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新西兰大选前最新民调:工党支持率上升 结果仍难预测Labour gains in latest New Zealand poll before vote, results remain too close to call

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2026年9月27日,新西兰工党领袖克里斯·希普金斯在奥克兰举行的新西兰工党竞选活动启动仪式上向一名支持者致意,其伴侣托妮·格雷站在他身旁。路透社/大卫·罗兰/资料照片Labour Party Leader Chris Hipkins greets a supporter as his partner, Toni Grace, stands near him at the New Zealand Labour Party's election campaign launch event in Auckland, New Zealand, September 27, 2026. REUTERS/David Rowland/File Photo

新西兰反对党工党在周五发布的最新《邮报》-淡水战略民调中略微领先,但民调仍显示大选结果没有明显定论。

New Zealand's opposition Labour Party gained slightly in the latest the Post-Freshwater Strategy poll released on Friday, but polling still shows no clear outcome for the election.

新西兰大选将于周六举行,投票于下午7点(格林威治标准时间0600)结束,结果预计随后不久开始公布。该民调由基础设施新西兰合作开展,显示工党支持率上升2个百分点至30.7%,而执政党国家党下降1.2个百分点至26.4%。新西兰优先党为12%,行动党为9.8%,毛利党为2%。机会党为5.1%,略高于进入议会的门槛。如果该党进入议会,则很可能扮演“关键少数”角色。提前投票自10月26日开始。新西兰选举委员会数据显示,截至周三结束,已有144万人投票。

New Zealand's general election will be held on Saturday with voting closing at 7 p.m. (0600 GMT) and results expected to start coming in soon after The poll, conducted with Infrastructure New Zealand, put Labour up 2 percentage points at 30.7%, compared with the governing National down 1.2 points at 26.4%. New Zealand First was at 12%, ACT was at 9.8%, and Te Pati Maori sat at 2% The Opportunity Party was at 5.1%, just above the threshold for representation in parliament. If it gets into parliament then it is likely to hold the role of kingmaker Advance voting has been underway since October 26. New Zealand Electoral Commission data showed 1.44 million people had voted as of the end of Wednesday

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