favoring Democrats by 44 points — after having drifted in the direction of Mr. Trump in 2024. Asian voters also moved dramatically toward Democrats. In 2026, some Republican Party members made the state’s swelling South Asian community a boogeyman, including warning of sharia law.

但这种转变对得克萨斯州的影响最为深远,那里的西班牙裔居民是该州最大的人口群体。共和党曾希望得克萨斯州的拉美裔选民正成为保守派联盟中持久的一部分,因为特朗普在得克萨斯州的西班牙裔占多数的选区获胜。他的成功促使共和党重新划分国会选区,假设西班牙裔的支持将会持续。

But the shift among Latino voters was most consequential for Texas, where Hispanic residents represent the state’s largest demographic group. Republicans had hoped that Texas Latinos were becoming a durable part of the conservative coalition after Mr. Trump won in Hispanic-majority districts across Texas. His success led Republicans to redraw congressional districts, assuming that Hispanic support would continue.

相反,民主党在周二以42个百分点的优势赢得了西班牙裔选民的支持。

Instead, Democrats won Hispanic voters by 42 points on Tuesday.

阅读媒体原文 ↗