据花旗集团分析师称，意大利总理梅洛尼需要在周四赢得信任投票，以避免债券市场进一步紧张。
Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni needs to win a confidence vote on Thursday to avoid further bond-market tensions, according to a Citigroup Inc. analyst.
花旗高级欧洲经济学家吉亚达·贾尼在周三的采访中表示：“在市场动荡时期，脆弱性会增加。”
“At times of market turbulence, vulnerabilities increase,” Giada Giani, senior European economist at Citi, said in an interview on Wednesday.
如果发生政治意外，或信任投票失利，并可能导致意大利提前大选，这显然会作为风险事件对市场产生更负面的影响。
“If there were to be an accident politically, or a loss in the confidence vote, and potentially a snap election in Italy as well, that would obviously reverberate more negatively also on markets as a risk event.”
意大利众议院就梅洛尼的旗舰选举改革法案进行的投票定于中午左右举行，这标志着一个长达数月的过程结束，期间她的政府在7月曾在同一议院遭遇意外失利。
The ballot in Italy’s lower house on Meloni’s flagship electoral reform bill is scheduled for around midday, capping a months-long process during which her government was jolted by a surprise defeat in the same chamber in July.
政府党鞭迄今已设法恢复纪律，在本周早些时候赢得了三次信任投票。
Government whips have so far managed to restore discipline, winning three votes of confidence earlier this week.
贾尼还表示，意大利和德国10年期国债收益率差距的当前扩大（这是衡量地区风险的指标），主要是巴黎当前政治和经济困境的后果。
Giani also said the current widening of the spread between Italian 10-year government bonds and comparable German ones, a measure of regional risk, is mainly a consequence of current political and economic woes in Paris.
贾尼说：“我们认为这主要反映了来自法国的传染风险，而非对意大利债务水平的特有担忧。”
“We think this is mostly a reflection of contagion risk out of France rather than idiosyncratic concerns around the Italian level of debt,” Giani said.
她补充称，一个危险可能源于法国的财政问题，使得进一步的欧洲一体化和共同金融举措变得不太可能，从而惩罚意大利。
She added that one danger could stem from French fiscal problems making further European integration and common financial initiatives less likely, thus penalizing Italy.
她将意大利政府当前的财政计划描述为“保守”，并表示现金借款需求预计将从明年开始下降。
She described the Italian government’s current fiscal plan as “conservative” and said cash borrowing needs are expected to start declining next year.
财政部长詹卡洛·焦尔杰蒂上周确认，意大利计划将赤字降至欧盟规定的占产出3%以下，并预测今年增长1%，高于此前计划的0.6%。
Finance Minister Giancarlo Giorgetti confirmed last week that Italy plans to get its deficit below the European Union’s 3%-of-output threshold, and forecast growth of 1% this year, or more than a previously planned 0.6%.
然而，债务在可预见的未来将继续远高于国内生产总值的130%。
Debt however will remain well above 130% of gross domestic output for the foreseeable future.