字号·· | 护眼
福克斯新闻网

特朗普不断释放结束对伊战争的信号,但专家警告其战略缺少关键一环Trump keeps signaling an end to Iran war, but expert warns a crucial piece of his strategy is missing

点「原文对照」整页切到原文,或双击某段只看那段的原文。

总统唐纳德·特朗普和副总统万斯于2025年11月11日在弗吉尼亚州阿灵顿阿灵顿国家公墓纪念圆形剧场举行的退伍军人节纪念仪式上敬礼。(安娜·莫尼梅克/盖蒂图片社)President Donald Trump and Vice President JD Vance salute during a ceremony at Memorial Amphitheater at Arlington National Cemetery to mark Veterans Day on November 11, 2025 in Arlington, Virginia. (Anna Moneymaker/Getty Images)

总统唐纳德·特朗普周四宣布,美国不再需要与伊朗达成协议。就在三天前,他还对谈判表示乐观,并指示副总统詹姆斯·戴维斯·万斯转而专注于国内事务,而他的这一表态让外交信息发生了急转直下的大转变。

President Donald Trump declared Thursday that the United States no longer needs a deal with Iran, abruptly shifting his diplomatic message just three days after expressing optimism about negotiations and directing Vice President JD Vance to focus on domestic issues instead. "We don’t need a deal with Iran.

特朗普在“真实社交”上写道:“我们不需要与伊朗达成协议。那些日子早已过去了。我们拿了他们的钱,数千亿美元,我们还拿了他们的海峡!”特朗普发表最新声明的前一天,他刚在阿灵顿国家公墓举行的退伍军人节仪式上宣告战胜伊朗,同时承认冲突尚未正式结束。

Those days have long since passed," Trump wrote on Truth Social. "We’ve got their money, Hundreds of Billions of Dollars, and we’ve got their Strait!" Trump's latest declaration came just one day after he proclaimed victory over Iran during a Veterans Day ceremony at Arlington National Cemetery, while acknowledging that the conflict had not yet formally ended.

特朗普周三表示:“我们赢了。这只是一个我们何时结束的问题。我想确保我们取得的是彻底胜利,而不是93%的胜利。”

"We won," Trump said Wednesday. "It’s just a question of when we end it. I want to make sure we have a total victory, not a 93 percent victory."

总统还感谢了退伍军人们“为确保世界头号支持国家恐怖主义的政权——伊朗伊斯兰共和国永远不会拥有核武器而努力”。一位政府官员为特朗普的战略进行辩护,称尽管对于冲突将如何结束仍存疑问,但美国通过海军封锁和持续的军事压力对伊朗拥有巨大的筹码。

The president also thanked veterans "working to ensure the world’s number one sponsor of state terrorism, the Islamic Republic of Iran, will never have a nuclear weapon." An administration official defended Trump's strategy, arguing that the United States has substantial leverage over Iran through its naval blockade and continued military pressure, even as questions remain about how the conflict will end.

一名美国官员对福克斯新闻数字频道表示:“美国处于非常强势的地位,控制着霍尔木兹海峡,而伊朗经济正在崩溃。总统已经明确表示,历史上最伟大的海上封锁行动即‘经济流亡行动’以及新的‘铁门行动’将全面持续推进。”

"The United States is in a very strong position with control of the Strait of Hormuz and the Iranian economy collapsing. The President has been clear that the greatest naval blockade in history, Operation Economic Outcast, and the new Operation Iron Gate will continue with full effect," a U.S. official told Fox News Digital.

这名官员补充说:“特朗普总统掌握着所有底牌,会做对美国最有利的事情,并确保伊朗永远不会拥有核武器。”

"President Trump holds all the cards, will do what is best for the United States, and will make sure that Iran will never have a nuclear weapon," the official added.

特朗普的最新言论是在数月来关于不久后可能达成协议的预测之后发表的,其中包括本周早些时候他评论称德黑兰“很想达成协议”。特朗普的声明对美伊谈判的未来提出了疑问,包括在华盛顿对德黑兰保持军事和经济压力的同时,外交努力是否会通过其他政府官员继续进行。

Trump's latest words follow months of predictions that an agreement could be reached soon, including comments earlier this week that Tehran "would love to make a deal." Trump's declaration raises questions about the future of U.S.-Iran negotiations, including whether diplomatic efforts will continue through other administration officials as Washington maintains its military and economic pressure on Tehran.

根据对特朗普公开言论的初步统计,自2月以来,他已经在至少十几个场合暗示伊朗希望谈判或不久后可能达成协议。

Trump has suggested on at least a dozen occasions since February that Iran wanted to negotiate or that an agreement could be reached soon, according to a preliminary review of his public remarks.

2019年11月10日,一面伊朗国旗在伊朗布什尔核电站的一场官方仪式上展出,该仪式旨在启动该设施第二座反应堆的建设工作。布什尔是伊朗唯一的核电站,目前使用从俄罗斯进口的燃料运行,该燃料受到密切监控……An Iranian flag is displayed at Iran's Bushehr nuclear power plant during an official ceremony on Nov. 10, 2019, to kick-start work on a second reactor at the facility. Bushehr is Iran's only nuclear power station and currently operates on imported fuel from Russia that is closely monitored by the U

哈德逊研究所高级研究员卢多维克·胡德表示,政府将经济施压、军事力量和地区伙伴关系结合起来的做法是明智的,但他警告说,一个至关重要的外交组成部分仍未得到充分发展。

Ludovic Hood, a senior fellow at the Hudson Institute, said the administration's combination of economic coercion, military force and regional partnerships is sensible, but warned that a crucial diplomatic component remains underdeveloped.

胡德对福克斯新闻数字频道表示:“缺少的是与经济挤压和可能的空袭相辅相成的纪律严明的外交。我们的海湾伙伴意见不一,我们需要让欧洲伙伴更有意义地参与进来。”特朗普的乐观评估始于美国对伊朗开展军事行动之前。2月13日,他暗示德黑兰可以通过接受华盛顿的条件来避免遭到攻击。军事行动开始后,他越来越多地强调伊朗被削弱的能力以及结束冲突的前景。3月20日,特朗普表示,美国“非常接近”实现其军事目标。

"What’s lacking is disciplined diplomacy to complement the economic squeeze and possible airstrikes," Hood told Fox News Digital. "Our Gulf partners are singing from different hymn sheets and we need to draw European partners in more meaningfully." Trump's optimistic assessments began before U.S. military operations against Iran commenced. On Feb. 13, he suggested Tehran could avoid an attack by accepting Washington's terms. After military operations began, he increasingly emphasized Iran's weakened capabilities and the prospect of ending the conflict. On March 20, Trump said the United States was "getting very close" to achieving its military objectives.

总统唐纳德·特朗普于2026年11月2日在华盛顿特区林肯纪念堂倒影池发表讲话。(乌米特·贝克塔斯/路透社)President Donald Trump arrives to deliver remarks at the Lincoln Memorial Reflecting Pool in Washington, D.C., on Nov. 2, 2026. (Umit Bektas/Reuters)

政府在4月同意停火,并继续寻求达成外交解决协议,但随后的军事行动以及在伊朗核计划和地区航运问题上的分歧,导致更广泛的冲突仍未解决。

The administration agreed to a ceasefire in April and continued pursuing a diplomatic settlement, but subsequent military actions and disagreements over Iran's nuclear program and regional shipping have left the broader conflict unresolved.

特朗普继续表达对伊朗渴望达成协议的信心,其中包括在5月,当时他暗示由于军事力量遭受破坏,德黑兰急于谈判。

Trump continued expressing confidence that Iran wanted an agreement, including in May, when he suggested Tehran was eager to negotiate because of the damage inflicted on its military.

周一在白宫简报室进行了一次未安排的露面时,特朗普表示:“伊朗在军事上实际上已经完蛋了,”同时警告称,如果情况发生变化,美军仍然保持着“箭在弦上”的状态。胡德表示,特朗普看似矛盾的信息可能是刻意谈判战略的一部分。

During an unscheduled appearance in the White House briefing room Monday, Trump said, "Iran, militarily, is effectively over," while warning that U.S. forces remained "locked and loaded" should circumstances change. Hood said Trump's seemingly contradictory messages could be part of a deliberate negotiating strategy.

胡德说:“政府奉行的是一种明智的混合战略,即经济施压、选择性使用武力以及依靠有能力的地区盟友。”

"The administration is pursuing a sensible hybrid strategy of economic coercion, selective use of force, and reliance on capable regional allies," Hood said.

高级军事领导人聆听美国战争部长皮特·海格塞斯于2025年9月30日在弗吉尼亚州匡提科海军陆战队匡提科基地发表讲话。在一场前所未有的集会上,来自世界各地的近800名将军、海军将领及他们的高级士兵领袖被下令前往同一个地点Senior military leaders listen as U.S. Secretary of War Pete Hegseth speaks at Marine Corps Base Quantico on September 30, 2025 in Quantico, Virginia. In an unprecedented gathering, almost 800 generals, admirals and their senior enlisted leaders have been ordered into one location from around the wo

他补充说:“特朗普的信息传递似乎旨在既表明他倾向于通过外交解决,又保留使用武力的选项。”胡德为总统维持军事压力的意愿进行了辩护。

"Trump’s messaging seems designed to both signal his preference for a diplomatic solution while preserving the option of force," he added. Hood defended the president's willingness to maintain military pressure.

他说:“虚张声势、诈唬和边缘政策是此类公开谈判固有的部分;特朗普这么做,卢比奥这么做,德黑兰的高层人物也这么做。”

"Bluster, bluffing and brinkmanship are inherent in the public dimension of negotiations like this; Trump does it, Rubio does it, and senior figures in Tehran do it," he said.

“战略耐心在这场对峙中至关重要,这场对峙基本上是40年来不断酝酿形成的。”但胡德也暗示,要确保在核问题上做出实质性让步或让德黑兰出现一个更具合作性的政府,将需要与地区伙伴进行协调。

"Strategic patience is essential in this standoff, which has essentially been 40 years in the making." But Hood also suggested that securing meaningful nuclear concessions or a more cooperative government in Tehran would require coordination with regional partners.

阅读媒体原文 ↗