2026年11月5日上午5:00（美国东部时间）埃伦·摩尔（Elena Moore）詹姆斯·塔拉里科（James Talarico）在得克萨斯州奥斯汀的选举之夜发表讲话。塔拉里科在全州美国参议员竞选中以12个百分点的优势获胜，但如果仅看Z世代选民，他的领先优势达到了60个百分点。
November 8, 2026 5:00 AM ET Elena Moore James Talarico speaks on election night in Austin, Texas. Talarico won his race for U.S. Senate by 12 percentage points overall, but when looking at just Gen Z, he won it by 60 points.
奇普·索莫德维拉/盖蒂图片社出口民调显示，民主党在以往的选举中，若能以至少20个百分点的优势赢得年轻选民，通常会取得好成绩。周二，他们在支持Z世代（30岁以下人群）方面获得了近50个百分点的优势。
Chip Somodevilla/Getty Images Democrats have done well in recent elections when they win young voters by a margin of at least 20 points. On Tuesday, they carried Gen Z — those under 30 — by nearly 50 points, according to exit polling.
这是一个惊人的转变。在2024年，民主党曾在年轻人中失去关键阵地。30岁以下的选民长期被视为民主党基本盘的一部分，但在当时受唐纳德·特朗普改善其经济前景承诺的驱使，向右转支持了特朗普。
It's a stunning shift from 2024 when the party lost critical ground with young people. Long seen as a part of the Democratic base, voters under 30 shifted right towards Donald Trump, motivated by his pledge to better their economic prospects.
然而本周，最年轻一代的选民对共和党发出了严厉的谴责，他们再次给民主党及其聚焦变革的信息一次机会，此时许多年轻人正感到美国梦遥不可及。
But this week, the youngest generation of voters issued a strong rebuke of Republicans, taking another chance on Democrats and their change-focused message at a moment when many of them feel as though the American Dream is out of reach.
年轻选民如何助推民主党走向胜利18至29岁的美国人历来投票率低于年长选民，今年也不例外。周二，Z世代占总投票数的11%。
How young voters powered Democrats to victory Americans ages 18-29 have a history of turning out at lower rates than older voters, and this year was no exception. Gen Z made up 11% of the total vote on Tuesday.
然而，美国年轻人发挥最大作用的地方，可能是在民主党翻盘的众议院和参议院竞选中的微弱差距上。
However, where young Americans may have made the greatest difference, is on the margins in House and Senate races where Democrats flipped seats.
得克萨斯州参议院竞选就是一个关键例子。民主党人詹姆斯·塔拉里科以12个百分点的优势赢得了该州，然而，如果仅看Z世代，他的优势达到了60个百分点。
The Texas Senate race is a key example. Democrat James Talarico won the state by 12 percentage points, however, when looking at just Gen Z, he won it by 60 points.
解释自2024年以来的巨大转变在更广泛地评估这些收益时，民主党人认为，该党强大的候选人阵容有助于激发更高的热情。
Explaining the massive shift from 2024 When assessing gains more broadly, Democrats argue the party's strong slate of candidates helped drum up increased enthusiasm.
但另一个激发动机仍然是对特朗普的强烈反对。在他的第二个任期内，Z世代对这位总统的好感度日益下降，一些人认为他未能兑现一系列核心竞选承诺——从承诺降低物价、多次誓言“不发动新战争”，到呼吁打击联邦腐败以及公开爱泼斯坦（Epstein）档案。
But another motivating factor remains strong opposition to Trump. Throughout his second term, Gen Z increasingly soured on the president, with some arguing he failed to make good on a number of core campaign promises — from pledging to lower prices and repeatedly vowing "no new wars," to calling for a crackdown on federal corruption and the release of the Epstein files.
这种失望情绪在很大程度上反映在出口民调中。经济问题是18至29岁人群中最多人关注的首要问题，占43%，这些选民对特朗普处理该问题的方式表现出广泛的不满。超过十分之八的人表示，特朗普的政策恶化了经济状况，同样比例的人反对他的关税战略以及对伊朗开战的决定。
Much of that disappointment was reflected in exit polling. Economic issues were the top concern for a plurality of 18-29 year olds, at 43%, and these voters expressed broad frustrations with Trump's handling of the issue. More than eight in 10 said that Trump's policies have worsened economic conditions, with similar shares opposing his tariff strategy and the decision to go to war with Iran.
特朗普失去的年轻选民来自“青年民调与选举研究中心”（CIRCLE）的早期分析表明，在2024年支持特朗普的年轻人中，有15%的人在今年的中期选举中投票给了民主党众议院候选人。
The young voters Trump lost Early analysis from CIRCLE indicates that 15% of young people who backed Trump in 2024 voted for a Democratic House candidate in this year's midterms.
民主党在两年前支持特朗普的一些年轻选民中取得了进展，其中包括白人男性和拉丁裔男性，这两个群体在2024年以微弱优势投票支持共和党，而在周二则以两位数的优势投给民主党。民主党候选人还缩小了与年轻农村选民以及没有大学学位的人群之间的差距。这些收益部分可能得益于选择在此次选举中弃权的年轻特朗普支持者，但目前尚不清楚具体有多少人。
Democrats made gains with some young voters that backed Trump two years ago, including white men and Latino men, two blocs that narrowly voted Republican in 2024 and then voted blue on Tuesday by double digits. Democratic candidates also narrowed the margins with young rural voters and people without college degrees Some of those gains may have been helped by young Trump voters who chose to sit this election out, but it's unclear how many of them there were.
选举结果按年龄细分根据倾向自由派、曾广泛研究美国年轻人政治的民调专家约翰·德拉·沃尔佩（John Della Volpe）的说法，中期选举结果凸显了两个主要政党中没有哪一个能垄断Z世代。
How the election results broke down by age The midterm results underscore how neither of the two major parties owns Gen Z, according to John Della Volpe, a left-leaning pollster who's extensively studied the politics of young Americans.
他表示：“这周期中年轻人的群体，与两年前或四年前的年轻人群体有着不同的经历。每一个候选人、每一个政党都必须赢得他们的选票。”主持“哈佛青年民调”（Harvard Youth Poll）的德拉·沃尔佩指出，在10月份发布的最新调查中，年轻民主党受访者与年轻共和党受访者之间存在巨大的热情差距。虽然一半的民主党人表示他们明确计划投票，但只有三分之一的共和党人和不到四分之一的独立派人士做出了同样的表示。
"The cohort of younger people in this cycle had a different set of experiences than the cohort of people two years ago, or four years before that," he said. "Every candidate, every party has to earn their votes." Della Volpe, who runs the Harvard Youth Poll notes that in the latest survey, released in October, there was a sizable enthusiasm gap between young Democrat and young Republican respondents. While half of Democrats said they definitely planned to vote, just a third of Republicans and less than a quarter of Independents said the same.
他补充说：“我认为我们也不应该过度解读所发生的事情。显然，这对在台执政党是一次重大的历史性谴责——这是显而易见的；然而，我认为我们需要更全面地理解选民的构成、谁出席了以及谁没有出席。”到2028年，Z世代和千禧一代选民将占选民总数的一半以上，这是一场对民主党和共和党都有巨大影响的人口结构转变。
"I also think we shouldn't over read what's happened," he added. "Clearly a significant historic rebuke on the party in office — that's obvious — however, I think we need to more fully, kind of understand, the contour of the electorate, who showed up and who didn't show up." By 2028, Gen Z and millennial voters will make up more than half of the electorate a demographic shift with huge implications for Democrats and the GOP.
罗格斯大学青年政治参与中心主任伊丽莎白·马托（Elizabeth Matto）表示：“年轻成年人可以带来改变。”
"Young adults can make a difference," said Elizabeth Matto, who serves as the director of the Center for Youth Political Participation at Rutgers University. "They do care about politics.
“他们确实关心政治。他们可以左右选举结果。他们是值得关注的选民群体。”2026年中期选举 Z世代
They can sway the outcome of elections. And they're a voting bloc worth paying attention to." 2026 midterms Gen Z