即将在土耳其举行的联合国气候峰会COP31提供了一个机会，将气候智能的进步与防备工作及预警系统相结合，欧洲中期天气预报中心（ECMWF）总干事周四表示。
The upcoming UN climate summit COP31 in Türkiye offers an opportunity to connect advances in climate intelligence with preparedness and early warning systems, the director-general of the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) said Thursday.
在欧盟气候机构“哥白尼”组织的视频新闻发布会上，弗洛里安·帕彭贝格尔表示，人工智能（AI）的进步正在显著提升预报能力，并使针对热浪和风暴的更早预警成为可能。
Speaking at a virtual press conference organized by the EU's climate agency Copernicus, Florian Pappenberger said advances in artificial intelligence (AI) are significantly improving forecasting capabilities and enabling earlier warnings for heat waves and storms.
“真正起决定性作用的是人们采取决策，”他说，并强调改进的预测必须伴随当局和应急规划者的有效行动。
"The real difference is made when people take decisions," he said, stressing that improved predictions must be accompanied by effective action from authorities and emergency planners.
帕彭贝格尔表示，欧洲中期天气预报中心正致力于让国家气象和水文部门更有信心地使用新兴技术，使其能够发布更早的预警，并支持对极端天气事件做出及时反应。
Pappenberger said ECMWF is working to equip national meteorological and hydrological services with greater confidence to use emerging technologies, enabling them to issue earlier warnings and support timely responses to extreme weather events.
他指出，AI驱动的预报能更快、更熟练地提供结果，有助于改善早期预警能力，同时强调并行评估这两种方法的重要性。
He noted that AI-powered forecasting can deliver results more quickly and with greater skill, helping improve early warning capabilities, while emphasizing the importance of evaluating both approaches in parallel.
帕彭贝格尔还强调了国际合作的重要性，表示欧洲中期天气预报中心与35个国家合作开发预报能力。
Pappenberger also underlined the importance of international cooperation, saying that ECMWF develops forecasting capabilities in partnership with 35 countries.
“我认为，在COP31上，真正的机会在于将这种气候智能与防备工作相连接，这又回溯到‘全民预警’，并真正要记住，更好的预测只有在我们做出更好的决策时才有意义，”他说。
"I think, at COP31, it really sort of the opportunity is to connect this climate intelligence with preparedness, which sort of links back to the early warning for all, and really just remember that better predictions really only matter if we do better decisions," he said.
与此同时，欧洲中期天气预报中心欧盟事务主任文森特-亨利·佩希表示，气候记录的累积，包括异常的大气和海洋高温以及强烈的野火，提供了气候正在变化的切实证据。
Meanwhile, Vincent-Henri Peuch, ECMWF's director for EU engagement, said the accumulation of climate records, including exceptional atmospheric and ocean heat and intense wildfires, provides tangible evidence that the climate is changing.
他警告说，这些发展正使人类、生态系统和经济面临显著更高的气候相关风险，凸显了采取紧急行动的必要性。
He warned that these developments are exposing people, ecosystems, and economies to significantly higher climate-related risks, reinforcing the need for urgent global action.
普埃什将气候行动描述为第三十一届缔约方大会的重中之重，他说，气候纪录不仅应作为警钟，更应作为行动的号召。
Describing climate action as a key priority for COP31, Peuch said climate records should serve not only as a wake-up call but also as a call to action.
第三十一届缔约方大会将于11月9日至20日在土耳其南部城市安塔利亚举行，届时将汇聚世界领导人、专家和民间社会代表，共同探讨应对气候变化的国际努力。大会的领导人峰会定于11月11日至12日举行。
COP31 will take place in the southern Turkish city of Antalya on Nov. 9-20, bringing together world leaders, experts and civil society representatives to discuss international efforts to address climate change. The conference's leaders' summit is scheduled for Nov. 11-12.