伦敦，10月12日 - 随着多名英格兰银行官员即将公开露面，英镑兑美元周一保持稳定，而投资者对中东局势发展的警惕使波动性得到控制。
LONDON, Oct 12 - The pound held steady against the dollar on Monday, ahead of public appearances by a number of Bank of England officials, while investor wariness over developments in the Middle East kept volatility in check.
油价在早前的跌幅后反弹，升至每桶105美元以上，此前沙特阿拉伯遭到袭击，且美国总统特朗普就乌克兰与俄罗斯之间能源停火的言论存在不确定性，令乌克兰总统泽连斯基感到惊讶，而俄罗斯方面拒绝置评。
The oil price reversed earlier losses and rose above $105 a barrel after attacks on Saudi Arabia and uncertainty over comments from US President Donald Trump over an energy ceasefire between Ukraine and Russia that surprised Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy and on which Russia declined to comment.
本周晚些时候将公布的美国消费者价格数据可能有助于引导市场对美国利率年底走向的预期，而这又可能影响其他央行的预期，如英格兰银行，它们同样正面临源自中东战争的通胀压力。
US consumer price data due later in the week could help steer expectations for where US interest rates end the year, which, in turn, could affect expectations for other central banks, such as the BoE, that are also grappling with inflation stemming from the war in the Middle East.
英镑最后报价持平于1.324美元，但对欧元走强，欧元下跌0.14%至84.49便士的低点，与上周的16个月低点持平，因为市场对法国国债承受巨大压力导致更广泛欧元区风险的担忧加剧。
The pound was last flat at $1.324, but strengthened against the euro, which fell 0.14% to a low of 84.49 pence, matching last week's 16-month trough, as concern mounted about the risk to the broader euro zone from the intense pressure on French bonds.
“市场尚未将注意力转向即将到来的英国预算，无论如何，其挑战远小于法国预算带来的挑战。因此，英镑近期成为法国利差扩大的主要受益者之一，”巴克莱策略师在一份报告中表示。
"Markets are yet to focus on the upcoming UK Budget, which in any event poses far smaller challenges than the French one. Accordingly, the pound was among the key beneficiaries from the widening in French spreads lately," Barclays strategists said in a note.
英镑在过去几周里大部分时间处于相对区间波动状态，受制于本月英国预算前的不确定性，同时也受到美元走强的影响。
Sterling has been fairly range-bound for much of the past couple of weeks, hemmed in by uncertainty ahead of this month's UK budget, but also by the strength in the dollar.
货币市场显示，交易员预计英格兰银行在11月5日下次会议上加息的概率约为90%，并预期其在2027年将实施一系列加息，使基准利率在一年后达到4.75%，而当前为3.75%。路透社调查的经济学家预计，英国利率将在2027年晚些时候之前保持不变，随后的转变很可能是一次降息。
Money markets show traders are attaching roughly a 90% chance of the BoE raising rates at its next meeting on November 5 and expect it to deliver a series of hikes during 2027 that would bring the base rate to 4.75% in a year's time, from 3.75% now. Economists polled by Reuters expect no change to UK interest rates until later in 2027, with the next shift likely to be a cut.
本周，多位英格兰银行官员发表评论，最终以行长安德鲁·贝利本周在曼谷参加国际货币基金组织和世界银行年会告终。
This week brings a raft of commentary from various BoE officials, culminating in Governor Andrew Bailey's appearance at the IMF and World Bank annual meetings in Bangkok this week.
货币政策委员会成员莎拉·布雷登和凯瑟琳·曼将于周一晚些时候在不同场合发表讲话，而梅根·格林和首席经济学家休·皮尔将在本周晚些时候发言。
Monetary Policy Committee members Sarah Breeden and Catherine Mann speak at different events later on Monday, while Megan Greene and chief economist Huw Pill speak later in the week.
在政治方面，首相安迪·伯纳姆将于周一告诉议会，英国必须考虑与欧盟建立一种新的、更紧密的关系，称与欧盟达成新的脱欧后协议可能提振增长并有助于控制移民。
On the political front, Prime Minister Andy Burnham will tell parliament on Monday that Britain must consider a new, closer relationship with the European Union, saying a new post-Brexit deal with the bloc could boost growth and help control immigration.