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中期选举大胜后,众议院民主党人评估2028年参议院选情House Dems size up 2028 Senate map after midterm landslide

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插图:Aïda Amer/Axios。图片来源:Getty ImagesIllustration: Aïda Amer/Axios. Stock: Getty Images

现任和前任众议院民主党议员在中期选举大获全胜后信心大增,已开始着眼2028年参议院竞选的潜在机会,Axios获悉。

Current and former House Democrats, flush with victory following their landslide midterm wins are already looking at potential opportunities to run for Senate in 2028, Axios has learned.

重要性:民主党在2026年的大胜——在得克萨斯州、南卡罗来纳州、堪萨斯州获胜,甚至可能在密西西比州获胜——让一些党内人士重新评估曾被认为不可能攻克的目标。

Why it matters: Democrats' 2026 romp — with wins in Texas, South Carolina, Kansas and possibly even Mississippi — has some party members reevaluating what were once considered impossible targets.

  • 据接近众议员夏丽丝·戴维斯(民主党-堪萨斯州)的消息人士透露,并未排除她挑战参议员杰里·莫兰(共和党-堪萨斯州)的可能性。戴维斯以21个百分点的优势连任,而前副总统哈里斯在2024年仅以4个百分点的优势赢得该选区。

• A source close to Rep. Sharice Davids (D-Kan.) — who was reelected by 21 percentage points in a district former Vice President Harris carried by four points in 2024 — did not rule out her running against Sen. Jerry Moran (R-Kan.).

  • “所有选项都在考虑之中,”该消息人士表示,并补充说戴维斯“目前的重点是交付实际成果,并克服我们看到的这些极端政策带来的混乱。”

• "All options are on the table," the source said, adding that Davids' "focus right now is on delivering actual results and overcoming the chaos from these extreme policies we're seeing."

  • 参议员罗杰·马歇尔(共和党-堪萨斯州)上周败给民主党人亚当·汉密尔顿,这是近一个世纪以来民主党首次在堪萨斯州赢得美国参议员席位。

• Sen. Roger Marshall (R-Kan.) was defeated by Democrat Adam Hamilton last week, marking the first time in nearly a century a Democrat has been elected to the U.S. Senate from Kansas.

北卡罗来纳州:据熟悉其想法的消息人士透露,众议员唐·戴维斯正在“考虑”挑战共和党参议员泰德·巴德。

North Carolina: Rep. Don Davis is "taking a look at" a run against Republican Sen. Ted Budd, a source familiar with his thinking told Axios.

  • 戴维斯周二击败共和党对手赢得第三个任期,该选区在2024年曾以12个百分点的优势支持特朗普总统。共和党重新划分选区的明确目标是确保戴维斯落选。

• Davis won a third term on Tuesday after defeating his GOP opponent in a district President Trump carried by 12 points in 2024. Republicans redrew the district with the express goal of ensuring Davis' loss.

  • 据接近他的消息人士透露,前众议员威利·尼克尔周二当选韦克县地方检察官,如果州检察长杰夫·杰克逊不参选,他将考虑竞选参议员。两人曾共同在众议院任职。

• Former Rep. Wiley Nickel, who was elected Wake County district attorney on Tuesday, would consider a Senate run if state Attorney General Jeff Jackson doesn't, a source close to him told Axios. The two served together in the House.

  • 民主党前州长罗伊·库珀上周在北卡罗来纳州的另一个美国参议员席位竞选中,以近20个百分点的优势大胜共和党人迈克尔·沃特利。

• Democratic former Gov. Roy Cooper won North Carolina's other U.S. Senate seat last week in a nearly 20-percentage-point landslide over Republican Michael Whatley. Pennsylvania:

宾夕法尼亚州:大批民主党人正在筹备,可能竞选民主党参议员约翰·费特曼现任的席位。

huge field of Democrats is gearing up to potentially run for the seat held by Democratic Sen. John Fetterman.

费特曼已从一名民粹主义激进派转变为坚定的中间派,因在关键投票中站在共和党一边,激怒了党内许多人。

• Fetterman, who has morphed from a populist firebrand to an arch-centrist, has angered much of the party by siding with Republicans on key votes.

众议员克里斯·德卢齐奥(民主党-宾夕法尼亚州)在给Axios的一份声明中说:“我正在认真考虑我的下一步行动,并将与我的家人和支持者进行商谈。”

• Rep. Chris Deluzio (D-Pa.) told Axios in a statement: "I am thinking hard about my next steps and will be having that conversation with my family and supporters."

前众议员苏珊·怀尔德表示:“我目前不排除任何可能性。……我认为宾州早就该有一位女参议员了,这将是我最终决定的一个考量因素。”

• Said former Rep. Susan Wild: "I am not ruling anything out at this time. ... I think PA is long overdue for a woman senator, and that will factor into my eventual decision."

佛罗里达州:州众议员安吉·尼克松已暗示将在2028年挑战共和党参议员阿什利·穆迪,她在周二的选举中以三个百分点之差败给了穆迪。

Florida: State Rep. Angie Nixon is already hinting at a 2028 run against Republican Sen. Ashley Moody after losing to her on Tuesday by three percentage points.

  • 但党内中间派的一些人认为,尼克松的左翼政治立场及其作为美国民主社会主义者成员的身份,可能让她在本该是民主党大胜的年份里失利,正寻求在别处招募候选人。

• But some in the party's centrist wing believe Nixon's left-wing politics and her affiliation with the Democratic Socialists of America may have cost her in a Democratic wave year and are looking to recruit elsewhere.

  • 消息人士称,众议员贾里德·莫斯科维茨(民主党-佛罗里达州)也在考虑之列,他在特朗普2024年以九个百分点优势拿下的选区中成功连任,常被视为全州范围公职的潜在候选人。

• Rep. Jared Moskowitz (D-Fla.), who won reelection in a district Trump carried by nine points in 2024 and is often mentioned as a potential candidate for statewide office, is in the mix, sources said.

  • 消息人士还指出,众议员凯西·卡斯特(民主党-佛罗里达州)是另一位可能的候选人,她在特朗普以11个百分点优势获胜的选区中获胜。卡斯特的发言人未回应置评请求。

• Sources also pointed to Rep. Kathy Castor (D-Fla.), who won in a district that went for Trump by 11 points, as another possible candidate. A Castor spokesperson did not respond to a request for comment.

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