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莱恩称欧洲央行利率路径取决于通胀扩散程度ECB's rate path hinges on how far inflation spreads, Lane says

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2022年12月15日,德国法兰克福,欧洲央行货币政策会议后的月度新闻发布会前,欧洲央行大楼笼罩在雾中。路透社/沃尔夫冈·拉泰/资料照片The building of the European Central Bank (ECB) is seen amid a fog before the monthly news conference following the ECB's monetary policy meeting in Frankfurt, Germany December 15, 2022. REUTERS/Wolfgang Rattay/File Photo

能源价格可能正在下降,但欧洲央行的利率决定将取决于近期燃料成本飙升在多大程度上传导至工资和其他价格,该行首席经济学家周二表示。

Energy prices may be falling but the European Central Bank's interest rate decisions will depend on how strongly the recent surge in fuel costs spreads to wages and other prices, the ECB's chief economist said on Tuesday.

“如果能源价格反转——而且它们在过去一周已经开始反转,如果这一趋势持续——你可能会看到总体(通胀)下降,但核心通胀上升,因为已经发生的二轮效应逐渐显现,”菲利普·莱恩在伦敦一场会议上表示。

"If energy prices reverse - and they're already reversing in the last week, if that continues - you could see headline (inflation) falling but core inflation moving up as the second-round effects from what's already happened percolate," Philip Lane told a conference in London.

“所以我不会把它转化为我们具体采取什么行动的时间表,但我会说,人们应该留意:‘它是比你的预测更强劲还是更弱劲?’”

"So I'm not going to convert it into a timeline for what exactly we do, but I would say people should be looking out for: 'is it coming in stronger or weaker than your projections?'."

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