
得克萨斯州民主党人本周震惊世界——而这仅仅是个开始。在多个周期中高估获胜机会后,他们完成了对所有全州性职位的全面征服并夺取了州议会控制权,在一夜之间颠覆了共和党的精神家园。
Texas Democrats stunned the world this week—and they are only getting started. After cycles of overestimating their chances of victory, they completed a total conquest of every statewide seat and control of the statehouse, upending the GOP’s spiritual home in a single night.
对执政党的愤怒驱使独立选民、西班牙裔选民、年轻选民和曾经的共和党选民大举向左转,尽管花费了数亿美元试图挽救局面,他们仍拒绝了特朗普总统和得克萨斯州共和党领导层的政治议程。
Anger at the party in power drove independents, Hispanic voters, young voters and onetime Republicans to swing leftward in force, rejecting the political agenda of President Trump and the Texas Republican leadership despite hundreds of millions of dollars spent to save it.
“在我的任何一张宾果卡上都没有整张名单全军覆没这一项,”即将卸任的共和党州众议员、前众议院议长戴德·费兰说道,他一直批评特朗普和极右翼。“昨晚共和党就是遭遇了全面灭绝。这令人震惊。”民主党人如今掌握巨大权力,控制着一个联邦参议院席位、州议会、州长、副州长、总检察长、农业专员、审计长、土地专员、铁路专员、四个州最高法院席位和三个刑事上诉法院席位。
“On no Bingo card did I have the entire slate going down,” said Dade Phelan, a retiring Republican state representative and former Speaker of the House who has been critical of Trump and the far right. “It was just a wholesale extinction of Republicans last night. It was shocking.”Democrats now wield immense power with control of a U.S. Senate seat, the statehouse, governor, lieutenant governor, attorney general, agriculture commissioner, comptroller, land commissioner, railroad commissioner, four state Supreme Court seats and three criminal appeals court seats.
这场民主党大胜的后果将远远超出“孤星州”的边界,重塑得克萨斯州政治,并为华盛顿和本州的共和党制造新挑战。以下是一些值得关注的动态。
The consequences of the Democratic sweep will extend well beyond the Lone Star State’s borders, reshaping Texas politics and creating new challenges for Republicans in Washington and at home. Here are some of the dynamics to watch.
参议员特德·克鲁兹如今成为得克萨斯州唯一担任高知名度全州性民选职务的共和党人。民主党人詹姆斯·塔拉里科将与他共事于联邦参议院。
Sen. Ted Cruz now becomes the lone Republican holding high-profile statewide elected office in Texas. Democrat James Talarico will join him in the U.S. Senate.
长期觊觎2028年竞选总统的克鲁兹,面临着改变的本土政治版图。他将不得不决定是否想与新的民主党同事合作。如果他竞选并赢得白宫,将赋予即将上任的民主党州长吉娜·伊诺霍萨任命其临时继任者的权力。
Cruz, who has long eyed a presidential run in 2028, faces a changed political landscape at home. He’ll have to decide if wants to work with his new Democratic colleagues. And if he were to run and win the White House, it would give incoming Democratic Gov. Gina Hinojosa the power to appoint his temporary replacement.

克鲁斯将共和党的失利称为“蓝色海啸”和“水门事件级别的否决”,并誓言共和党将通过重建“成为真正的蓝领政党,而不是拥抱社会主义,而是做真正的自由市场保守派”来夺回该州。伊诺霍萨将接手一个职位,在那里三届共和党州长格雷格·阿博特已花费十余年时间巩固前所未有的行政权力,利用紧急状态宣言和其他工具对州政府施加更大控制。
Cruz has called the Republican losses a “blue tsunami” and “Watergate-level repudiation,” and vowed that Republicans will reclaim the state by rebuilding “as a true blue-collar party, not by embracing socialism, but by being real free-market conservatives.”Hinojosa will inherit an office where three-term Republican Gov. Greg Abbott has spent more than a decade consolidating unprecedented executive power, using emergency declarations and other tools to exert greater control over state government.
若干州政府任命可能给伊诺霍萨重塑州政府的机会。这些职位包括州务卿和州立公立大学理事会席位。当保守派领导层正在重写该州教育体系时,她将能够任命新的理事进入德克萨斯大学系统。
Several state appointments could give Hinojosa opportunities to reshape the state government. They include the secretary of state and seats on the state’s public university governing boards. She will be able to appoint new regents to the University of Texas system, when conservative leadership has been rewriting the education system of the state.
伊诺霍萨竞选时主张增加公立学校资金并反对私立学校券,后者由共和党在立法机构推行。在竞选途中,她多次誓言上任第一天就解雇教育专员迈克·莫拉斯。
Hinojosa campaigned on increasing funding for public schools and opposing private-school vouchers, which Republicans pushed through the legislature. On the campaign trail, she repeatedly vowed to fire Education Commissioner Mike Morath on her first day in office.

击败实力强劲的副州长丹·帕特里克的民主党人维基·古德温将担任一个对州参议院拥有重大权力的职位,包括指定委员会、制定规则以及控制哪些法案进入辩论。
Democrat Vikki Goodwin, who ousted powerful Lt. Gov. Dan Patrick, will assume a post with significant authority over the state Senate, including naming committees, setting rules and controlling which bills reach debate.
然而,共和党州参议员可能在她就职前修改规则以限制古德温的权力。每个立法会期开始时,参议院都会通过其规则,并可能收回部分副州长作为上议院主持人的权力。
Republican state senators could, however, change rules to limit Goodwin’s powers before she takes office. At the start of each legislative session, the Senate adopts its rules and could roll back some of the lieutenant governor’s authority as the presiding officer of the upper chamber.
当立法会期于1月开始时,共和党仍将控制州议会大厦上议院的多数席位。凭借这一参议院多数优势,共和党可以阻挠来自伊诺霍萨和民主党的任命及立法优先事项。伊诺霍萨政策优先事项的任何资金也必须通过参议院。
Republicans will still hold a majority in the Capitol’s upper chamber when the legislative session begins in January. With that Senate majority, Republicans can block appointments and legislative priorities coming from Hinojosa and Democrats. Any funding for Hinojosa’s policy priorities also must clear the Senate.
所有人都在关注塔拉里科和其他民主党人能否帮助德克萨斯州重回两党合作的时代,那是在20世纪80年代末和90年代初,当时该州的竞争更为激烈。他在竞选中主打包容性信息,自当选以来,更是加倍强调将伸出橄榄枝,与不同政治光谱的人士合作。
All eyes are on whether Talarico and other Democrats could help bring Texas back to an era of bipartisanship it enjoyed when the state was more competitive, in the late 1980s and early 1990s. He campaigned on a message of inclusiveness and, since winning, has doubled down on saying he will reach out to work with people across the political spectrum.
“建立桥梁,或者至少尝试与特朗普总统建立桥梁,因为我的授权是为本州的劳动人民兑现承诺。”塔拉里科周三在接受CNN采访时表示。“我将与我在美国参议院的所有99位同事建立桥梁。”
“I’m going to build bridges with all of my 99 colleagues in the U.S. Senate,” Talarico said in a CNN interview Wednesday. “I’m going to build bridges or at least try to with President Trump, because my mandate is to deliver for working people in my state.”

克鲁兹在X平台上写道,只要塔拉里科和其他民主党人“愿意讲道理”,他就愿意与他们合作——例如为山区带来洪灾救援,或为该州引进太空学院。
Cruz wrote on X that he is willing to work with Talarico and other Democrats “when they are willing to be reasonable”—like in bringing flood relief to the Hill Country or bringing a space academy to the state.
希诺霍萨周四在新闻发布会上宣布,她的过渡团队成员包括共和党人欧内斯特·贝尔斯,后者是前州议员,因不支持阿博特首选的学校券计划,在阿博特背书的初选挑战者面前失去了席位。
Hinojosa announced at a news conference Thursday that her transition team includes Republican Ernest Bailes, a former state lawmaker who lost his seat to an Abbott-endorsed primary challenger after he did not support Abbott’s preferred school-voucher plan.
民主党能在德克萨斯州具有竞争力这一事实,有望颠覆未来选举中的权力动态。自1980年以来,德克萨斯州在每次总统大选中都投给了共和党,被视为共和党赢得选举人团胜利的关键。这种转变现在使其成为2028年总统大选及此后选举的核心战场,必将比往年吸引更多来自两党的关注。然而,争夺德克萨斯州将伴随巨额代价。
The proof that Democrats can be competitive in Texas stands to upend power dynamics in future elections. Texas has gone red in every presidential election since 1980 and is considered vital to any GOP electoral college win. This shift now makes it a central battleground in the 2028 presidential race and elections that follow, and will surely draw in more attention from both parties than in years past. The battle for Texas, however, will come with a massive price tag.
一个具有竞争力的德克萨斯州,仅凭其规模和吞噬政治资金的能力,就可能影响全国各地的选举。据Ad Impact统计,今年参议院竞选的广告支出超过5.73亿美元,创下非总统竞选史上最昂贵纪录。这预示着两党在未来周期可能向该州投入的巨资——以及这可能给全国竞选预算带来的压力。
A competitive Texas could impact elections across the country simply because of its size and ability to devour political money. Advertising costs in this year’s Senate race topped $573 million, making it the most expensive nonpresidential race on record, according to Ad Impact. That is a preview of the money both parties could pour into the state in future cycles—and of the pressure it could put on national campaign budgets.