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东盟峰会开幕 全球大国齐聚马尼拉Global powers converge on Manila as ASEAN summit kicks off

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马尼拉周日迎来一场关键地区峰会,东南亚各国领导人面临贸易、安全及持续能源危机等议题,同时接待一众全球领导人。

A key regional summit opens on Sunday in Manila, with Southeast Asian heads of state facing questions on trade, security and an ongoing energy crisis while playing host to a who's who of global leaders.US President Donald Trump is scheduled to arrive on Tuesday near the summit's conclusion, a visit expected to include a sideline meeting with fellow Quad countries India, Japan and Australia the first of his second term.

美国总统特朗普定于周二抵达,正值峰会接近尾声,预计将举行其第二任期内首次四方安全对话(Quad)边会,与会国为印度、日本和澳大利亚。这一旨在广泛制衡中国地区影响力的四方机制会议,将在特朗普与中国领导人习近平、俄罗斯总统普京于深圳举行历史性三方会晤前数天召开。

The meeting of the Quad a grouping broadly aimed at counterbalancing China's regional influence would come days before a historic sit-down with Chinese leader Xi Jinping and Russia's Vladimir Putin in Shenzhen.

与此同时,巴西刚连任总统的卢拉将于周日出席东南亚国家联盟(ASEAN)11国全体会议,澳大利亚总理阿尔巴尼斯将与东道主菲律宾签署新防务协定。

Brazil's recently re-elected Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva, meanwhile, is set to attend a plenary session of the 11-member Association of Southeast Asian Nations on Sunday, while Australian Prime Minister Anthony Albanese will sign a new defence pact with host country the Philippines.

近2万名警察已部署在马尼拉大都会一带维安,进步团体预测周二将有数千人聚集在峰会现场举行反特朗普游行。

Nearly 20,000 police officers have been deployed around Metro Manila for the summit, with progressive groups predicting a turnout of thousands on Tuesday for an anti-Trump march on the summit site.

抗议焦点多指向美国“硅和平”计划——一项旨在遏制中国在半导体和稀土领域主导地位的供应链倡议,其菲律宾旗舰项目、位于马尼拉以北占地1620公顷的AI制造中心,恐将导致原住民家庭流离失所。

美国驻菲律宾大使李普顿上周表示,外界广泛传闻的11月达成协议时间表——旨在配合特朗普访问——从未在筹备之中。—— 未竟事务 ——周六早会拉开序幕,加拿大总理卡尼宣布达成菲律宾贸易协定,东盟领导人围绕印尼烟霾污染及潜在燃料共享机制等关键议题磋商,成员国正因伊朗战事引发的短缺而苦撑。

Much of the uproar targets the US Pax Silica programme a supply-chain initiative designed to counter China's dominance in semiconductors and rare earths whose flagship Philippine project, a 1,620-hectare AI manufacturing hub north of Manila, threatens to displace Indigenous families.US Ambassador to the Philippines Lee Lipton said last week that a widely rumoured November target date for a dealg timed to Trump's visit was never in the works.- Unfinished business -A day of early meetings kicked off on Saturday with Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney announcing a Philippine trade deal, and ASEAN leaders huddling on key issues including haze from Indonesia and potential fuel-sharing schemes as members struggle with Iran war-driven shortages.

但两个困扰东盟领导人多年的问题——停滞不前的南海“行为准则”及其与饱受战火蹂躏的缅甸的关系——仍未见进展。

But two issues that have vexed ASEAN leaders for years a languishing South China Sea "Code of Conduct" and their relationship with war-torn Myanmar look to be Singapore's problem when the bloc's rotating chair passes to the city-state in 2027.

缅甸似乎将成为新加坡的难题,届时东盟轮值主席国职位将于2027年移交给这个城市国家。自2021年军事政变推翻昂山素季民选政府并引发持续内战以来,缅甸被排除在东盟高层会议之外。与缅甸接壤、并主导推动加强关系的泰国,上周呼吁允许内比都外长重返会议。但菲律宾外长特蕾莎·拉扎罗周六对记者表示,对缅甸采取的做法“毫无松动”,缅甸本周晚些时候将面临一项国际裁决,以判定其是否对边缘化的穆斯林罗兴亚少数民族犯下种族灭绝罪。

Myanmar has been excluded from high-level ASEAN meetings since a 2021 military coup that ousted the elected government of Aung San Suu Kyi and triggered an ongoing civil war. Thailand, which shares a border with Myanmar and is leading the charge for closer relations, last week called for Naypyidaw's foreign minister to be allowed back into meetings. But Philippine foreign secretary Theresa Lazaro told reporters on Saturday there was "no easing" of the approach being taken with Myanmar, which faces an international ruling later this week on whether it committed genocide against its marginalised Muslim Rohingya minority.

与此同时,在马尼拉担任轮值主席国的这一年,达成东盟国家与中国之间在有争议的南海所谓“行为准则”的希望已落空。一名参与峰会筹备的东盟外交官告诉法新社,他不指望峰会上能签署行为准则。拉扎罗周六也表示了这一点,称谈判已“完成80%”。“如果能达成,那简直是个小奇迹,”新加坡ISEAS-尤索夫·伊萨研究院东盟研究中心前主任邓秀雯说。

Hopes of achieving a so-called Code of Conduct in the disputed South China Sea between ASEAN states and China during Manila's year in the chair, meanwhile, have flagged.A Southeast Asian diplomat involved in summit preparations told AFP he did not expect a code to be signed at the summit. Lazaro indicated as much on Saturday, saying negotiations were "80 percent" complete." If it happens, then it's a small miracle," said Siew Mun Tang, former head of the ASEAN Studies Centre at Singapore's ISEAS-Yusof Ishak Institute.- Shadow of Beijing -Beijing claims most of the South China Sea despite an international ruling that its assertion has no legal basis, and its coast guard has clashed repeatedly with that of the Philippines.

—— 北京的阴影 ——尽管国际裁决认定其主张毫无法律依据,北京仍声称拥有南海大部分主权,其海警船与菲律宾海警船多次发生冲突。这一争端在过去一年里多次在不合时宜的时刻浮出水面,7月的外长峰会开幕前不到一天,中菲水手刚刚发生冲突。上个月的东盟防长会议上,北京仅派出一名大使馆武官参会,指责菲律宾政客发表“鲁莽”言论。

The row has reared its head at inopportune times over the past year, with a July foreign ministers summit opening less than a day after Chinese and Philippine sailors engaged in a clash. An ASEAN defence chiefs meeting last month saw Beijing send only an embassy defence attache, blaming "reckless" statements by Philippine politicians.A week later, Manila issued a rare rebuke to its own public officials over comments about China, stressing the need for a unified voice as the two countries negotiate.

一周后,马尼拉罕见地斥责本国公职人员关于中国的言论,强调在两国谈判之际需要统一声音。随着峰会于周日开幕,一年一度的……距离不到五公里的地方,将有人为中国的南海主张提出反驳。今年因所谓“不负责任言论”遭北京制裁的菲律宾国防部长吉尔伯托·特奥多罗将发表主旨演讲。

As the summit opens on Sunday, an annual seminar less than five kilometres away will be making the case against China's South China Sea claims. Philippine defence chief Gilberto Teodoro, sanctioned by Beijing this year for what it called "irresponsible remarks", will give a keynote address.

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