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ANC在南非地方选举中遭遇重挫 80%选票已统计ANC faces bruising defeat in South African local elections with 80% of ballots counted

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南非人周三前往投票站,比勒陀利亚、豪登省的选举海报随处可见。最终结果将于本周末公布。摄影:Siphiwe Sibeko/路透社Election posters on display in Pretoria, Guateng province, as South Africans went to the polls on Wednesday. Final results are due this weekend. Photograph: Siphiwe Sibeko/Reuters

非洲人国民大会(ANC)在南非地方选举中可能遭遇重创,这个曾由纳尔逊·曼德拉领导的、占主导地位的政党在超过80%的选票已统计完毕的情况下,全国得票率已降至三分之一以下。

The African National Congress is on course to suffer a bruising defeat in South Africa’s local elections, with the once dominant party of Nelson Mandela falling to under a third of the vote nationally with more than 80% of ballots counted.

周三的碎片化投票标志着ANC衰落的又一个阶段,自1994年白人少数种族隔离统治结束以来,ANC一直领导着国家政府。高失业率、犯罪、腐败以及糟糕的地方服务交付都导致选民疏远该党。

Wednesday’s fragmented vote marks another stage in the decline of the ANC, which has led national governments since the end of white minority apartheid rule in 1994. High unemployment, crime, corruption and poor local service delivery have all contributed to voters turning away from the party.

预计这个前解放运动将失去在人口最多的两个省份——豪登省和夸祖鲁-纳塔尔省——作为最大党的地位,各政党已开始进行秘密的联盟谈判。最终结果预计将于周日公布。

The former liberation movement is projected to lose its status as the biggest party in the two most populous provinces, Gauteng and KwaZulu-Natal, as parties began coalition negotiations behind closed doors. The final results are expected to be announced on Sunday.

ANC在全国的得票率为31.8%,比2021年地方选举结果低了近14个百分点。中右翼、由白人领导的民主联盟(DA)得票率为24.1%,而前ANC总统雅各布·祖马领导的“民族之矛”(MK)党得票率为9.3%。

The ANC was on 31.8% of the vote nationally, almost 14 percentage points below its 2021 local election result. The centre-right, white-led Democratic Alliance (DA) had 24.1% of the vote, while the uMkhonto weSizwe (MK) party of the former ANC president Jacob Zuma was on 9.3%.

周三的投票率也有所上升。选举委员会估计,54.5%的注册选民投了票,高于五年前的46%。

Turnout also rose in Wednesday’s poll. The election commission estimated that 54.5% of registered voters cast their ballot, up from 46% five years ago.

随着最后选票仍在统计中,该国一些最大城市联盟的最终格局仍不清楚。关键政党的高级人士表示,他们将与几乎任何人进行谈判,同时将谈判策略保密。

The final shape of coalitions in some of the country’s biggest cities remained unclear with the final votes still being counted. Senior figures in key parties said they would talk with almost anyone, while keeping negotiating strategies under wraps.

在南非的商业首都和最大城市约翰内斯堡,这座拥有480万人口的城市,选民不得不应对定期的水电供应中断、未被收集的垃圾和道路上的坑洼。该市在过去十年中因不稳定的联盟经历了10位市长更迭,并承认存在2200亿兰特(约合99亿英镑)的基础设施支出积压。

In Johannesburg, South Africa’s commercial capital and biggest city, with 4.8 million people, voters have had to contend with regular water and power cuts, uncollected rubbish and potholes. The municipality, which has seen 10 changes of mayor in the last decade amid unstable coalitions, has admitted to a 220bn rand (£9.9bn) infrastructure spending backlog.

约翰内斯堡已完成过半选票统计,民主联盟(DA)以40%的得票率领先,该党在75岁的开普敦前市长海伦·齐勒的领导下进行了积极的竞选活动。目前执政联盟的非洲人国民大会(ANC)位居第二,得票率为17.5%。由赫尔曼·马沙巴领导的右翼政党ActionSA得票率为15.5%。马沙巴曾承诺绝不与齐勒合作,称其为“种族主义者”,但齐勒对此予以坚决否认。

With just over half of votes counted in Johannesburg, the DA was leading with 40%, having run an energetic campaign under Helen Zille, a 75-year-old former Cape Town mayor. The ANC, which leads the current coalition, was in second place on 17.5%. ActionSA, a rightwing party led by Herman Mashaba, was on 15.5%. Mashaba has pledged never to work with Zille, whom he calls “racist”, something she vehemently denies.

今年早些时候,民主联盟(DA)约翰内斯堡市长候选人海伦·齐勒在道格拉斯代尔郊区的一处已存在三年半的水管泄漏处游泳,以凸显基础设施的破败。摄影:Jacques Nelles/DAThe DA’s Johannesburg mayoral candidate, Helen Zille, swims in a three-and-a-half-year-old water leak in the suburb of Douglasdale earlier this year to highlight crumbling infrastructure. Photograph: Jacques Nelles/DA

许多非国大在城镇的传统票仓尚未公布全部结果。备受尊敬的智库——科学与工业研究理事会(CSIR)预测,民主联盟最终将获得34%的选票,非国大获得20%,ActionSA获得16.8%。

Many of the ANC’s township strongholds have yet to report full results. The Council for Scientific and Industrial Research (CSIR), a respected thinktank, has projected the DA will finish with 34%, the ANC 20% and ActionSA 16.8%.

豪登省三个城市的市政联盟谈判通常是同时进行的。民主联盟在这三个城市中均处于领先地位。

Coalitions in Gauteng’s three city municipalities are often negotiated together. The DA is leading in all three.

由84岁的祖马领导的MK党,在祖马继续应对和否认多项腐败指控之际,预计将取代非国大成为夸祖鲁-纳塔尔省最大的政党。该党成立于2023年,融合了保守的祖鲁民族主义以及将土地和财富从白人重新分配给黑人南非人的承诺。

The MK party, led by 84-year-old Zuma as he continues to weather and deny numerous corruption allegations, is expected to displace the ANC as the largest party in KwaZulu-Natal. Founded in 2023, it mixes socially conservative Zulu nationalism with pledges to redistribute land and wealth from white to black South Africans.

在德班所在的eThekwini市已完成一半选票统计,MK党获得了41%的选票,这意味着其他政党可以组成联盟阻止其掌权。与此同时,尽管中产阶级对不断上涨的住房成本日益不满,但民主联盟预计将维持其在开普敦的多数席位。

With half of votes counted in eThekwini municipality, which contains Durban, the MK had 41%, meaning other parties could form a coalition to keep it out of power. Meanwhile, the DA is projected to maintain its majority in Cape Town, despite growing middle-class anger over rising housing costs.

选民选择地方议员和政党,席位通过比例代表制分配。随后,议员们将有两周时间选举市长并组建市政政府。

Voters choose a local councillor and a party, with seats allocated via proportional representation. Councillors will then have two weeks to elect mayors and form municipal governments.

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