字号·· | 护眼
半岛电视台

美国特遣队将切断伊朗先进武器的运输:我们所了解的情况US task force to cut off Iran’s transport of advanced weapons: What we know

点「原文对照」整页切到原文,或双击某段只看那段的原文。

巴基斯坦塔夫坦的巴基斯坦-伊朗边境口岸大门全景[资料图:纳西尔·艾哈迈德/路透社]A general view of a gate at the Pakistan-Iran border crossing in Taftan, Pakistan [File: Naseer Ahmed/Reuters]

随着局势升级,华盛顿正在扩大遏制德黑兰军事供应网络的力度,其中包括通过“铁门特遣队”——一个针对陆路和里海航线的特遣队。

grows, Washington is expanding efforts to choke Tehran’s military supply networks, including through Task Force Iron Gate– a unit targeting land routes and the Caspian Sea.

美国中央司令部(CENTCOM)周六宣布,美军试图借此阻止伊朗利用陆路运输先进武器和其他物资。

With it, the US military is trying to prevent Iran from using ground routes to transport advanced weapons and other materials, the United States Central Command (CENTCOM) announced on Saturday.

同一天,伊斯兰革命卫队(IRGC)宣布了建设地下综合体的宏伟计划,旨在在轰炸下维持导弹和无人机生产。这一宣布是在有关伊朗导弹基地附近正在进行建设的报道中发布的,这些报道基于卫星图像以及德黑兰此前声称美军打击未能摧毁其地下设施。以下是关于美军特遣队的已知情况:

The same day, the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) announced ambitious plans for underground complexes capable of sustaining missile and drone production under bombardment. That announcement came amid reports of ongoing construction near Iranian missile bases, based on satellite imagery and previous claims by Tehran that US strikes failed to destroy its underground facilities. Here’s what we know about the US task force:

特遣队的目的是什么?前美国中东事务副助理国防部长迈克尔·马尔罗伊(Michael Mulroy)告诉半岛电视台,“铁门特遣队”将旨在查明“武器系统从何而来、如何可能被切断”以及“伊朗如何运输其能源”。

What is the purpose of the task force?

它将美国对伊朗港口的封锁扩展至伊朗的陆地边境和里海,据报道将由20名文职和军事人员运作。

Task Force Iron Gate will aim to find out where “weapons systems are coming in, how they could potentially be cut off” and how “Iran is transporting its energy”, Michael Mulroy, a former US deputy assistant defence secretary for the Middle East, told Al Jazeera.

伊朗与七个国家接壤——阿富汗、亚美尼亚、阿塞拜疆、伊拉克、巴基斯坦、土耳其和土库曼斯坦。

It expands on the US blockade of Iranian ports to cover Iran’s land borders and the Caspian Sea and will reportedly be run by 20 civilian and military personnel.

总部设在佛罗里达州坦帕的该单位将与其他美国政府机构协调,“防止先进武器系统、两用技术、受制裁物品和非法收入来源跨越伊朗陆地边境和里海流动”,中央司令部表示。“铁门特遣队”将巩固“我们对伊朗在海上实施的坚如磐石封锁的成果”,中央司令部司令布拉德·库珀(Brad Cooper)海军上将说。

Iran shares borders with seven countries – Afghanistan, Armenia, Azerbaijan, Iraq, Pakistan Turkiye and Turkmenistan. Based in Tampa, Florida, the unit will coordinate with other US government agencies “on preventing the movement of advanced weapons systems, dual-use technologies, sanctioned materials and illegal revenue streams across Iran’s land borders and the Caspian Sea”, CENTCOM said.

马尔罗伊表示,如果美国总统唐纳德·特朗普升级战争,这些“一系列目标”很可能会遭到袭击。

Task Force Iron Gate will reinforce “the success of our ironclad blockade against Iran at sea”, CENTCOM Commander Admiral Brad Cooper said.

“与主要针对军事目标的‘史诗之怒’行动不同,我认为这些目标将集中在经济和基础设施目标上,作为这一综合计划的一部分,旨在切断政权的作战能力及其自筹资金的能力,”穆尔罗伊说。“它主要是一个协调机构,旨在寻找美国如何通过打击陆路运输线来加强其经济扼杀战略,因为它们已经覆盖了大部分海上航线。”伊朗如何回应美国中央司令部的声明?伊斯兰革命卫队将美军计划斥为“只是文字游戏”。

If US President Donald Trump ramps up the war, there will likely be attacks on this “series of targets”, said Mulroy. “Unlike Operation Epic Fury which primarily (focused) on military targets, I think these targets will be focused on economic and infrastructure targets, as part of this comprehensive plan to cut the regime off from its ability to fight and ability to fund itself,” Mulroy said. “It’s primarily a coordination body that’s looking for how the US can increase its economic strangulation strategy by going after the ground routes as they’ve already covered a majority of the maritime routes.”How has Iran responded to CENTCOM’s announcement?

法尔斯通讯社援引伊斯兰革命卫队发言人萨达尔·莫赫比的话报道:“美国人无法通过这种方式实现其目标,即施加严厉的经济压力,使伊朗经济崩溃瓦解。”

The IRGC dismissed the US military plan as “just a play on words”.

他补充道:“华盛顿此前‘声称伊朗将在两周内遭遇经济崩溃,但我们见证了这并未发生’。”特遣队的成立是对俄伊武器联系报道的回应吗?

“The Americans cannot achieve their goal through this, which is to apply severe economic pressure to collapse and disintegrate the Iranian economy,” said IRGC spokesman Sardar Mohebi, as reported by the Fars news agency. Washington previously “claimed that Iran will suffer an economic collapse within two weeks, but we witnessed that this did not happen”, he added.

虽然美国中央司令部的声明并未明确点名伊朗与俄罗斯的武器贸易,但分析人士表示,该部门的成立可被视为试图破坏包含俄罗斯关联在内的供应网络。

Is the task force a response to reports of Russia-Iran weapons ties?

美国媒体报道称,俄罗斯已通过里海向伊朗运送无人机零部件和炸药。

While CENTCOM’s announcement did not explicitly identify Iran’s weapons trade with Russia, analysts say the unit could be seen as an attempt to disrupt supply networks that include Russian connections.

还有说法称,俄罗斯技术可能正在帮助伊朗研发先进超音速巡航导弹。

US media have reported that Russia has sent drone components and explosives to Iran via the Caspian Sea.

卡塔尔大学当代历史与政治学教授马赫朱布·兹韦里告诉半岛电视台,关于经由俄罗斯进口军事装备的报道是美国“真正担忧”的问题。因此,该特遣队“可能引发与俄罗斯的对抗”,他说。

There are also claims that Russian technology could be helping Iran develop advanced supersonic cruise missiles. Mahjoob Zweiri, a professor of contemporary history and politics at Qatar University, told Al Jazeera that reports of military equipment imported via Russia are a “real concern” for the United States.

拉米·库里是贝鲁特美国大学公共政策研究员,也是华盛顿阿拉伯中心非常驻高级研究员。他对这个新特遣队表示:“正如我们所见,美国确实不太知道该如何应对伊朗,它是在临时抱佛脚地做事”——这种策略收效甚微。美国真的能切断伊朗的补给线吗?

The task force therefore could “cause a confrontation with Russia”, he said. Rami Khouri, a public policy fellow at the American University of Beirut and a non-resident senior fellow at the Arab Center in Washington, said of the new unit: “The US really doesn’t quite know what to do about Iran as we’ve seen, and it’s doing things off the cuff” – a strategy that has led to little success. Can the US really choke off Iran’s supply lines?

库里指出,伊朗作为一个贸易国家已有数千年历史,这证明美国的任务几乎是不可能完成的。

Khouri pointed to Iran’s history as a trading nation for thousands of years as evidence that the US mission is near impossible.

他说:“伊朗与该地区各地的商贸伙伴和盟友,尤其是亚洲的伙伴和盟友,已有数千年的联系,形成了一张庞大的关系网——美国要封锁每一个联系几乎是不可能的。”

“There’s an enormous web of contacts that Iran has had for thousands of years with traders and partners and allies all over the region, especially in Asia – it’s virtually impossible for the US to seal off every one,” he said.

这位分析师表示,虽然美国可以对伊朗实施封锁或制裁,但无法控制从俄罗斯人、中国人、阿联酋人等所有人的行为。

While the US can impose a blockade or sanctions on Iran, it cannot control the behaviour of everyone from the Russians, to the Chinese, to the Emiratis and beyond, said the analyst.

他说:“该地区到处都有与伊朗有联系的人,有些关系非常紧密,有些只是商业往来。”

“There are people all over the region who have links with Iran, some very close, some just commercial,” he said.

库里补充道,进入伊朗武器系统的许多材料是从其他国家购买的——有些甚至来自美国或欧洲——然后通过亚洲的公司转运。这会改变战争进程吗?

A lot of the materials that go into Iran’s weapons systems are bought from some other countries, – some even from the US or Europeans – and then they are channelled through companies in Asia, Khouri added. Could this change the course of the war?

前特朗普助手、顶级反恐官员乔·肯特因美国对伊朗的战争于3月辞职,他说,新特遣队是美国中央司令部试图破坏正在进行的外交努力。

Former Trump aide and top counterterrorism official Joe Kent, who resigned in March due to the US’s war on Iran, said the new task force is an attempt by CENTCOM to subvert ongoing diplomatic efforts.

肯特在X平台发帖称:“这是中央司令部邀请伊朗升级事态,而副总统正试图与伊朗人谈判。正如中央司令部所称,这是‘以作战构想代替政策’,即军方找到一种方法,在不公然违抗总统的情况下颠覆白宫,采取行动确保战争升级或延续。”据《华尔街日报》报道,中央司令部司令库珀与国防部长皮特·赫格塞斯等许多官员一样,正在敦促特朗普重启对伊朗的袭击。

“This is CENTCOM inviting Iran to escalate while the vice president is attempting to negotiate with the Iranians,” Kent posted on X. “This is, as CENTCOM calls it, ‘policy by CONOP’, when the military finds a way to subvert the White House without blatantly disobeying the President, by taking actions that will ensure a war escalates or perpetuates.”According to The Wall Street Journal, CENTCOM chief Cooper is among the many officials, alongside Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth, pressing Trump to renew attacks on Iran.

兹韦里表示,该特遣队也可能只是象征性的,因为美国在里海没有军事存在。

The task force may also just be symbolic because the US has no military presence on the Caspian Sea, said Zweiri.

“美国无法进入该海域,除非阿塞拜疆、亚美尼亚等邻国与其合作……而它们不愿在此问题上合作,因为不想惹恼俄罗斯,”他说。“这将需要……地面部队,而这不太可能发生。”兹韦里还表示,里海对伊朗经济的贡献仅为11%,因此特遣队的行动不会对德黑兰造成太大负面影响。

“America has no access to the sea, unless some of the neighbouring countries like Azerbaijan or Armenia or others collaborate [with them] … And they’re not collaborating on this because they don’t want to upset Russia,” he said. “It will require … troops on the ground, and this is unlikely to happen.”Zweiri also said that the Caspian Sea’s contribution to Iran’s economy is just 11 percent, so the task force’s actions won’t have much negative impact on Tehran.

半岛电视台无法独立核实这一数字,但据总部位于纽约的苏凡中心称,里海仅占伊朗整体海上贸易的一小部分。

Al Jazeera could not independently verify this figure but the Caspian Sea accounts for only a fraction of Iran’s overall maritime trade, according to the Soufan Center based in New York City.

阅读媒体原文 ↗