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预计接替内塔尼亚胡的以色列前将军艾森科特是谁?Who is Eisenkot, the former Israeli general expected to replace Netanyahu?

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低调的前陆军参谋长加迪·艾森科特有望登上以色列最高职位,此前总统伊萨克·赫尔佐格授权他组建下一届政府。

Gadi Eisenkot, an unassuming former army chief of staff, has a pathway to Israel’s top job after President Isaac Herzog tapped him to form the next government.

如果他成功组阁,他将接替本雅明·内塔尼亚胡出任总理。内塔尼亚胡是以色列任职时间最长的领导人,其煽动性的风格既为他赢得了同样多的钦佩,也招来了彻骨的仇恨。

Should he succeed, he would take over as prime minister from Benjamin Netanyahu, Israel’s longest-serving leader whose inflammatory style has earned him as much admiration as it has outright hatred.

相比之下,艾森科特是一个内敛的人,一些厌倦了内塔尼亚胡的选民认为,这位对手相对缺乏魅力,而这正是他最大的优势之一。

Eisenkot, by contrast, is a reserved man, and some voters tired of Netanyahu see his rival’s relative lack of charisma as one of his greatest assets.

他广泛的反对派阵营在10月的选举中赢得了以色列议会120个席位中的48席,而内塔尼亚胡的阵营获得了53席,双方均未获得多数。

His wide-ranging opposition bloc won 48 of the Israeli parliament’s 120 seats in the October election, while Netanyahu’s camp secured 53, leaving neither with a majority.

在赫尔佐格与各党派进行的磋商中,66岁的艾森科特获得了两个阿拉伯裔占多数的政党名单的背书,这两个政党在选举中取得了前所未有的进展,如今可能成为造王者。

During party consultations with Herzog, 66-year-old Eisenkot received the endorsements of both Arab-majority lists, which could now play kingmakers after making unprecedented gains in the vote.

但目前尚不清楚艾森科特的阵营在组建政府时是否会接受阿拉伯政党名单的支持。

But it remains unclear if Eisenkot’s bloc would accept support from the Arab lists in forming a government.

他严肃而低调,在许多方面与内塔尼亚胡截然相反。内塔尼亚胡操着一口完美的美国口音英语,随时准备为美国电视和社交媒体提供吸引眼球的简短言论。

Serious and unassuming, he is in many ways the opposite of Netanyahu, who has flawless American-accented English and is ever ready with headline-grabbing sound bites for US television and social media.

艾森科特曾在2015年至2019年担任军队参谋长,他着手在内塔尼亚胡的分裂性任期之后团结以色列人——在内塔尼亚胡的任期内,该国急剧右转。

Eisenkot, the military chief of staff from 2015 to 2019, has set out to unite Israelis after Netanyahu’s divisive tenure, under which the country moved sharply to the right.

他誓言要打击那些肆无忌惮袭击巴勒斯坦人的约旦河西岸极端定居者,谴责近期事件是内塔尼亚胡政府纵容的“犹太恐怖主义”。

He has vowed to crack down on extremist West Bank settlers who have attacked Palestinians with impunity, decrying recent incidents as “Jewish terror” abetted by Netanyahu’s government.

上个月,一辆公交车驶过耶路撒冷,车身上贴着印有以色列总理本雅明·内塔尼亚胡(左)和美国总统唐纳德·特朗普的竞选海报。图片:法新社/盖蒂图片社/TNSA bus bearing a campaign poster featuring Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu (left) alongside US President Donald Trump drives through Jerusalem last month. Photo: AFP/Getty Images/TNS

但这位军人并非和平主义者。他反对建立巴勒斯坦国,并誓言要结束哈马斯在加沙的统治,摧毁这个伊斯兰运动的军事分支。

But the military man is no peacenik. He opposes the creation of a Palestinian state and vowed to end Hamas’ rule in Gaza and destroy the Islamist movement’s military wing.

指挥2006年与真主党作战的军队时,以色列国防军参谋长埃森科特制定了所谓的“达希亚”学说。该学说以当时在贝鲁特受重创的郊区达希亚命名,主张以色列在真主党控制的地区对平民基础设施使用大规模武力。

Commanding the military during the 2006 war with Hezbollah, Eisenkot devised the so-called Dahiya doctrine. The idea, named after a Beirut suburb heavily damaged in that war, involves Israel vowing to use massive force against civilian infrastructure in areas controlled by Lebanese militant movement Hezbollah.

以色列在加沙再次采用该学说,导致的破坏被批评者称为战争罪,然而以色列对此说法持异议。

Israel has adopted the doctrine again in Gaza, causing destruction that critics say amounts to war crimes, an assertion disputed by Israel.

在对外关系方面,他誓言深化以色列与最亲密盟友美国的关系,过去两党对以色列的共识已因加沙、黎巴嫩和伊朗战争而受损。

On international relations, he vowed to deepen Israel’s ties with its closest ally, the United States, where once bipartisan views on Israel have been soured by the wars in Gaza, Lebanon and Iran.

埃森科特因其儿子加尔和两名侄子在加沙作战中阵亡而获得了广泛的公众同情。

Eisenkot has garnered broad public sympathy after his son Gal and two of his nephews were killed fighting in Gaza.

他的工人阶级出身也是其吸引力的另一因素。他将成为首位塞法迪裔(主要源自中东和北非的犹太人)总理。

His working-class roots constitute another element of his appeal. He would be the first prime minister who is Sephardic – Jews who mostly trace their recent origins to the Middle East and North Africa.

周四,抗议者在耶路撒冷的一场示威活动中呼吁组建内塔尼亚胡-艾森科特联合政府。图片:美联社Protesters call for the formation of a Netanyahu-Eisenkot unity government during a demonstration in Jerusalem on Thursday. Photo: AP

与出身精英家庭、父亲是美国著名教授的内塔尼亚胡不同,埃森科特是摩洛哥犹太人之子,成长于以色列的地理边缘。

Unlike Netanyahu, who comes from an elite family and whose father was a prominent professor in the US, Eisenkot is the son of Moroccan Jews and grew up on Israel’s geographic periphery.

在竞选期间,他争取以色列社会的不同阵营,承诺加强对以色列LGBTQ群体的保护,并向宗教犹太人捍卫以色列对约旦河西岸的控制。

Courting opposing sides of Israeli society during his campaign, Eisenkot has promised greater protection for Israel’s LGBTQ community and defended Israeli control over the West Bank to religious Jews.

但他坚决反对对该地区进行彻底并入,也反对建立未经授权的定居点——这些定居点是内塔尼亚胡政府所推动的,并导致近期针对巴勒斯坦人的暴力升级。

But he rejected outright annexation of the territory, as well as the establishment of unauthorised settlement outposts of the sort Netanyahu’s government has enabled and which have fuelled a recent rise in violence against Palestinians.

在加沙问题上,他誓言在18个月内结束哈马斯的统治,要么通过实施美国前总统唐纳德·特朗普的停火计划——逐步解除哈马斯武装并实现权力移交,要么通过旨在摧毁该组织军事部门的“创造性行动”。

On Gaza, he has vowed to end Hamas’ rule within 18 months, either through the implementation of US President Donald Trump’s ceasefire plan of gradual disarmament of Hamas and a transfer of power, or through “creative operations” aimed at destroying the movement’s military wing.

针对以色列人在三年战争后产生的主要怨恨来源,埃森科特承诺将限制对宗教学生的兵役豁免。

Addressing a main source of resentment among Israelis following three years of war, Eisenkot has promised to curb exemptions from military service for religious students.

他承诺制定“一项全民国家服务法”,要求超正统犹太人和阿拉伯公民履行军役或民事服务。

He promised a “universal national service law” requiring ultra-Orthodox Jews and Arab citizens to perform either military or civil service.

他试图通过承诺保护司法独立、法治、少数族裔权利和自由媒体,来吸引中间派和自由派选民。

He has sought to appeal to centrist and liberal voters by pledging to protect judicial independence, the rule of law, minority rights and a free press.

这些议题对埃森科特定位为中间路线政治家的形象至关重要,因为许多以色列人担忧在内塔尼亚胡多年执政后,民主制度正出现侵蚀。

These issues are vital to Eisenkot’s positioning as a middle-of-the-road politician, with many Israelis concerned by what they see as an erosion of democratic institutions after years under Netanyahu.

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