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特朗普的边境打击行动面临州长和众议员组成的新蓝墙Trump's border crackdown faces a new blue wall of governors and House members

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图片插图:Brendan Lynch/Axios。图片来源:Getty ImagesPhoto illustration: Brendan Lynch/Axios. Photos: Getty Images

选民已把所有与墨西哥接壤的众议院选区以及四个边境州的州长职位交给了民主党。

Voters have handed Democrats every House district touching Mexico and all four border-state governorships.

为何重要:从明年起,这一席卷将为民主党在州资源、边境支出以及在特朗普总统任期最后两年期间的法律挑战方面提供新杠杆。

Why it matters: Starting next year, the sweep gives Democrats new leverage over state resources, border spending and legal challenges during President Trump's final two years.

数字概览:民主党上一次同时掌握加利福尼亚、亚利桑那、新墨西哥和德克萨斯四州州长职务是在1979年1月,依据全美州长协会的记录。

  • 十选十:民主党首次自2008年以来横扫所有10个与墨西哥接壤的众议院选区,依据美联社的分析。

By the numbers: Democrats last held all four governorships — California, Arizona, New Mexico and Texas — in January 1979, according to National Governors Association records • 10 for 10: Democrats swept all 10 House districts touching Mexico for the first time since 2008, according to an Associated Press analysis.

  • 三个翻盘:乔安娜·门多萨在亚利桑那击败共和党众议员胡安·西斯科马尼。鲍比·普利多和凯蒂·帕迪拉·斯托特在德克萨斯翻转了原本由共和党占据的席位。

• Three flips: JoAnna Mendoza ousted Republican Rep. Juan Ciscomani in Arizona. Bobby Pulido and Katy Padilla Stout flipped Republican-held seats in Texas.

  • 四位检察长:民主党还赢得了四个边境州的最高法律职务,包括德克萨斯,该州自1994年以来未曾有民主党人当选检察长。

• Four attorneys general: Democrats also won the top legal offices in all four border states, including Texas, where the party hadn't won an attorney general race since 1994.

当前形势:特朗普将其移民严打围绕南部边境展开。他在上任第一天宣布全国紧急状态,扩大军方角色和边境屏障,并发起大规模驱逐行动。

State of play: Trump built his immigration crackdown around the southern border. He declared a national emergency on his first day back, expanded the military's role and border barriers, and launched a sweeping deportation campaign.

  • 根据FactCheck.org十月的分析,截至八月的12个月内,西南边境的拘捕人数比拜登任期最后12个月下降约91%。

• Southwest border apprehensions dropped roughly 91% in the 12 months through August compared with Biden's final 12 months, according to FactCheck.org's October analysis.

  • 该严打还进一步渗透到美国社区,2026年夏季,移民与海关执法局(ICE)的逮捕人数激增。

• The crackdown has also reached further into American communities, with ICE arrests surging during the summer of 2026.

聚焦细节:德克萨斯民主党人吉娜·希诺霍萨击败州长格雷格·阿博特的选举可能带来最直接的边境变化。

Zoom in: Texas Democrat Gina Hinojosa's defeat of Gov. Greg Abbott could bring the most immediate border changes.

  • 《德克萨斯论坛报》报道,阿博特在“孤星行动”上花费约110亿美元,部署州警和国民警卫队部队,并在里奥格兰德河修建屏障。

• Abbott spent about $11 billion on Operation Lone Star, deploying state police and National Guard troops and building Rio Grande barriers, according to the Texas Tribune.

  • 作为德克萨斯首位拉丁裔州长候选人,希诺霍萨对该支出提出质疑。她可以重新考虑州级部署和执法重点,尽管现行法律和联邦权力限制了她的选择空间。

• Hinojosa, Texas' first Latina governor-elect, has questioned that spending. She can rethink state deployments and enforcement priorities, though existing laws and federal authority limit her options.

  • 民主党还翻转了得克萨斯州众议院,并选出一名民主党总检察长,使伊诺霍萨在拨款和法律斗争中有了盟友。共和党保住了州参议院。

• Democrats also flipped the Texas House and elected a Democratic attorney general, giving Hinojosa allies in funding and legal battles. Republicans retained the state Senate.

幕后看点:即将离任的得克萨斯州总检察长肯·帕克斯顿针对民主党的移民政策提起了20多起诉讼,并为州长格雷格·阿博特的边境打击行动辩护。

The intrigue: Outgoing Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton filed more than 20 lawsuits against Democratic immigration policies and defended Gov. Greg Abbott's border crackdown.

  • 他的民主党继任者内森·约翰逊誓言要挑战违宪的联邦边境策略——这可能使该办公室从特朗普的强大盟友变成对手。

• His Democratic successor, Nathan Johnson, has vowed to challenge unconstitutional federal border tactics — potentially turning the office from a powerful Trump ally into an adversary. What we're watching:

我们正在关注:几位新当选、代表华盛顿边境选区的民主党人在竞选中同时主张强有力的边境安全和为长期无证移民提供入籍途径。

Several Democrats newly elected to represent border districts in Washington campaigned on both strong border security and pathways to citizenship for longtime undocumented immigrants.

  • 翻转得州一个共和党席位的鲍比·普利多在其竞选启动视频中说:“是的,我们必须把罪犯清除出去,确保边境安全。但我们可以在不破坏家庭和南得州经济的情况下做到这一点。”他还对《得克萨斯论坛报》表示,他在国会的优先事项之一将是把入籍途径写入法律。

• Bobby Pulido, who flipped a Texas GOP-held seat, said in his launch video: "Yes, we have to get the criminals out and secure the border. But we can do that without destroying families and our South Texas economy." He also told the Texas Tribune that one of his congressional priorities will be codifying a pathway to citizenship.

  • 翻转亚利桑那州一个席位的乔安娜·门多萨也支持强有力的边境管控和合法的入籍途径。

• JoAnna Mendoza, who flipped an Arizona seat, also backs a strong border and legal pathways to citizenship.

这与许多边境选民的观点一致:

That aligns with many border voters' views:

  • 10月由N+ Univision/YouGov进行的一项调查发现,56%的得州拉美裔选民认为移民执法已经过头。然而,62%的人希望边境安全与为长期无证移民提供入籍途径同时推进——这表明民主党可以在不放弃执法的情况下取得进展。

• An October N+ Univision/YouGov survey found 56% of Texas Hispanic voters thought immigration enforcement had gone too far. Yet 62% wanted border security and a pathway to citizenship for longtime undocumented immigrants pursued together — suggesting Democrats can make gains without abandoning enforcement.

特朗普的关税和移民打击行动震动了依赖贸易和来自墨西哥顾客的企业,这给了民主党州长又一个挑战华盛顿的理由。

Trump's tariffs and immigration crackdown have rattled businesses that depend on trade and shoppers from Mexico, giving Democratic governors another reason to challenge Washington.

  • 拉雷多的商家报告顾客减少,而圣迭戈边境口岸附近的商户表示,更严厉的移民执法损害了客流量和招聘。

• Laredo businesses report fewer customers, while merchants near San Diego's border crossings say tougher immigration enforcement has hurt foot traffic and hiring.

亚利桑那州州长凯蒂·霍布斯向华盛顿施压,要求解决关税和贸易不确定性问题。新墨西哥州圣特雷莎附近的制造商因关税威胁以及对贸易规则的不确定性而暂停了项目。

• Arizona Gov. Katie Hobbs pressed Washington over tariffs and trade uncertainty. Manufacturers near Santa Teresa, New Mexico, have put projects on hold amid tariff threats and uncertainty over trade rules.

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