
向科尔·波特致歉,这场选举究竟是一次谴责,还是仅仅是一次妥协的邀请?
With apologies to Cole Porter, was the election a rebuke or merely an invitation to compromise?
尽管特朗普总统将其视为一种邀请,但他要求选民假装他在选票上,而选民也确实照做了。如果它看起来像谴责,走起路来像谴责,说话也像谴责,那它就是谴责。美国人投票了,他们对特朗普投出了反对票。
Although President Trump saw it as an invitation, he asked voters to pretend he was on the ballot, and they did. If it looks like a rebuke, walks like a rebuke and talks like a rebuke, it’s a rebuke. Americans voted, and they voted no to Trump.
金钱对共和党几乎毫无裨益。特朗普提出,如果共和党保住国会控制权,就给每个美国人5000美元,却无人理睬。甚至连特朗普的“走狗”、世界首富埃隆·马斯克挥霍数亿美元试图摇动选民向共和党倾斜,也对结果产生了零影响。
Money hardly availed the Republicans. Trump’s offer of $5,000 to every American if Republicans retained congressional control fell on deaf ears. Even money from Trump’s lapdog Elon Musk, the world’s richest man, who wasted hundreds of millions of dollars to sway voters to the Republican side, had zero impact on the outcome.
这场投票是美国民主的一场惊人冷门胜利。投票站没有暴力事件报告。“骄傲男孩”待在家里。没有选民恐吓的报道,没有大规模舞弊或虚假认证的指控。在几乎所有情况下,胜选优势都具有决定性。根本没有搞花招的余地。
The vote was a stunning upset victory for American democracy. There were no reports of violence at the polls. The Proud Boys stayed home. There were no stories of voter intimidation, no allegations of widespread fraud or false certification. The margins of victory were in almost all cases decisive. There was just no room for shenanigans.
民主党翻转了七个席位,赢得参议院多数党地位,其中包括特朗普在2024年以两位数优势赢下的前共和党铁票仓,堪萨斯州、爱荷华州、俄亥俄州、缅因州、北卡罗来纳州、南卡罗来纳州和得克萨斯州均在列。NBC新闻分析显示,他们将赢得至少259个众议院席位,远超确保多数党地位所需的218席。
Democrats flipped seven seats to win a majority in the Senate, including previously held Republican strongholds that Trump won by double digits in 2024, notably Kansas, Iowa, Ohio, Maine, North Carolina, South Carolina and Texas. They will win at least 259 House seats, well beyond the 218 needed to secure a majority, an NBC News analysis shows.
民主党还攻入了长期处于劣势、如同困守草原的狮子般的关键领地,包括佛罗里达州和可能的密西西比州,这些地区对于建立持久的执政联盟至关重要。
Democrats also broke into critical areas where they had long languished like lions in the veld, including Florida and possibly Mississippi, which are essential to building a durable governing coalition.
特朗普承认这是一场大败,并将惨败归咎于伊朗战争。众议院议长迈克·约翰逊(共和党-路易斯安那州)表示,他甚至不会在新一届国会中竞选少数党领袖。
Trump conceded it was a landslide and blamed the Iran war for the trouncing. House Speaker Mike Johnson (R-La.) said he will not even run for minority leader in the new Congress.
向华盛顿传递的明确信息清晰有力,且压倒性强烈:把事情办成。让政府为其空前的腐败和令人费解的外交政策负责。以有利条件结束在伊朗的战争。把这些流氓赶下台!正在发生的一切并非我们所愿。
The clear message to Washington read loud and clear, and it was overwhelming. Get things done. Make the administration accountable for its unprecedented corruption and baffling foreign policy. End the war in Iran on favorable terms. Throw the rascals out! Whatever is going on is not what we want.
白宫管理和预算办公室主任拉塞尔·沃特、白宫政策副幕僚长斯蒂芬·米勒的政策议程,遭到美国选民的唾弃。沃特是“2025年计划”的主要缔造者之一;米勒则是那套带有纳粹时代印记、残酷的大规模驱逐计划的执行者。
The policy agendas of Office of Management and Budget Director Russell Vought, a primary creator of Project 2025, and White House Deputy Chief of Staff for Policy Stephen Miller, enforcer of the sadistic mass deportation programs that smacked of the Nazi era, were voted anathema to the American people.
最后,尽管宣传机器大肆渲染“共产党潜伏在民主党床底下”,选举依然产生了一支多元化的民主党新声队伍:一位挺巴勒斯坦的穆斯林、女性、从未担任过公职的公民,以及首位公开同性恋身份当选联邦参议员的男性。他们都紧贴年轻一代关心的议题,拒绝被陈腐的政治口号所分割。
Finally, despite all the propaganda about communists lurking under the Democratic bed, the elections produced a diverse team of fresh Democratic voices: a pro-Palestinian Muslim, women, citizens who had never held public office and the first openly gay man elected to the United States Senate. All attuned to the issues that concern younger generations, who refuse to be stratified by shopworn political shibboleths.
通往民主党彻底胜利的曲折道路,经历了若干关键里程碑。其中包括:挑选聪明、干练、能在全国不同地区获胜的候选人;针对共和党本届中期重划选区的做法进行强力回击,并反手夺回共和党重新划定的那些席位;艰难取得法庭胜利;亲民主团体辛勤工作,确保政府试图抹黑选举的企图始终未能得逞。
The tortuous road to the flat-out Democratic victory ran through a number of key milestones. Those included selecting smart, savvy candidates who could win in different parts of the country, responding aggressively to the Republican mid-decade gerrymander and then flipping the very seats that the Republicans had redrawn, bitterly fought court victories and the hard work of pro-democracy groups to ensure that the administration’s efforts to discredit the election never got off the ground.
联邦地区法官甚至不惜面临人身威胁,也发挥了关键作用,遏制了白宫企图夺取州投票记录、限制邮寄投票以及在阿拉斯加操纵计票等违宪行径。
Federal district judges, even at the risk of physical threats, played a key role by throttling unconstitutional White House efforts to seize state voting records, curtail mail-in voting and manipulate the count in Alaska.
“我们人民”一直是我们最辉煌时刻的驱动力。明尼阿波利斯的悲剧激发了全国,展示了如何为一个不同于共和党虚无主义的美国故事而战。
“We the people” has been the driver behind our finest hours. The tragedies in Minneapolis galvanized the nation and showed how to fight for a different kind of American story than the nihilism Republicans offered.
那么,除了少数党领袖哈基姆·杰弗里斯(民主党-纽约州)和查克·舒默(民主党-纽约州),真正的赢家是谁?诚然,美国民众避免了一场潜在的宪法危机,MAGA白宫与唯唯诺诺的国会形成的“完美风暴”已告结束。
So, who were the real winners besides Minority Leaders Hakeem Jeffries (D-N.Y.) and Chuck Schumer (D-N.Y.)? True, the American people were spared a potential constitutional crisis, and the perfect storm of a MAGA White House and a supine Congress is over.
但通往最终成功的道路上仍存障碍。民主党不应在弹劾、开放边境、财富税,甚至最高法院改革(尽管极其必要)等议题上浪费时间。相反,他们必须着手解决医疗保健、贸易、移民、人工智能监管,以及削减目前已超过40万亿美元的国家债务等政策。这些议题的优先次序由你们决定。
But there are still barriers to ultimate success. Democrats must not waste time pressing impeachments, open borders, wealth taxes or even Supreme Court reform as much as it is needed. Instead, they must land on such policies as healthcare, trade, immigration, artificial intelligence regulation, trimming the national debt at the moment surpassing $40 trillion. You choose the order.
正如丘吉尔所言:“胜利时要宽宏大量。”民主党必须准备好与共和党人通力合作,不再畏惧特朗普,制定出总统无法否决的明智政策。同时要留意最高法院。评论人士正在讨论阿利托大法官退休的可能性,这将给特朗普机会强行推通过一个年轻版的“阿利托翻版”。新一届国会将于1月就职。
And, as Churchill said, “In Victory, Magnanimity.”Democrats must be ready to make common cause with Republicans, no longer fearful of Trump, to make sensible policies that are veto proof. And be mindful of the Supreme Court. Pundits are discussing the idea of Alito retiring, which would give Trump the chance to ram through a young Alito doppelganger. The new Congress will not be seated until January.
共和党也将面临诸多挑战。特朗普在任期最后两年将成为跛脚鸭,共和党能否摒弃海格塞斯、米勒和沃特等无能意识形态者的政策,像奥德修斯归乡一样回归罗纳德·里根时代的中右翼政党?自由市场、小政府、低税收,以及寻求中东稳定、惩罚妄图将势力投射至国境之外的独裁者的明智两党外交政策?
The Republicans will have many challenges as well. With Trump as a lame duck in his last two years in office, can they repudiate the policies of incompetent ideologues such as Hegseth, Miller and Vought, returning like Odysseus to the center-right party of Ronald Reagan? Free markets, small government, low taxes and a sensible bipartisan foreign policy that seeks stability in the Middle East and punishes authoritarians who would project power beyond their borders?
正如理查德·哈斯所言:“国家躲过了一颗子弹,但尚未脱离险境。”詹姆斯·D·齐林曾任纽约南区联邦检察官,是一位已出版著作的法律分析师。
As Richard Haass has said, “The country has dodged a bullet, but it is not out of the woods.”James D. Zirin is a former federal prosecutor in the Southern District of New York and a published legal analyst.