新德里 —— 尽管“四方安全对话”（Quad）成员国尚未宣布领导人峰会的确切日期，但美国国务卿马尔科·鲁比奥近日表示，峰会有可能在下周马尼拉举行的东盟系列活动期间召开，这让人们对时隔两年多再次举行高层会晤、并聚焦能源安全和有韧性供应链等紧迫全球议题抱有期待。
NEW DELHI -- Even as the Quad countries have yet to announce the exact date of their leaders' summit, U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio's recent statement about its possibility on the sidelines of the ASEAN events in Manila next week has raised hopes of the high-level meeting taking place after a gap of over two years and focusing on pressing global issues like energy security and resilient supply chains.
印度总理纳伦德拉·莫迪将于周一和周二访问菲律宾，出席东盟-印度峰会以及东亚峰会。预计美国总统唐纳德·特朗普、日本首相高市早苗和澳大利亚总理安东尼·阿尔巴尼斯也将出席东亚峰会，这三位领导人连同莫迪组成“四方机制”，该机制常被视为对抗中国在印太地区日益强硬立场的制衡力量。
Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi will be in the Philippines on Monday and Tuesday to participate in the ASEAN-India summit, as well as the East Asia summit, where he is expected to be joined by U.S. President Donald Trump, Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi and Australia's Anthony Albanese -- the three other leaders of the Quad that is often seen as a counterweight to China's growing assertiveness in the Indo-Pacific. This would be Trump's first overseas trip since the U.S. midterm election shock, when his Republican Party lost its majority in both houses of Congress earlier this month.
这将是特朗普自本月初美国中期选举震惊性地失利、其共和党在参众两院均丧失多数席位以来的首次出访。
Plans to hold the Quad summit in India last year did not materialize amid strains in diplomatic and trade ties between New Delhi and Washington.
去年在印度举行“四方峰会”的计划因新德里与华盛顿在外交和贸易关系上的紧张而未能成行。
When asked about the possible Quad summit, Rudrendra Tandon, Secretary (East) in India's Ministry of External Affairs, told reporters on Thursday, "In a [multilateral] setting like this, scheduling is always [the] biggest problem, and I assure you that staff of [every country involved] would be working very hard to fix, to work out if it is possible."
当被问及可能举行的“四方峰会”时，印度外交部东方事务秘书鲁德伦德拉·坦登周四对记者表示：“在这样的多边场合，日程安排永远是最大的问题，我向你们保证，各方工作人员都在非常努力地协调，看看是否可行。”他的这番话是在鲁比奥于10月31日在美国亚特兰大告诉记者“四方领导人将于11月在马尼拉会晤”近两周后说的。
His remarks came nearly two weeks after Rubio told reporters on Oct. 31 in Atlanta, U.S., that the Quad leaders would meet in Manila in November. The Quad "is not an anti-China or anti-anybody coalition," he said, while adding that the activities or behaviors it voices concerns about "are coming repetitively from one country."
他说：“四方安全对话‘不是反华或反任何国家的联盟’，但补充说，它表达关切的活动或行为‘反复来自一个国家’。”
The possible Manila summit follows three meetings of the grouping's foreign ministers this year -- in New Delhi in May, in Manila in July and in Atlanta in October -- preparing the ground for Trump to attend his first formal conference of Quad leaders in Manila.
此次可能在马尼拉举行的峰会，是在该机制今年举行的三次外长会之后进行的——5月在新德里、7月在马尼拉、10月在亚特兰大——为特朗普出席他在马尼拉举行的首次四方领导人正式会议铺平了道路。
It also comes amid the U.S. president's efforts to stabilize ties with China, which have triggered concerns about America's commitment toward the Indo-Pacific.
这也发生在美国总统努力稳定与中国关系之际，这引发了外界对美国对印太地区承诺的担忧。
In June, Washington announced that the U.S. Indo-Pacific Command (USINDOPACOM) was officially restoring its name to the U.S. Pacific Command (USPACOM), reversing an eight-year-old decision made during Trump's first term, which reflected the growing importance of India in American strategic thinking.
6月，华盛顿宣布，美国印太司令部（USINDOPACOM）正式恢复使用美国太平洋司令部（USPACOM）的名称，推翻了特朗普第一任期内做出的、延续八年的决定，该决定反映了印度在美国战略思维中日益重要的地位。
"Washington's apparent shift toward other geopolitical priorities has raised questions about its long-term Indo-Pacific commitment.
哈萨克斯坦SDU大学国际关系副教授拉吉·库马尔·夏尔马对《日经亚洲》表示：“华盛顿明显转向其他地缘政治优先事项，引发了对其长期印太承诺的质疑。一次成功的[马尼拉]峰会将重申美国的参与，并证明四方机制尽管成员国间存在分歧，依然具有相关性。”
A successful summit [in Manila] would reaffirm the U.S. engagement and demonstrate that the Quad remains relevant despite differences among members," Raj Kumar Sharma, associate professor of international relations at SDU University in Almaty, Kazakhstan, told Nikkei Asia.
“这也将提供一个机会，加强在应对中国日益增长的地区影响力、海上安全和经济韧性方面的协调。”夏尔马说，在讨论中，该集团领导人预计将优先考虑经济和战略安全，特别强调关键技术、矿产、供应链、海上安全和区域互联互通，并补充说，四国还预计将探讨建立四方能源银行以加强地区能源安全，以及在半导体供应链方面的合作。
"It would also provide an opportunity to strengthen coordination on China's growing regional influence, maritime security and economic resilience." In their discussions, the grouping's leaders are expected to prioritize economic and strategic security, with particular emphasis on critical technologies, minerals, supply chains, maritime security and regional connectivity, Sharma said, adding that the four countries are also expected to explore the establishment of a Quad energy bank to strengthen regional energy security, and cooperation on semiconductor supply chains.
迪拜比茨皮拉尼学院国际关系助理教授沙姆沙德·艾哈迈德·汗指出，在亚特兰大举行的四方外长会聚焦于如何驾驭印太地区的全球供应链网络并减少对中国的依赖，这些议题很可能在首脑级会议上再次被讨论。
Pointing out that the Quad foreign ministers' meeting in Atlanta focused on how to navigate a global supply chain network in the Indo-Pacific and ease the dependence on China, Shamshad Ahmad Khan, assistant professor of international relations at BITS Pilani Dubai Campus, said that these issues are likely to be discussed anew at the summit level-meeting.
他对《日经亚洲》表示：“他们也很可能会讨论应对中国出口限制的策略，特别是对各行业至关重要的稀土矿产。”
"It is also likely that they will discuss the strategies to deal with China's export restriction, especially the rare earth minerals critical for various industries," he told Nikkei Asia.
汗说，印太地区关键海上咽喉要道（如霍尔木兹海峡和曼德海峡）持续的动荡，也可能在特朗普周一发表“与伊朗的战争实际上已经结束”言论的背景下成为讨论话题。
Continuous instability at key maritime chokepoints for the Indo-Pacific, such as the Hormuz and Bab-el-Mandeb straits, may also come up for discussion against the backdrop of Trump's Monday statement that the war with Iran was effectively over, Khan said.
他表示：“不过，特朗普政府在多大程度上会热衷于推行其印太政策，尤其是在（该政府）在中期选举中惨败之后，还有待观察。”
"However, it is yet to be seen to what extent the Trump administration will be keen to pursue its policy toward the Indo-Pacific, especially after [its] drubbing in mid-term elections," he said.