
耶路撒冷:当新一届议会于周二(11月10日)宣誓就职时,本雅明·内塔尼亚胡仍将是以色列总理,但新议会构成对他不那么友好,可能会让他的日子难过得多。
JERUSALEM: Benjamin Netanyahu remains Israel's prime minister when the new parliament takes office on Tuesday (Nov 10) but its new, less friendly composition could make his life much more difficult.
寻求将以色列推向中间路线的前军方首长加迪·艾森科特,周日获得以色列总统伊萨克·赫尔佐格授权组建新政府,这是一项复杂的任务,因为他和内塔尼亚胡都没有掌握多数席位。
Gadi Eisenkot, a former military chief seeking to move Israel to the centre, was given the mandate on Sunday by President Isaac Herzog to form a new government, a complicated task as neither he nor Netanyahu command a majority.
在此之前,以色列任职时间最长的领导人内塔尼亚胡仍为看守总理——但新一届120席议会仍可与他交锋。
Until then Netanyahu, Israel's longest-serving leader, remains caretaker prime minister - but the new 120-member parliament can still go to battle against him.
以色列民主研究所政治专家阿萨夫·夏皮拉表示,缺乏新政府“并不侵犯克内塞特(以色列议会)的特权”。
The lack of a new government "does not infringe upon the Knesset's prerogatives", said Assaf Shapira, a political expert at the Israel Democracy Institute.
艾森科特还曾警告军方首长,内塔尼亚胡没有授权恢复对伊朗的战争——尽管该表态更多关乎政治而非法律,因为内塔尼亚胡仍掌管国家安全。
Eisenkot has also warned military chiefs that Netanyahu does not have a mandate to resume war against Iran - although the statement was more about politics than the law, with Netanyahu still in charge of national security.
内塔尼亚胡阵营在新议会中滑落至53席,低于此前掌握的决定性68席。
Netanyahu's bloc slipped to 53 seats in the new parliament, down from the decisive 68 it commanded previously.
艾森科特的核心反对派阵营拥有48席,少于内塔尼亚胡,但新议会还创下纪录,有19名来自阿拉伯裔主导政党的议员,他们强烈反对内塔尼亚胡及其硬右翼政府——尽管艾森科特是否会寻求直接与以色列阿拉伯人合作仍不清楚。以下是新议会可能反制内塔尼亚胡的几种方式:
Eisenkot's core opposition bloc has fewer seats than Netanyahu at 48 but the new parliament also has a record 19 lawmakers from Arab-majority parties that are vehemently opposed to Netanyahu and his hard-right government - although it remains unclear if Eisenkot will seek to work with Israeli-Arabs directly. Here are ways in which the new parliament could turn on Netanyahu:
关于10月7日袭击事件的调查委员会 反对派主要竞选承诺之一,是设立调查委员会,调查这个以高安保著称的国家为何允许哈马斯2023年10月7日发动袭击,那一天是以色列历史上最血腥的一天。
COMMISSION ON OCT 7 ATTACKS One of the opposition's main campaign promises has been to set up a commission of inquiry to probe failures in the famously high-security country that allowed Hamas's Oct 7, 2023, attack, the deadliest ever day for Israel.
虽然内塔尼亚胡否认自己有任何不当行为,但他的政府始终反对成立拥有广泛调查权的国家级独立调查委员会,内塔尼亚胡转而支持由政治任命人员进行的审查。
While Netanyahu denies any wrongdoing on his part, his government has consistently opposed the creation of a national, independent commission of inquiry that would have broad investigative authority, with Netanyahu instead supporting a review by political appointees.
夏皮拉表示,即使在新政府组建之前,新一届议会也可以成立一个关于袭击事件的特别委员会,该委员会将把调查结果移交给最终成立的调查委员会。艾森科特在选举后宣布,组建调查委员会将是当务之急。
Even before a new government is formed, the incoming parliament could set up a special committee on the attack which would hand over its findings to an eventual commission of inquiry, Shapira said. Eisenkot declared after the election that forming a commission would be an immediate priority.
废除内塔尼亚胡时代的法律 新议会还可能迅速废除内塔尼亚胡任内一些最具争议的法律,包括他改革司法体系的努力——在被控腐败后,内塔尼亚胡将司法体系视为敌人。
REPEALING NETANYAHU-ERA LAWS The new parliament could also move quickly to repeal some of the most controversial laws under Netanyahu, including his efforts to revamp the judiciary - seen by the prime minister as an enemy after he was charged with corruption.
司法改革引发了以色列历史上规模最大的抗议活动之一,自由派人士担忧民主的未来,尽管哈马斯的袭击和随后的战争迅速转移了公众注意力。
The judicial revamp triggered some of Israel's largest ever protests, with liberals worried about the future of democracy, although the Hamas attack and subsequent wars quickly shifted public attention.
新议会可能旨在废除上届联合政府限制最高法院权力、并使罢免国家检察总长变得更容易的法律。
The new parliament could aim to repeal the last coalition's laws that limited the powers of the Supreme Court and made it easier to remove the country's attorney general.
议员们还可能取消超正统派犹太人免服兵役的豁免权。在军队兵力紧张之际,这一豁免激怒了许多以色列人,尽管这些法律对超正统派政党来说还不够,而至少一位反对派人物正在争取这些政党的支持。
Lawmakers could also roll back exemptions for ultra-Orthodox Jews from serving in the military. The exemption has angered many Israelis at a time that the military is stretched thin, although the laws did not go far enough for ultra-Orthodox parties, who are being wooed by at least one opposition figure.
夏皮拉表示,废除内塔尼亚胡时代的法律只需召集投票并恢复先前的政策即可。但通过新法律的过程可能需要数周时间,因为反对派需要协调其优先事项。
Shapira said repealing Netanyahu-era laws was as simple as calling a vote and reverting to previous policies. But the process to pass new laws could take weeks as the opposition coordinates its priorities.
选举新议长 第一场政治角力将围绕选举新议长展开。现任议长是阿米尔·奥哈纳,他是内塔尼亚胡的忠诚拥护者,来自其利库德集团。
ELECTING NEW SPEAKER The first political clash will concern electing a new parliament speaker. The incumbent is Amir Ohana, a Netanyahu loyalist from his Likud Party.
根据议会规则,议长选举最早可在就职会议期间举行,且必须在新政府宣誓就职前完成。
According to parliamentary rules, the vote for speaker can take place as early as during the inaugural session and must happen before a new government is sworn in.
周四发生了一次最初的冲突,当时艾森科特集团的三个党派向即将卸任的议长发函,要求在开幕会议上选举其继任者——这种时机是夏皮拉同意较为常见的做法。奥哈纳回应称,惯例是在新政府宣誓就职当天选举议长。
An initial clash took place Thursday when three parties in the Eisenkot bloc sent letters to the outgoing speaker requesting that his successor be elected at the opening session - a timing that Shapira agreed was more common. Ohana responded that it was customary to elect the speaker on the day a new government is sworn in.
关键反对派人物纳夫塔利·贝内特誓言将“紧急”推进该集团的优先事项。“我们将尽快控制克内塞特。”
Naftali Bennett, a key opposition figure, vowed to act "urgently" on the bloc's priorities. "We will take control of the Knesset as quickly as possible."