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图表与地图:民主党如何重塑参议院How Democrats reshaped the Senate, in charts and maps

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在总统唐纳德·特朗普拿下全国大部分政治版图的两年后,他的一些票仓州选民在周二迎来了戏剧性的逆转。

Two years after President Donald Trump carried much of the country’s political map, voters in some of his strongest states delivered a dramatic reversal Tuesday.

民主党人夺下了7个原本由共和党把持的参议院席位,其中包括特朗普在2024年以两位数优势获胜的州。这种转变是巨大的:民主党在得克萨斯州的优势票数比例提升了25个百分点以上,在堪萨斯州和南卡罗来纳州提升了20个百分点以上。

Democrats flipped seven Republican-held Senate seats, including in states Trump won by double digits in 2024. The shifts were enormous: The Democratic margin improved by more than 25 percentage points in Texas and more than 20 points in Kansas and South Carolina.

各县的选举结果显示了这些得票增长发生的地方,从民主党的大本营到依然坚定的共和党阵地。

County-by-county election results show where those gains happened, from Democratic strongholds to places that remained solidly Republican.

美国有线电视新闻网仔细查阅了7个州的县级投票情况,在这些州中,民主党人从共和党人手中夺走了参议院席位——得克萨斯州、北卡罗来纳州、南卡罗来纳州、堪萨斯州、艾奥瓦州、俄亥俄州、缅因州和新罕布什尔州,此外还有密西西比州和阿拉斯加州,周四时这两个州的选举结果依然胶着,难分胜负。

CNN closely examined county-level votes in seven states where Democrats flipped a Senate seat that had been held by a Republican — Texas, North Carolina, South Carolina, Kansas, Iowa, Ohio, Maine and New Hampshire — and also Mississippi and Alaska, where the results were too still close to call on Thursday.

在这些州总共800个县中,有超过780个县的选民倾向于民主党——这进一步说明了全国各地选民在众议院和参议院选举中近乎一致的党派投票走向。

Voters shifted toward Democrats in more than 780 of those states’ 800 counties — another illustration of the nearly uniform partisan movement by the electorate across the nation in House and Senate races.

在某些地方,例如得克萨斯州,许多县依然是坚定的共和党阵地,但投票倾向也出现了背离共和党的转变。在得克萨斯州的城市地区,这些地方本来就是民主党阵营或正朝着这个方向发展,这种转变同样明显且具有决定性意义。

In some places, such as Texas, scores of counties remained heavily Republican but still saw movement away from the GOP. In Texas’ urban areas, which were already Democratic or trending in that direction, the shift was also visible and decisive.

这张图表展示了各州各县在2024年总统大选中与2026年参议院竞选中的投票对比。

This chart shows how each state’s counties voted in the 2024 presidential election compared with the 2026 Senate contests.

得克萨斯州的一个关键转变发生在格兰德河谷,这是一个以拉丁美洲裔为主的地区,几十年来一直是可靠的民主党票仓,但在2024年倒向了总统唐纳德·特朗普,而今年又倒回了民主党。

A key shift in Texas came in the Rio Grande Valley, a heavily Latino region that had been reliably Democratic for decades before swinging toward President Donald Trump in 2024 — and back toward Democrats this year.

卡梅伦县是哈灵根市的所在地,这里对民主党挑战者詹姆士·塔拉里科的投票倾向发生了巨大转变。他在该县以38.5个百分点的优势获胜,从而赢得参议院选举,这也是自1988年以来民主党人首次在该州获胜。

Cameron County, home to the city of Harlingen, saw a massive shift towards the Democratic challenger, James Talarico. He won the county by a 38.5 percentage-point margin en route to his Senate victory, the first for a Democrat since 1988.

类似的转变也发生在伊达尔戈县和韦布县,这两个县分别坐落着麦卡伦和拉雷多。

Similar shifts happened in Hidalgo and Webb counties, which are home to McAllen and Laredo, respectively.

促成塔拉里科获胜的转变,部分归功于沿35号州际公路分布、不断演变且呈“蓝色脊柱”状的各县。这片贯穿该州中部的狭长地带坐落着拉雷多、圣安东尼奥、奥斯汀、韦科以及达拉斯/沃斯堡。

The shift that led to Talarico’s victory can be credited in part on a transforming “blue spine” of counties along Interstate 35. The swath of land through the middle of the state is home to Laredo, San Antonio, Austin, Waco and Dallas/Fort Worth.

尽管民主党已经被排除在全州范围内的公职之外长达三十年,但这21个县却变得越来越偏向民主党。这一趋势最早崭露头角是在2018年,当时民主党前众议员贝托·奥罗克险些击败共和党参议员特德·克鲁兹。

These 21 counties have been growing more Democratic, even as the party has been shutout of statewide offices for three decades. It first emerged to prominence in 2018, when Democratic former congressman Beto O’Rourke came close to defeating Republican Sen. Ted Cruz.

塔拉里科在该地区的优势大约为26个百分点,这一成绩超过了奥罗克在2018年创下的现代参议院竞选最高纪录的两倍多。

Talarico carried the region by about 26 points, more than doubling O’Rourke’s 2018 high-water mark for a modern-era Senate campaign.

关于数据:县级层面的转变是指从2024年总统大选到2026年参议院竞选中,每个地区得票率差距的变化。缅因州和新罕布什尔州按市镇而非按县公布结果,因此美国有线电视新闻网将两个年份的市镇结果相加,得出了两年的县级总数。缅因州2026年的海外缺席选票未分配到具体市镇,因此未被计入。阿拉斯加州未被展示,因为它是按州众议院选区而非按县或自治市镇公布结果。

2026年的结果为初步数据,随着更多选票的清点可能会发生变化,特别是在尚未完成结果上报的缅因州和新罕布什尔州市镇中。

About the data: The county-level shifts are the change in each area margin, from the 2024 presidential race to the 2026 Senate race. Maine and New Hampshire report results by town instead of by county, so CNN added the town results together to get county totals for both years. Maine’s 2026 overseas absentee ballots aren’t assigned to a town, so they aren’t included. Alaska isn’t shown because it reports results by state House district, not by county or borough. 2026 results are preliminary and may change as more votes are counted, especially in Maine and New Hampshire towns that haven’t finished reporting.

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