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内塔尼亚胡与埃森科特就以色列是否应再次打击伊朗发生争执Netanyahu and Eisenkot Clash Over Whether Israel Should Strike Iran Again

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本雅明·内塔尼亚胡Benjamin Netanyahu

以色列总理本杰明·内塔尼亚胡正面临与潜在接班人加迪·埃森科特的对决,后者担心这位临时领袖可能借虚假借口重新对伊朗发动袭击,以图保住权力。

Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu is heading for a showdown with potential replacement Gadi Eisenkot, who fears the caretaker leader may renew strikes on Iran under false pretenses in an effort to cling to power.

埃森科特于周三发出的一封信中告诫内塔尼亚胡,在政治过渡期间不要作出任何重大国家安全决策,并避免“可以等到新政府就职后再采取的危险举动”。他还请求总检察长加利·巴哈拉夫-米亚拉帮助确保自己能够定期收到安全简报,以实现“有效监督”。

In a letter sent on Wednesday, Eisenkot told Netanyahu not to make any major national security decisions during the period of political transition and avoid “dangerous steps that can wait for the swearing in of a new government.”He also asked Attorney General Gali Baharav-Miara to help ensure he receives regular security briefings for “effective oversight.”

内塔尼亚胡办公室驳回了埃森科特的警告,并坚持认为“政府所作的所有决定均完全出于安全考量,并与国防部门充分协调”。双方声明称,两人将于周四举行联合外交与安全简报会。

Netanyahu’s office dismissed Eisenkot’s warnings and insisted that “all decisions made by the government were taken solely out of security considerations and in full coordination with the defense establishment.”The duo will hold a joint diplomatic and security briefing on Thursday, according to a statement from both sides.

埃森科特的担忧出现在他着手组建拥有足够议会席位以构成新政府的以色列联盟之际。上周末,赫尔佐格总统赋予他组阁机会,初步时间表为四周,此前上月末的选举未能产生明确结果。

Eisenkot’s concerns come as he embarks on the daunting task of forming an Israeli coalition with enough parliamentary seats to constitute a new government. He was given the opportunity by President Isaac Herzog at the weekend, with an initial timeline of four weeks, following an inconclusive election late last month.

内塔尼亚胡呼吁以色列组建以他为首的统一政府,以应对伊朗的威胁。这位在过渡期间仍掌权的总理周二警告称,伊斯兰共和国正努力恢复其核能力,唯一的对策是推翻该政权。

Netanyahu has called for Israel to form a unity government, with him at the helm, to counter the threat from Iran. The prime minister, who remains in charge during the transition period, warned on Tuesday that the Islamic Republic is working to revive its nuclear capabilities, and the only way to counter that threat would be to topple the regime.

此言论引发担忧,认为这位任期最长的领袖正准备利用其临时职务作为授权,采取军事行动颠覆权力交接。

That’s sparked concerns that Israel’s longest-serving leader is preparing to use military action to upend the transfer of power, using his caretaker role as mandate.

“更换伊朗政权是一项复杂的任务,再一次空袭无法带来这种变化,”以色列国防部政军局前局长德罗尔·沙洛姆对以色列军队广播电台表示。他表达了对内塔尼亚胡判断力的担忧,称:“我认为我们必须更换目前掌握权力缰绳的人。根据我所见所闻,权力掌握在不稳重的手中。我非常担忧。”美国总统特朗普曾于2月下旬与内塔尼亚胡共同发动对伊朗的战争,自其共和党在上周中期选举中惨败以来,他对恢复全面打击的想法已有所冷却。“我们只是维持现状,”他在周一于白宫会见调解国卡塔尔首相后表示。

“Replacing the Iranian regime is a complex mission, and another airstrike will not bring about that change,” Dror Shalom, until recently the head of the Defense Ministry’s Political-Military Bureau, told Army Radio. He cited concern over Netanyahu’s judgment saying: “I think we must replace those currently holding the reins of power. The controls are not in steady hands, based on what I see and hear. I’m very concerned.”US President Donald Trump, who initiated the war against Iran alongside Netanyahu in late February, has cooled on the idea of renewing full-scale strikes since his Republican party suffered a heavy defeat in last week’s midterm elections. “We’re just keeping it at the status quo,” he said after meeting the prime minister of mediator Qatar at the White House on Monday.

加迪·艾森科特Gadi Eisenkot

特朗普周四表示,美国不需要与伊朗达成协议,这降低了外交突破的前景,但并未暗示全面战争迫在眉睫。

Trump said Thursday the US doesn’t need a deal with Iran, dampening prospects of a diplomatic breakthrough but without suggesting a return to all-out war is imminent.

尽管如此,内塔尼亚胡一直在敦促特朗普恢复敌对行动,单方面行动恐将在双方关系紧张之际进一步损害美以关系。这场冲突已处于事实上的僵局数月,美国和伊朗均未准备好为正式结束冲突做出所需让步。

Netanyahu has nevertheless been urging Trump to resume hostilities, with unilateral action likely to further undermine US-Israeli relations during a strained period. The conflict has been in a state of de facto stalemate for months, with neither the US or Iran prepared to make the concessions required for a formal conclusion.

以色列国防部长以色列·卡茨——内塔尼亚胡的坚定支持者——宣称,该国的“安全不处于过渡期”。他在一份声明中表示,政府部署以色列国防军(包括针对伊朗的行动)不需要法律或反对派的批准。

Israeli Defense Minister Israel Katz — a staunch backer of Netanyahu — declared that the country’s “security is not in transition.”The government doesn’t need legal or opposition approval to deploy the Israel Defense Forces, including against Iran, he said in a statement.

与此同时,艾森科特的盟友阿维格多·利伯曼在X平台上警告称,“看守政府无权在没有议会监督且未获得所有安全部门完全同意的情况下,做出可能将以色列拖入战争的决定。”以色列第12频道报道称,内塔尼亚胡与以色列国防军参谋长埃亚尔·扎米尔在潜在军事行动问题上存在分歧。该电视台称,扎米尔警告说,内塔尼亚胡提出的措施缺乏审慎,有引发更广泛冲突的风险。

Meanwhile, Eisenkot ally Avigdor Liberman warned on X that “a caretaker government is not permitted to make decisions that could drag Israel into war without parliamentary oversight and without the full consent of all security.”Israel’s Channel 12 has reported disagreements between Netanyahu and IDF Chief of Staff Eyal Zamir over potential military action. Zamir warned that Netanyahu’s proposed measures lacked caution and risked igniting a wider conflict, the TV station said.

特朗普不愿恢复对伊朗的全面攻击,反映出国内和地区压力与日俱增。在较高油价助推民主党取得外交成功、可能收紧国会对军事行动和资金的限制之后,特朗普辩称,美国对伊朗港口的海上封锁和对陆路运输的切断将迫使德黑兰进行谈判。这位总统的海湾盟友也在劝阻他重启战争。

Trump’s reluctance to resume a full-scale attack on Iran reflects mounting domestic and regional pressures. After higher fuel prices helped propel the Democrats’ diplomatic success, potentially tightening congressional restrictions on military action and funding, Trump has argued that the US naval blockade on Iranian ports and disruption of land routes will force Tehran to negotiate. The president’s Gulf allies are also discouraging him from restarting the war.

然而,内塔尼亚胡依然致力于一个更具野心的目标:推翻伊朗领导层。

Netanyahu, however, remains committed to a more ambitious objective: overthrowing Iran’s leadership.

“伊朗没有放弃摧毁以色列的计划,”内塔尼亚胡周二在新一届克内塞特(议会)就职典礼上表示。“永久消除这一生存威胁的唯一途径,就是推翻阿亚图拉的统治。”

“Iran isn’t giving up on its plan to destroy Israel,” Netanyahu said Tuesday at the inauguration of the new Knesset. “The only way to permanently remove this existential threat is to overthrow the ayatollah’s rule.”

相比之下,艾森科特主张较为有限的目标。他支持遏制伊朗核计划,必要时采取军事手段,但曾在大选前表示,在德黑兰实现“政权更迭并非可达成的目标”。他的立场呼应了以色列安全和政治建制派中其他人的担忧,特别是在今年美以联合行动击毙数十名伊朗高级政治、军事和情报官员(包括最高领袖阿里·哈梅内伊)却未能改变领导层结构之后。

Eisenkot, by contrast, favors narrower objectives. He supports curbing Iran’s nuclear program, militarily if necessary, but said before the election that regime change in Tehran was “not an achievable goal.”His position echoes concerns among others in Israel’s security and political establishment, particularly after this year’s US-Israeli campaign killed dozens of senior Iranian political, military and intelligence officials, including Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, yet failed to change the leadership structure.

“确实令人担忧,内塔尼亚胡会将国家安全用于政治目的,”利伯曼所属政党的议员尤利娅·马利诺夫斯基周四在电台采访中说。“曾经听起来与现实脱节的事情,如今已变得常态化,”她说。

“There is genuine concern that Netanyahu will use national security for political purposes,” Yulia Malinovsky, a lawmaker from Liberman’s party, said Thursday in a radio interview. “What once sounded detached from reality has become normalized,” she said.

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