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巴西能源路线或在大选后维持不变,但亚马孙雨林面临风险Brazil's energy course may hold after election, but Amazon at risk

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布莱恩·斯奈德/路透社Brian Snyder/Reuters

如果右翼候选人弗拉维奥·博尔索纳罗在周日的总统大选中获胜,巴西的能源路径变化可能比环保人士预期的要小。总统路易斯·伊纳西奥·卢拉·达席尔瓦的政府已庆祝新的石油发现和勘探工作,这标志着与一些地区左翼盟友的不同。今年早些时候,在辩论一项以国内增值为核心的关键矿产法时,两位候选人所在政党的议员也发现了许多共识。

Brazil’s energy path could change less than environmentalists expect if right-wing candidate Flávio Bolsonaro wins Sunday’s presidential election. President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva’s administration has celebrated new oil discovery and exploration efforts, marking a difference from some regional leftist allies. Lawmakers from the candidates’ respective parties also found much agreement when debating a critical minerals law that centers domestic value addition earlier this year.

不过,两人可能在亚马孙问题上存在分歧:巴西经济学家莫妮卡·德·博莱表示,在博尔索纳罗执政下,现有环境法律的执行可能会减弱,其父执政期间导致超过1100万英亩雨林消失。

One area where the pair may diverge, however, is on the Amazon: Brazilian economist Monica de Bolle said the enforcement of existing environmental laws could weaken under Bolsonaro, whose father presided over the loss of more than 11 million acres of rainforest.

美国稀土公司(美国政府持有股份)近30亿美元收购一家巴西稀土矿企的交易也悬而未决:卢拉反对该交易,据德·博莱称,如果他继续执政,将很可能试图利用一项新法律来改变交易条款。

A nearly $3 billion takeover of a Brazilian rare earth mining firm by USA Rare Earths—which the US government holds a stake in— also hangs in the balance: Lula opposed it, and will likely try to use a new law to change the terms of the deal if he remains in office, according to de Bolle.

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