字号·· | 护眼
半岛电视台

也门政府军能否维持对胡塞武装的攻势?Can Yemen’s government forces sustain their offensive against the Houthis?

点「原文对照」整页切到原文,或双击某段只看那段的原文。

也门冲突再起,西南部城市塔伊兹已成为冲突热点 [路透社/阿尼斯·马赫尤布]The southwestern city of Taiz has been a flashpoint in the renewed Yemen conflict [Reuters/Anees Mahyoub]

也门胡塞武装(也称安萨尔拉)发射的一枚导弹在正午时分划过萨那上空的天空,留下一条烟雾轨迹。

A missile fired by Yemen’s Houthi group, also known as Ansar Allah, streaks across the sky over Sanaa at midday, leaving a trail of smoke behind it.

其预定目标尚不清楚。它可能瞄准的是沙特阿拉伯境内的某个地点,也可能是也门国际公认政府控制的南部和东部领土。对于也门北部的民众来说,导弹发射已成为一种常见景象。

Its intended target is unclear. It could have been a site in Saudi Arabia or territory to the south and east held by Yemen’s internationally recognised government. For people in northern Yemen, missile launches have become a familiar sight.

周四,也门亚丁总统府阿尔-马希克附近至少有五人死于胡塞武装的导弹袭击。也门总理沙亚·扎因达尼当时在总统府内,但未受伤。

On Thursday, at least five people were killed near the al-Maashiq presidential palace in Aden after Houthi missile strikes. Yemeni Prime Minister Shaya al-Zindani was present at the palace at the time of the attack, but was unharmed.

胡塞武装军事发言人叶海亚·萨里表示,此次袭击瞄准的是一个作战指挥部,这是其针对沙特支持的武装分子及其支援也门国际公认政府的装备的行动的一部分。

Houthi military spokesman Yahya Saree said the attack targeted an operational headquarters, part of its campaign against Saudi-backed fighters and equipment supporting the internationally recognised government in Aden.

胡塞武装频繁的导弹袭击——加上伊朗支持的该组织在也门西南部泰兹城周边地区的领土扩张——已切断关键补给线,并威胁到政府军依赖的其他道路、港口和机场。

Frequent Houthi missile attacks – combined with the Iranian-backed group’s territorial gains around the city of Taiz in southwestern Yemen – have severed key supply routes and threatened other roads, ports, and airports that government forces rely on for supplies.

这些中断可能削弱政府的“也门黎明”行动,该行动旨在收复胡塞武装控制的领土,包括胡塞武装在2014年战争初期夺取的首都萨那。

The disruptions could undermine the government’s Dawn of Yemen o peration which aims to recapture territory held by the Houthi group. This includes the capital, Sanaa, which the Houthis seized at the start of the war in 2014.

然而,政府官员表示,补给问题不会阻碍进攻,强调他们的部队能够克服后勤挑战。

Government officials, however, say supply issues will not halt the offensive, emphasising that their forces can overcome logistical challenges.

“胡塞武装一直试图切断政府军的补给线,但他们未能成功阻断这些补给。因此,针对胡塞武装的军事行动将继续进行,”也门西海岸联合部队(政府支持)发言人瓦达赫·杜拜什上校对半岛电视台如是说。

“The Houthi group consistently attempts to sever supply lines to government forces, but they have been unable to halt these supplies. So, military operations against the Houthis will continue,” Colonel Wadah al-Dubaish, spokesperson for the government-aligned Joint Forces on Yemen’s West Coast, told Al Jazeera.

但过去几个月来,胡塞武装所遭受的损失对政府而言也是一种打击。

But losses to the Houthis over the past few months have been damaging to the government.

胡塞武装9月上旬沿红海海岸向南快速推进,攻占了红海海岸港口穆哈,该港口是塔伊兹省西部亲政府武装的一个关键补给枢纽。

A rapid Houthi advance south along the Red Sea coast in early September captured Mocha a port on the Red Sea coast and a key supply hub for pro-government forces in western Taiz governorate.

政府军的反攻收复了红海南部沿海地区失地的一部分,但未能收复穆哈本身,该地继续被胡塞武装控制。

A government counter-offensive reclaimed some of the territory lost in the southern Red Sea coast region, but not Mocha itself, which continues to be in Houthi hands.

阿尔-杜拜什表示,胡塞武装的袭击和地面推进可能会延迟向政府军事力量运送补给,或增加向某些前线运送补给的成本。

Houthi attacks and ground advances, al-Dubaish said, may delay the delivery of supplies to government military forces or increase the cost of delivering supplies to certain fronts.

他说:“然而,他们无法阻止补给的流动,因为空中、陆地和海上通道依然畅通,使补给能够继续送达前线。”

“However, they cannot stop the flow of supplies because the air, land and sea routes are still available, allowing supplies to continue reaching the front lines,” he said.

但塔伊兹市的局势说明了这种后勤灵活性是有限度的。胡塞武装已经切断了连接该市与国际承认的政府所在地亚丁的主干道。通过周边山脉的替代路线也被中断,导致塔伊兹实际上陷入围困。后果已经显现。

But the situation in the city of Taiz illustrates the limits of that logistical flexibility. Houthi forces have cut the main road connecting the city to Aden, the seat of the internationally recognised government. Alternative routes through the surrounding mountains have also been disrupted, leaving Taiz effectively besieged. The consequences are already being felt.

自胡塞武装最近发起攻势以来,燃料短缺和价格飙升一直影响着塔伊兹,上周汽油价格上涨了两番。

Fuel shortages and soaring prices have affected Taiz since the latest Houthi advances, with the cost of petrol tripling last week.

关键补给路线的丧失也威胁到政府向军队运送弹药、增援部队和其他基本物资的能力,尽管他们正面临胡塞武装沉重而持续的袭击。

The loss of vital supply routes also threatens the government’s ability to deliver ammunition, reinforcements and other essential supplies to its troops, even as they face heavy and sustained Houthi attacks.

不过,阿尔-杜拜什辩称,战争中总有进攻与撤退,输掉一场战役并不意味着输掉整场冲突。他说:“战争仍在继续,在胡塞武装被击败之前绝不会停止。”“后勤灵活性”也门政府军目前正在也门的多个前线与胡塞武装作战,包括红海南部海岸、塔伊兹市周边,以及萨那以东的马里卜和焦夫。

Al-Dubaish argued, however, that there are always advances and retreats in war, and that losing one battle does not mean losing the conflict as a whole. “The war is still ongoing and will not cease until the Houthis are defeated,” he said. ‘Logistical flexibility’Yemeni government forces are currently fighting the Houthis on several fronts in Yemen, including the southern Red Sea coast, around Taiz city, and in Marib and al-Jawf east of Sanaa.

费萨尔·马吉迪,也门司法部副部长,对半岛电视台表示,政府军依靠“后勤灵活性和分散化”来确保全国范围内的补给线畅通。

Faisal al-Majidi, Yemen’s deputy minister of justice, told Al Jazeera that government forces rely on “logistical flexibility and decentralisation” to secure supply lines across the country.

“这种方法涉及将补给路线划分为半自治的部门,并由附近的通道点和关键补给枢纽提供支持——例如沙布瓦、马里卜、塔伊兹的胡塞武装控制区之外地区、红海海岸以及南部各省,”马吉迪说。他指出,这种方法减轻了在广泛分隔的前线之间移动的困难。

“This approach involves dividing supply routes into semi-autonomous sectors, supported by nearby access points and key supply hubs – such as Shabwa, Marib, Houthi-free areas in Taiz, the Red Sea coast, and the southern governorates,” al-Majidi said. Such an approach, he noted, mitigates the difficulties of moving between widely separated front lines.

“此外,政府军一直在争夺俯瞰主要道路的制高点,以帮助保护重要的补给动脉免受轰炸,”马吉迪补充道。

“Furthermore, government forces have been fighting for the control of high points overlooking major roads to help protect vital supply arteries from bombardment,” al-Majidi added.

亲政府军队重点关注的地区之一是塔伊兹省的战略性山区地区——瓦济亚,该地区俯瞰红海海岸,也可能成为从西部方向缓解塔伊兹城市围困的发射点。在瓦济亚与胡塞武装的战斗仍在继续。

Among the areas pro-government forces have focused on is the strategic mountainous district of al-Waziiya in Taiz governorate, which overlooks the Red Sea coast and could also be a launching pad to relieve the siege on Taiz city from its western approaches. Fighting with the Houthis in al-Waziiya continues.

沙特角色 自“也门黎明”行动启动以来,沙特阿拉伯加大了对也门政府及其盟军的支持力度,首次承认自2022年停火以来对胡塞武装的空袭。利雅得于2015年首次介入也门冲突,旨在恢复也门政府在萨那的统治。

The Saudi role Saudi Arabia has stepped up its support for the Yemeni government and allied forces since the launch of Dawn of Yemen, acknowledging airstrikes against Houthi forces in the country for the first time since a 2022 truce. Riyadh first intervened in the conflict in Yemen in 2015 in an effort to restore the Yemeni government to Sanaa.

杜拜什表示,沙特军方的作用是也门政府军的关键且不可或缺的支持来源。

Al-Dubaish said the Saudi military role is a pivotal and indispensable source of support for Yemeni government forces.

“沙特的支持是冲突中的决定性因素。如果没有沙特阿拉伯,也门政府将面临巨大挑战,以应对胡塞武装——他们拥有先进的军事能力——例如由伊朗提供的弹道导弹和巡航导弹——以及大量战斗人员,”杜拜什说。

“Saudi support is a decisive factor in the conflict. Without Saudi Arabia, it would be a huge challenge for the Yemeni government to confront the Houthis, who possess advanced military capabilities – such as ballistic and cruise missiles supplied by Iran – along with a large pool of fighters,” said al-Dubaish.

沙特领导的联盟表示,自10月初以来,空袭已摧毁数百个高价值目标。

The Saudi-led coalition has said airstrikes have destroyed hundreds of high-value targets since early October.

马吉迪将沙特阿拉伯的空中支持描述为一个“战略平衡器”和“也门黎明”行动的重要支柱。

Al-Majidi described the Saudi air support as a “strategic balancer” and a vital pillar of the Dawn of Yemen operation.

他表示:“沙特角色的核心是为地面部队提供直接掩护,更重要的是,压制[胡塞武装]的增援部队,并打击导弹和无人机发射平台——从而减轻其破坏性影响。”

“The Saudi role centres on providing direct cover for ground forces and, more importantly, neutralising the reinforcements of the [Houthis], as well as targeting missile and drone launch platforms – thereby mitigating their destructive impact,” he said.

此前,在战争初期的围困期间,沙特领导的联军曾在塔伊兹被围时向亲政府武装空投武器和弹药,但自本月最新围困开始以来,没有关于此类行动的报道。

The Saudi-led coalition has previously airdropped weapons and ammunition to pro-government fighters in Taiz when it was besieged in the early years of the war, but there have been no reports of similar operations since the latest siege began this month.

协调:试金石对于一项可能更为重要的任务,沙特阿拉伯也至关重要:团结反胡塞阵营,该阵营目前仍然四分五裂,且指挥结构脱节。杜拜什表示,军事单位之间缺乏协调仍然是一个重大挑战。

Coordination: The litmus test Saudi Arabia is also vital for what may be an even more important task: uniting an anti-Houthi side that remains divided with disjointed command structures. Al-Dubaish said that poor coordination among military units remains a significant challenge.

他补充道:“协调问题源于存在多个在不同指挥结构下运作的军事单位。这种碎片化对与胡塞武装作战的部队最不利。”政府在9月失去红海海岸,部分原因是反胡塞部队之间缺乏有效的协调,他们似乎无法对胡塞武装的推进作出快速反应。尽管也门政府自今年年初以来一直宣称,在击败得到阿拉伯联合酋长国支持的分离主义南方过渡委员会部队后,反胡塞部队一直在统一指挥结构下运作。

“The coordination problem stems from the presence of multiple military units operating under different command structures,” he added. “This fragmentation is not in the best interest of the forces fighting the Houthis.”The government’s loss of the Red Sea coast in September was partly the result of faulty coordination among anti-Houthi forces, who appeared unable to respond quickly to the Houthi advance That was despite messaging from the Yemeni government since the start of the year that anti-Houthi forces were operating under a unified command structure, after the defeat of separatist Southern Transitional Council forces – who had been backed by the United Arab Emirates – at the start of the year.

马吉迪说:“各野战部队之间的协调……仍然是‘也门黎明’行动成功的真正试金石。”

“The coordination among various field forces … remains the true litmus test for the success of the Dawn of Yemen operation,” said al-Majidi.

专注于军事事务的也门研究员阿德南·贾巴尔尼告诉半岛电视台,政府军之间的协调水平正在提高。

Adnan al-Jabarni, a Yemeni researcher specialising in military affairs, told Al Jazeera that the level of coordination among government forces is improving.

“这些力量目前正在测试他们的协调,鉴于他们仅在统一结构下开始运作 — — 随着阿联酋从也门撤出以及最高军事委员会(SMC)的成立,该委员会吸纳了所有各个分支和单位,”贾巴尔尼说。

“These forces are currently testing their coordination, given that they only began to operate under a unified structure – following the withdrawal of the UAE from Yemen and the formation of the Supreme Military Committee (SMC), which incorporated all the various branches and units,” al-Jabarni said.

1月,也门总统领导委员会(该机构是也门联合国承认的权威机构,由拉沙德·阿尔-阿利米总统领导)成立了最高军事委员会,旨在监督所有反胡塞武装军事单位,并将其纳入也门官方军队,实行统一指挥。

In January, the Presidential Leadership Council, Yemen’s United Nations-recognised authority led by President Rashad al-Alimi, established the with the goal of overseeing all anti-Houthi military units and integrating them into the official Yemeni military under one command.

然而,最高军事委员会的成立并未消除各武装力量之间长期存在的分歧。他们的指挥结构和资金来源历来各不相同,而红海海岸的损失凸显了协调其战场行动所面临的持续困难。

However, establishing the committee has not eliminated longstanding divisions between the different forces. Their command structures and sources of funding have historically differed, and the losses on the Red Sea coast have highlighted the continuing difficulties of coordinating their battlefield operations.

这种协调对泰伊兹至关重要,因为在那里,抵御胡塞武装的能力将取决于夺回道路以用作补给线。

That coordination is vital for Taiz, where holding off the Houthis will depend on recapturing roads for use as supply routes.

贾巴尔尼认为,亲政府武装之间的摩擦正在减少,尽管胡塞武装发动了袭击,但政府武装的补给线仍然完好。

Al-Jabarni argued that friction among pro-government forces is diminishing and the supply lines for government forces remain intact despite the Houthi attacks.

“胡塞武装正试图通过袭击平民设施和补给线 — — 具体来说,就是聚焦于关键基础设施 — — 来对沙特阿拉伯和也门政府施加压力,但我认为这很可能会加快反胡塞武装行动的步伐,而不是减缓它们,”贾巴尔尼说。

“The Houthis are attempting to exert pressure on Saudi Arabia and the Yemeni government by targeting civilian facilities and supply lines – specifically focusing on vital infrastructure – but I believe this is likely to intensify the pace of anti-Houthi operations rather than slowing them down,” al-Jabarni said.