
塞尔维亚即将举行投票,一场学生运动试图将长期执政的民粹主义领导人亚历山大·武契奇赶下台。作者:尼克·索普初步报告显示,塞尔维亚选民在该国选举中大量投票,与此同时,一场学生抗议运动正试图终结其右翼民粹主义领导人的统治。
Serbia is heading to the polls as a student movement attempts to oust longtime populist leader Aleksandar Vučić. By Nick Thorpe Early reports suggest Serbian voters have turned out in large numbers for the country's election, as a student protest movement attempts to end the rule of its right-wing populist leader.
议会选举的初步报告显示,投票率创下历史新高,截至当地时间14时(格林尼治时间13时),已有46%的选民完成投票,比2023年12月上次选举同期的数字多出近100万。
Preliminary reports from the parliamentary election suggest a record high turnout, with 46% having cast their vote by 14:00 local time (13:00 GMT), nearly a million more than the comparable figure for the previous election in December 2023.
明显的高投票率助长了反对党“学生名单”的希望,他们相信自己能够将亚历山大·武契奇及其自2012年以来一直执政的塞尔维亚进步党(SNS)赶下台。
The apparent high turnout is fuelling the hopes of opposition party Student List that they can oust Aleksandar Vučić and his Serbian Progressive Party (SNS), who have been in power since 2012.
武契奇宣布提前举行选举,此前两年间学生抗议不断,导火索是2024年一座火车站顶棚坍塌事故,该事故造成16人死亡,被视为塞尔维亚腐败和失职的象征。
The snap elections called by Vučić follow two years of student protests triggered by the 2024 collapse of a train station canopy, which killed 16 and was seen as emblematic of corruption and negligence in Serbia.
反腐败运动“学生名单”的竞选纲领包括:清除那些违反规定、镇压抗议者的官员;阻止党内忠诚分子掌管公共企业;使公共广播机构摆脱政治控制。武契奇和塞尔维亚进步党否认存在腐败,也否认试图影响媒体。
Anti-corruption movement Student List are running on a manifesto including purging officials who broke rules cracking down on protesters, stopping party loyalists heading public enterprises, and freeing the public broadcaster of political control. Vučić and the SNS party deny corruption and seeking to influence the media.
多数评论人士认为,如果最终投票率达到65%或以上,将有利于学生一方。投票于20时结束,首批结果迹象预计将在两小时后出现。
Most commentators suggest that a high final turnout, 65% or above, would favour the students. Voting ends at 20:00, with first indications of results expected two hours later.
在塞尔维亚的大城市和小城镇,以及国外的投票站——包括斯洛文尼亚首都卢布尔雅那、慕尼黑、洛杉矶和芝加哥——投票站外都排起了长队。在巴黎,塞尔维亚选民在大雨中排队等候。
Long queues formed outside polling stations in larger cities and smaller towns alike in Serbia, and at polling stations abroad - including Slovenia's capital Ljubljana, Munich, Los Angeles and Chicago. In Paris, Serbian voters waited in line in heavy rain.
塞尔维亚各地气氛紧张。在贝尔格莱德,警方已封锁了共和国选举委员会(RIK)周边的街道。
Tensions are high across Serbia. In Belgrade, police have closed streets around the Republic Electoral Commission (RIK).
在附近的街道上,红绿灯前的汽车摇下车窗,从音响里大声播放着学生们的“战歌”《我想要三个吻》——这首民谣之所以受青睐,是因为“学生名单”在选票上排第三位。路边的年轻人开始跳起舞来。
In the street nearby, cars at the traffic lights lowered their windows to blast one of the students' anthems from loudspeakers, 'I want three kisses' - a folk song favoured because the Students' List is number three on the ballot paper. Young people on the pavement nearby started dancing.

武契奇及其塞尔维亚前进党(SNS)在选票上排第一位。他已担任两届总统,无法寻求第三任,因此现在率领政党参选,意在重返2017年离开的总理职位。
Vučić and his SNS party are number one on the ballot paper. He has spent two terms as president and cannot seek a third term, so he is now leading his party with the aim of returning to the post of prime minister, which he left in 2017.
他在塞尔维亚相当一部分民众中仍保有强大支持。他们视他为维护国家利益的强有力领袖。他还能指出过去十年显著的经济增长和基础设施的诸多改善。
He retains strong support among a significant section of Serbia's population. They view him as a strong leader who stands up for the country's interests. He can also point to significant economic growth over the past decade and numerous improvements in infrastructure.
武契奇支持塞尔维亚加入欧盟的候选国资格,却拒绝因俄罗斯在乌克兰的战争而对俄实施制裁,他承诺提高养老金和公共部门薪资,并投资国家医疗体系。
Vučić, who backs Serbia's candidacy for the European Union while refusing to impose sanctions on Russia over its war in Ukraine, has pledged higher pensions and public sector salaries, and investment in state healthcare.
贴满城市的SNS竞选海报上,展示着两只紧握的手,象征团结:医生和护士的手、农民的手、建筑工人的手、教师的手、父母的手。
SNS posters plastered around cities show two hands clasped together in solidarity: the hands of doctors and nurses, farmers, construction workers, teachers and parents.
“这些是托举塞尔维亚的手,”武契奇在竞选视频中说。“凭借这些手,我们将冷静而有尊严地完成我们开始的事业。”这正是本次大选的议题:延续还是变革。
"These are the hands that hold Serbia in their palms," says Vučić in his campaign video. "And with these hands, calmly and with dignity, we shall finish what we started." That is question of this election, continuity or change.

在对SNS舞弊的担忧中,学生们已向塞尔维亚8210个投票站各派驻至少两名观察员。
Amid fears of electoral fraud by the SNS, the students have delegated at least two observers to each of Serbia's 8,210 voting stations.
周日早上社交媒体上流传的视频显示,南部城市尼什的一家咖啡馆里,选票疑似被提前填好,这是一种被称为“连环投票”的做法。窗上贴着“私人聚会”的标牌。当他们意识到被拍摄时,选票被迅速藏起。还有报道称,在多个投票站发生了针对选举观察员和记者的袭击。
Videos circulating on social media on Sunday morning show a cafe in the southern city of Nis, where ballot papers were allegedly filled out in advance in a practice known as 'chain voting'. Signs in the window read "private party". When they realise that they are being filmed, the papers are quickly hidden. There have also been reports of attacks on election monitors and journalists at several polling stations.
“我们正在见证欧洲当代史上一场独特的实验,”塞尔维亚前副总理、长期反对包括塞尔维亚进步党(SNS)在内的民族主义政党的扎尔科·科拉奇(Žarko Korać)对BBC表示。
"We are witnessing a unique experiment in European contemporary history," Žarko Korać, a former deputy prime minister and long-term opponent of nationalist parties in Serbia including the SNS, told the BBC.

学生主导的各大学院系议会没有自行参选,而是挑选了250名候选人参加议会选举,由诺维萨德大学教授伊利亚·斯尔达诺维奇(Ilija Srdanović)领衔。
Instead of running for office themselves, student-led assemblies at the country's university faculties have chosen 250 candidates to stand in the parliamentary election, with Ilija Srdanović, professor at Novi Sad University, heading the list.
这份学生议会候选人名单还包括医生、演员、学者和体育界人士。“这些人互不相识,你完全不知道他们的政治信仰是什么,而我们现在指望他们组建一个运作正常的政府。所以他们获胜后会发生什么,谁也说不准,”科拉奇说。
The Student List of candidates for parliament also includes doctors, actors, academics and sports personalities "These are people that don't know each other, you have no idea what their political beliefs are, and we now expect them to create a functioning government. So it's anybody's guess what happens after they win," Korać says.
“另一方面,如果武契奇今晚宣布获胜,大概率会是深夜,我认为学生们不会接受。”科拉奇认为,如果学生获胜,许多武契奇的前忠诚拥护者可能会在最后关头倒戈。然而,如果结果胶着,双方都宣称胜利,可能导致数周或数月的政治动荡。
"On the other hand, if Vučić declares victory this evening, probably late in the evening, I don't think the students will accept that." Korać suggests that many former Vučić loyalists in high office could change sides at the last moment, if the students win. A close result, however, with both sides claiming victory, could result in weeks or months of political instability.
选民人数为645万,总人口为653万,这引发了对选民名册可靠性的担忧。科索沃的塞尔维亚人,以及来自邻国波黑的双重国籍塞尔维亚公民也拥有投票权。
The electorate is 6.45 million in a population of 6.53 million, raising concerns about the reliability of the electoral. Serbs from Kosovo, and dual Serbian citizens from neighbouring Bosnia also have the right to vote.