
柏拉图投资管理公司多空策略主管戴维·艾伦表示,周四的市场抛售是投资者将人工智能的变革潜力与投资回报逻辑混为一谈所致。
Thursday’s market selloff was the result of investors conflating the transformational potential of artificial intelligence with the investment return thesis, said David Allen, head of long/short strategies at Plato Investment Management.
纳斯达克100指数下跌6.4%,市值蒸发2.3万亿美元,投资者因猜测国会民主党人将打压AI行业而纷纷抛售美国科技股。
The Nasdaq 100 sank 6.4%, wiping out $2.3 trillion in value as investors bailed from US technology shares on speculation that congressional Democrats will clamp down on the AI industry.
“大型超大规模云服务商一直陷于一场生死攸关的较量,”他在接受彭博电视台海迪·斯特劳德-沃茨采访时说,过度支出正在考验市场的极限。“中期选举的情况确实为一次大幅下挫提供了催化剂。”他说,债券收益率上升正促使投资者质疑,AI所承诺的生产率和盈利能力红利是否会兑现。
“The big hyperscalers have been locked in an existential battle,” he said in a Bloomberg TV interview with Haidi Stroud-Watts, with excessive spending testing the limits of markets. “What’s happened with the midterms really provided a catalyst for a big downward draft.”Rising bond yields were prompting investors to question whether the promised productivity and profitability dividend from AI would materialize, he said.
阅读:拥挤的对冲基金交易在惨淡的10月后迅速平仓。艾伦说,柏拉图做空澳大利亚数据中心运营商NextDC有限公司已有五年,并指出该股上月曾在一天内下跌多达45%,随后反弹。他指出,巨额资本支出以及建设数据中心所需的社会许可日益受损,是关键的共同脆弱点。
Read: Crowded Hedge Fund Trades Are Unwinding Fast After Ugly October Plato has been short Australian data center operator NextDC Ltd. for five years, Allen said, noting the stock fell as much as 45% in one day last month before bouncing back. He identified massive capital expenditure and the fraying of the social license required to build out data centers as the key shared vulnerabilities.
安蒂波德斯合伙公司投资组合经理维哈里·罗斯在另一次采访中表示,这轮抛售与其说是AI公司面临结构性问题的信号,不如说是对这些投资下一阶段的现实检验。
Vihari Ross, a portfolio manager at Antipodes Partners, said in a separate interview that the selloff is less of a sign of structural trouble for AI companies and more a reality check on the next leg of these investments.
“要实现这一点将需要大量债务——这意味着资金的价格很重要,利率很重要,而且还依赖于获得足够的电力,也依赖于需求保持在当前水平,”她说。“在所有公司身上都定价一个完美结果,也许并不是正确答案。”
“It’s going to take a ton of debt to get there — that means the price of money matters, interest rates matter, and it also relies on getting enough power, and it also relies on demand staying where it is,” she said. “Pricing in a wonderful outcome in all companies is maybe not the right answer.”