
2026年中期选举让民主党赢得数十年来最大规模的众议院多数席位已近一周,但部分选区结果仍未预测。虽然尚未决出的18个众议院选区结果不会改变多数党地位,但两党都希望从中期选举中争取尽可能多的席位。决策台总部(DDHQ)已预测民主党赢得255个席位,共和党赢得162个席位。DDHQ预测民主党将保持自1990年代以来最大的多数优势——259个席位,而共和党将在众议院获得176个席位。
It has been nearly a week since the 2026 midterm elections delivered Democrats one of the biggest House majorities in decades — but some races have yet to be projected. While the outstanding 18 House races' results won’t make or break the majority, both parties are hoping to squeeze as many seats as they can out of the midterm election. Decision Desk HQ (DDHQ) has projected 255 races for Democrats and 162 for Republicans. DDHQ forecasts that Democrats will hold their biggest majority since the 1990s — 259 seats — while the GOP will clinch 176 votes in the lower chamber.
全国大多数选区在选举夜当天或之后不久即已宣布结果,但各州和地方计票方式和速度各不相同。以下是截至周一晚上尚未预测的二十多个竞争激烈选区及预期结果。
Most of the races across the country were called on or soon after Election Night, but different states and localities count ballots in different ways and at different paces. Here are the more than two dozen unprojected contests and the expected outcome once the votes are counted, as of Monday evening.
共和党众议员尼克·贝吉奇在得票中领先,有望作为阿拉斯加唯一众议员选区代表连任第二届。虽然贝吉奇领先9个百分点,但这个采用排序选择投票制的州仅统计了71%的选票——该制度仅在无候选人得票超过50%时触发。这个幅员辽阔的州计票向来耗时较长。贝吉奇获得49.6%选票,意味着竞选很可能进入排序选择计票环节,预计将于11月18日完成。他的对手是独立候选人比尔·希尔,现任议员是赢得该席位的热门人选,该竞争被评为“倾向”共和党。
Republican Rep. Nick Begich leads in the returns and is on track to clinch a second term as Alaska's at-large House member. While Begich is up by 9 percentage points, only 71 percent of the votes have been counted in a state that uses ranked choice voting — which is only triggered if no candidate surpasses 50 percent of the vote. Votes always take a long time to count in the sprawling state. Begich received 49.6 percent of the vote, meaning the race will likely head to ranked choice tabulation, which will be complete by Nov. 18. He faces independent Bill Hill, and the incumbent is the favorite to win the seat, with the contest "leaning" toward the GOP.
共和党众议员伊莱·克雷恩(亚利桑那州)寻求连任,对手是民主党人乔纳森·内兹。随着超过95%选票统计完毕,克雷恩领先逾1个百分点,避免了亚利桑那州的自动重新计票。CNN周一预测克雷恩将保住席位。DDHQ尚未预测该选区结果。两年前该选区以逾14个百分点优势支持特朗普,DDHQ预测该竞争倾向共和党。
Rep. Eli Crane (R-Ariz.) is looking to hold his seat against Democrat Johnathan Nez. With more than 95 percent of the vote in, Crane leads by more than 1 percent, avoiding Arizona’s automatic recount. CNN projected Monday that Crane would hold onto his seat. DDHS has not projected the race. The district voted for Trump by over 14 points two years ago, and DDHQ forecasted the contest leaned in Republicans' favor.
在加利福尼亚州的初选制度下,得票前两名的候选人将进入大选。这意味着在加州第4选区,两名民主党人正在争夺萨克拉门托地区的席位。民主党籍众议员迈克·汤普森以7,699票的差距落后于民主党人埃里克·琼斯——但目前仅统计了50%的选票。36岁的琼斯向持有该席位数十年的75岁老将汤普森发起挑战,主张实现代际更替。
In California’s primary system, the top two vote getters advance to the general election. That means two Democrats in California's 4th District are facing off for the Sacramento-area seat. Rep. Mike Thompson (D) trails Democrat Eric Jones, by 7,699 votes — but only 50 percent of the votes have been counted. 36-year-old Jones mounted a challenge against the 75-year-old Thompson, who has held the seat for decades, calling for generational change.
在附近,民主党籍众议员多丽丝·松井也处于守势,尽管现任议员领先迈·旺。截至周一,随着63%的选票完成统计,松井领先其民主党挑战者超过10个百分点。她自2005年起在国会山任职。与此同时,共和党籍众议员杰·奥伯诺尔特领先民主党人特莎·霍奇5,434票,预期选票已统计超过95%。该选区在2024年大选中以超过19个百分点的优势支持特朗普,DDHQ预测该席位稳属共和党。
Nearby, Democratic Rep. Doris Matsui is also on defense, though the incumbent leads Mai Vang. Matsui, as of Monday, leads her Democratic challenger by more than 10 points with 63 percent of the vote reported. She has served on Capitol Hill since 2005. Republican Rep. Jay Obernolte (R), meanwhile, leads Democrat Tessa Hodge by 5,434 votes with over 95 percent of the expected vote counted. The district voted for Trump by over 19 points in 2024, and DDHQ forecasted the seat was safely Republican.
奥伯诺尔特在2024年连任时以两位数优势获胜。在一场共和党内部、现任议员之间的对决中,众议员金映玉落后众议员肯·卡尔弗特13,241票,目前仅统计了预期选票的64%。由于民主党在2025年重新划分选区时实际上取消了卡尔弗特的第41选区,这两位议员被迫在同一选区竞争。共和党籍众议员劳伦·博伯特(科罗拉多州)目前在百年州处于守势。
Obernolte won his reelection in 2024 by double digits. In a Republican-on Republican and member-on-member matchup, Rep. Young Kim is trailing Rep. Ken Calvert by 13,241 votes with only 64 percent of the expected votes have been counted. The pair of lawmakers were forced to compete in the same district after Calvert's 41st District was essentially eliminated by Democrats when the party redistricted in 2025. Republican Rep. Lauren Boebert (R-Col.) is currently on defense in the Centennial State.
这位激进派议员落后于民主党人艾琳·劳巴彻。截至周一下午,博伯特落后3,237票,CNN周一下午预测民主党人将获胜。现任议员的竞选团队表示,他们正在调查“异常投票模式”,并预计将进入重新计票程序。在该州,得票差距在半个百分点以内将触发自动重新计票。在佛罗里达州南部,共和党籍众议员玛丽亚·埃尔维拉·萨拉扎尔正为保住席位而战,自动重新计票正在进行中。
The firebrand lawmaker is trailing behind Democrat Eileen Laubacher. Boebert is down by 3,237 votes as of Monday afternoon, and CNN projected the Democrat as the winner Monday afternoon. The incumbent's campaign said they are investigating “unusual voting patterns” and that they expect it to go to a recount. An automatic recount is triggered by a vote margin within half of a percentage point in the state. An automatic recount is underway in south Florida where Republican Rep. Maria Elvira Salazar is fighting to hang onto her seat.
萨拉查今年早些时候因批评特朗普总统的移民政策而招致其不满,目前以不到半个百分点的微弱优势领先民主党人埃利奥特·罗德里格斯。决策台总部(DDHQ)在选举日前预测该选区倾向共和党。重新计票于周一上午10点开始。
Salazar, who drew the ire of President Trump earlier this year after she criticized his immigration policy, narrowly leads Democrat Elliott Rodriguez by less than half of a percentage point. DDHQ forecasted this race as leaning in the GOP's favor ahead of Election Day. The recount began Monday at 10 a.m.
在明尼苏达州,民主党人杰克·约翰逊以仅321票的优势领先众议员布拉德·芬斯塔德(共和党-明尼苏达州),DDHQ此前预测该选区“倾向”共和党。芬斯塔德请求重新计票,根据明尼苏达州法律,这应当进行。芬斯塔德在给明尼苏达公共电台的一份声明中说:“我们将努力确保遵循州和联邦法律规定的完整程序,以便在得出最终结果的过程中,每一张选票都能被准确、透明地计数。”在明尼苏达州,当得票差距在四分之一百分点以内时,将自动触发重新计票。
Democrat Jake Johnson leads Rep. Brad Finstad (R-Minn.) by just 321 votes in the race that DDHQ predicted would "lean" toward Republicans. Finstad requested a recount in the race, which should occur under Minnesota law. “We will work to ensure that the full process established under state and federal law is followed, so that every vote is counted in an accurate and transparent manner as we move toward a final determination of the results,” Finstad said in a statement to Minnesota Public Radio. In Minnesota, an automatic recount is triggered when the margin is within .a quarter of a percentage point.
在长岛,众议员尼克·拉洛塔(共和党-纽约州)以6677票领先民主党人克里斯托弗·加兰特,目前已统计93%的选票。美联社(AP)已宣布拉洛塔获胜,但DDHQ尚未做出判定。该选情预测机构预测该席位将继续掌握在共和党手中。
On Long Island, Rep. Nick LaLota (R-N.Y.) leads Democrat Christopher Gallant by 6,677 votes with 93 percent of the vote counted. The Associated Press called the race for LaLota, but it has yet to be called by DDHQ. The election forecaster predicted the seat would remain in the GOP's hands.
在纽约州第2选区,民主党人帕特里克·哈尔平以7903票落后众议员安德鲁·加尔巴里诺。该“极有可能”属于红色的选区位于长岛,在2024年大选中支持特朗普的优势超过14个百分点,目前仅统计了85%的预期选票。美联社已宣布加尔巴里诺获胜,但DDHQ尚未做出预测。
Democrat Patrick Halpin is trailing Rep. Andrew Garbarino by 7,903 votes in New York’s 2nd District. The "likely" red district, located on Long Island voted for Trump in 2024 by more than 14 points, is only reporting 85 percent of its expected votes. AP called the race for Garbarino but it has not yet been projected by DDHQ.
众议员格雷格·墨菲(共和党-北卡罗来纳州)以233票领先民主党人雷蒙德·史密斯,优势仅为0.1%。已统计超过95%的选票,据当地媒体报道,他的对手正在为重新计票筹集资金。墨菲于2019年首次当选,并在2024年竞选中以55个百分点的优势获胜。
Rep. Greg Murphy (R-N.C.) holds a 233 vote lead over Democrat Raymond Smith — just 0.1 percent. More than 95 percent of the vote has been counted, and his opponent is fundraising for a recount, per local media. Murphy was first elected in 2019, and he won is 2024 race by 55 points.
众议员维吉尼亚·福克斯(共和党-北卡罗来纳州)面临失去席位的风险,她以99票落后民主党人查尔斯·哈伯德,目前已统计90%的预期选票。
Rep. Virginia Foxx (R-N.C.) is at risk of losing her seat to Democrat Charles Hubbard as she trails by 99 votes with 90 percent of the expected votes counted.
自2005年起任职的福克斯要求“非党派选举观察员”在计票继续进行时进行观察。这位议员在一份声明中说:“应我的要求,在众议院行政委员会的指导下,非党派选举观察员将在第五选区各地出席,随着计票继续进行,他们将作为重要的、警惕的眼睛,确保这一神圣过程不受阻碍,并确保所有合法选票以一致、彻底的方式被计数。”
Foxx, who has served since 2005, requested “nonpartisan election observers” to observe the count as it continues. “At my request, nonpartisan election observers under the guidance of the Committee on House Administration will be present across the 5th District as the count continues, and will serve as important, watchful eyes to ensure that this sacred process is not impeded and that all legal votes are counted in a consistent, thorough manner,” the lawmaker said in a statement.
共和党众议员大卫·鲁泽也在努力保住自己的席位——目前以2,425票领先,已统计超过95%的预期选票。尽管DDHQ认为该竞选过于接近而无法预测,鲁泽仍宣称战胜了民主党人金伯利·哈迪。这家选举预测机构在11月3日前预测共和党“很可能”赢得该席位。
Republican Rep. David Rouzer is also fighting to hold on to his seat — currently leading by 2,425 votes with more than 95 percent of the expected vote counted. Rouzer claimed victory over Democrat Kimberly Hardy despite the race being too close to project by DDHQ. The election forecaster predicted the Republican was "likely" to win the seat ahead of Nov. 3.
与此同时,共和党众议员马克·哈里斯(共和党-北卡罗来纳州)在夏洛特以东以2个百分点领先民主党人科尔比·沃森。已统计95%的选票,美联社已宣布该竞选结果,但DDHQ尚未预测。哈里斯在2024年以两位数优势获胜。
Republican Rep. Mark Harris (R-N.C.), meanwhile, leads Democrat Colby Watson by 2 points east of Charlotte. Ninety-five percent of the vote has been counted and the race has been called by AP, but not projected by DDHQ. Harris won by double digits in 2024.
在北卡罗来纳州中西部,众议员帕特里克·哈里根(共和党-北卡罗来纳州)以3,029票领先民主党人阿什利·贝尔——仅略高于1个百分点,已统计95%的选票。哈里根在大选后在社交平台X上发布了一份冗长声明,称结果是“一次清算”,此前共和党失去了参议院席位和多个众议院席位。
In west-central North Carolina, Rep. Patrick Harrigan (R-N.C. )leads Democrat Ashley Bell by 3,029 votes — just over 1 percent with 95 percent of the vote tallied. Harrigan published a lengthy statement to the social platform X after the election, calling the results "a reckoning" after Republicans lost the Senate seat and a number of House elections.
在一场重大冷门中,民主党人维多利亚·布罗德里克以280票领先众议员斯科特·德贾莱(共和党-田纳西州),已统计95%的选票。DDHQ曾预测该席位为共和党“安全”席位,德贾莱在2024年大选中以超过40个百分点的优势获胜。
In a major upset, Democrat Victoria Broderick leads Rep. Scott DesJarlais (R-Tenn.) by 280 votes with 95 percent of the votes in. DDHQ forecasted this seat as "safe" Republican, and DesJarlais won his election in 2024 by more than 40 points.
共和党众议员迈克尔·鲍姆加特纳预计将保住华盛顿州东部的众议院席位,因为他以9,359票领先对手,DDHQ报告已统计79%的选票。这位现任议员已宣称胜选。
Rep. Michael Baumgartner (R) is expected to hold onto his House seat in eastern Washington, as he leads his opponent by 9,359 votes with 79 percent of the vote reported by DDHQ. The incumbent has claimed victory.
“民主党的飓风席卷全国,而这场选举胜利证明了我们过去两年为东华盛顿人民付出了多么艰辛的努力,”他在社交媒体平台X上发帖写道。民主党人卡梅拉·康罗伊在脸书发布的视频中表示,竞争仍过于胶着,难以宣布结果,竞选团队正在努力修正选票。
“A Democratic hurricane flooded across the country and this election victory is a testament to how hard we have worked for the people of Eastern Washington these last two years,” he wrote in a post to social media platform X. Democrat Carmela Conroy said in a video posted to Facebook that the race was still too close to call and that the campaign is working to cure ballots.