非洲最大的政党将考虑是否结束与其主要对手的全国联盟，此前该党遭遇了迄今最差的选举表现，这一争论正成为竞逐接替总统西里尔·拉马福萨（Cyril Ramaphosa）的断层线。
Africa’s biggest political party will consider whether to end its national coalition with its main rival after suffering its worst electoral performance yet, an argument that’s emerging as a fault line in the race to succeed President Cyril Ramaphosa.
据知情人士透露，非洲人国民大会（ANC）全国执行委员会的部分成员正在讨论如何在周四的会议上提出论据，主张该党2024年与民主联盟（DA）的结盟导致其在上周市政选举中流失选票，因此应终止该联盟。此前党内曾推动抛弃民主联盟但未果，目前尚不清楚该提议此次能获得多少支持。
Some members of the African National Congress’ national executive committee are discussing how to make the case at a meeting on Thursday that the party’s tie-up with the Democratic Alliance in 2024 cost it votes in last week’s municipal elections, and that it should end, according to people familiar with the matter. A previous push within the ANC to jettison the DA failed, and it’s unclear how much support the proposal would have this time around, they said.
但重组所谓的“民族团结政府”可能会动摇投资者信心，该政府一直致力于优先发展经济和创造就业，而民主联盟被视为推动更亲商政策的驱动力。
But a reconfiguration of the so-called government of national unity, which has sought to prioritize growing the economy and creating jobs, could rattle investors, with the DA seen as a driver behind attempts to push through more business friendly policies.
非国大在11月4日的投票中仅获得略低于31%的支持率，未能在八大城市中的任何一座赢得绝对控制权，而民主联盟的支持率上升至近25%，保住了在开普敦的多数派地位，并在其他几座大都市获得最多选票。
The ANC won just shy of 31% support in the Nov. 4 vote and failed to win outright control of any of the eight biggest cities, while the DA increased its backing to almost 25%, retained its majority in Cape Town and got the most votes in several other metropolises.
知情人士称，不满的非国大成员计划在2027年12月的换届大会前确立党应与谁结盟，拉马福萨届时将卸任党魁职务。
Aggrieved ANC members plan to stake out who the party should partner with ahead of its December 2027 elective conference, when Ramaphosa is due to step down as its leader, the people said.
副总统保罗·马沙蒂莱（Paul Mashatile）和非国大秘书长菲基莱·姆巴卢拉（Fikile Mbalula）被视为潜在继任者，同时一些党内官员正在推动亿万富翁商人帕特里斯·莫特塞佩（Patrice Motsepe）作为潜在候选人。
Deputy President Paul Mashatile and ANC Secretary-General Fikile Mbalula are among those in contention to succeed him, while some party officials are promoting billionaire businessman Patrice Motsepe as a potential candidate.
据《星期泰晤士报》报道，大选后，拉马福萨在与非国大高层官员的讨论中提出了辞去党领袖职务的可能性。该报称，其他官员予以反对，其中一人提议将选举性会议提前至4月举行。总统对记者表示，关于他将提前卸任的传言不实。
Ramaphosa raised the possibility of stepping down as ANC leader in a discussion with the party’s top officials after the election, the Sunday Times reported. Other officials pushed back, and one proposed bringing the elective conference forward to April, the Johannesburg-based newspaper said. The president told reporters there was no truth to rumors that he would vacate his post early.
知情人士透露，一些官员希望由行动南非党取代民主联盟，进入该国10个成员组成的民族团结政府。由前约翰内斯堡市长赫尔曼·马沙巴领导的行动南非党拥有6名议员，如果所有其他合作伙伴留任，重组后的联盟将在400席的国民议会中拥有206个席位。行动南非党是否同意达成全国性协议尚不清楚。
Some officials want ActionSA to take the DA’s place in the country’s 10-member GNU, the people said. Led by former Johannesburg Mayor Herman Mashaba, ActionSA has six lawmakers and would give a reconfigured coalition 206 seats in the 400-member National Assembly if all the other partners stayed. It’s unclear whether ActionSA would agree to a national deal.
此次市政选举是拉马福萨执政以来非国大遭遇的第三次重大选举挫折。该党在2024年获得约40%的全国支持率，自三十年前种族隔离制度结束后执政以来，首次失去议会多数席位。自组建联盟以来，非国大与民主联盟关系紧张，双方在205年预算案及多项立法上发生冲突。
The municipal vote was the ANC’s third major electoral setback under Ramaphosa. It won about 40% support nationally in 2024, losing its parliamentary majority for the first time since it took power after apartheid ended three decades earlier. Relations between the ANC and the DA have been fractious since they teamed up, with the two parties clashing over the 2025 budget and several pieces of legislation.
姆巴卢拉上月呼吁重新审视民主联盟在联盟中的角色，此前该党反对非国大向法院提起的诉讼，后者旨在恢复其因程序性理由被取消市政选举候选人资格的候选人。批评这一合作伙伴关系的非国大官员认为，市场信心的改善尚未转化为更强劲的投资。据央行数据，2025年固定投资降至国内生产总值的13.9%。
Mbalula last month called for a review of the DA’s role in the coalition after it opposed the ANC’s court bid to reinstate its candidates who had been excluded from standing in the municipal elections on procedural grounds. ANC officials critical of the partnership argue that the improvement in market confidence has yet to translate into stronger investment. Fixed investment fell to 13.9% of gross domestic product in 2025, according to the central bank.
全国执行委员会会议将就非国大如何应对无党派赢得绝对多数的议会中的联盟谈判提供指导，其中包括豪登省中部的约翰内斯堡、埃库鲁莱尼和茨瓦内。知情人士称，非国大可能与民主联盟合作、寻求与其他政党达成协议，或选择在野。
The NEC meeting will give direction on how the ANC will approach coalition talks in councils that no party won outright, including Johannesburg, Ekurhuleni and Tshwane in the central Gauteng province. The ANC could partner with the DA, seek deals with other parties or go into opposition, the people said.
行动南非党代表周日与姆巴卢拉及其他非国大官员会面，讨论其进入联合政府的条件。多个政党正在探讨协议，这将把民主联盟排除在外，并使其前领导人海伦·齐勒竞选约翰内斯堡市长的计划变得更加复杂。
ActionSA representatives met Mbalula and other ANC officials on Sunday to discuss its conditions for entering into coalitions. Several parties are exploring deals that would sideline the DA and complicate a bid by its former leader Helen Zille to become Johannesburg mayor.
民主联盟联邦执行委员会表示，已决定与所有政党就悬峙市政议会组建联合政府进行磋商，目标是建立稳定、有效、以民众为先的政府。姆巴卢拉告诉记者，非国大将于11月13日宣布其在联合政府问题上的立场，在此之前不会发表评论。新的大都会议会必须在当选宣布后14天内召开。
The DA’s federal executive council said it had resolved to engage all political parties in discussions about forming coalitions in hung municipalities, with the objective of establishing stable effective governments that put citizens first. Mbalula told reporters the ANC will announce its position on coalitions on Nov. 13, and won’t comment until then. The new metro councils must convene within 14 days of being declared elected.