
希望、紧张与忧虑交织,塞尔维亚迎来关键选举 桑娅·克利亚伊奇 2026年10月23日在持续两年的抗议之后,塞尔维亚将于周日迎来一场关键选举,由学生发起的挑战直指亚历山大·武契奇的长期统治。关于选举舞弊的指控和对选后危机的担忧弥漫四周。
Hope, tension and apprehension as Serbia approaches crucial election Sanja Kljajic October 23, 2026 After two years of protests, Serbia faces a pivotal election on Sunday, with a student-led challenge to Aleksandar Vucic's lengthy rule. Allegations of electoral irregularities and fears of a post-election crisis abound.
在关键的议会选举前三天,“学生名单”的支持者涌入贝尔格莱德市中心,参加最后一场竞选集会。周四晚间,成千上万的人聚集参加“学生名单”最后一场集会,希望的气息弥漫贝尔格莱德。这个由抗议政府近两年的学生运动推出的候选人团体,正号召选民在周日的议会选举中通过选票终结塞尔维亚现政权的统治。
许多参加集会的人已花费数天时间,从全国四面八方徒步走到塞尔维亚首都,将竞选收官之战变成了一场团结与和平决心的展示。
Three days before a pivotal parliamentary election in Serbia, supporters of the Student List poured into central Belgrade for a final campaign rally A sense of hope swept through Belgrade on Thursday evening as thousands gathered for the final rally of the Student List, the group of candidates put forward by the student movement that has been protesting against the government for almost exactly two years. The Student List is calling for an end to the current regime in Serbia via the ballot box in Sunday's parliamentary election Many of those who attended the rally had spent days walking to the Serbian capital from all four corners of the country, turning the campaign finale into a display of solidarity and peaceful determination.
“我们走遍了塞尔维亚的南北,走进村庄和社区,直视你们的眼睛,意识到我们可以指望你们,”生物专业学生阿尔萨·斯托亚诺维奇对人群说道。
"We have walked across Serbia from one end to the other, visited villages and neighborhoods, looked you in the eye and realized that we can count on you," biology student Arsa Stojanovic told the crowd.
“人们,空气中弥漫着自由的味道,”交通工程学教授、同时也是“学生名单”候选人的亚历山大·丘皮奇补充道。学生成为变革推动力在2024年11月诺维萨德火车站混凝土雨棚坍塌事故造成16人死亡后引发的抗议持续24个月之际,塞尔维亚正步入一场不同于塞尔维亚进步党(SNS)14年前首次执政以来任何一次的选举。
"People, it smells like freedom," added Aleksandar Cupic, professor of transport and traffic engineering, and a candidate on the Student List. Students emerge as agents of change After 24 months of protests sparked by the collapse of a concrete canopy at Novi Sad railway station which killed 16 people in November 2024, Serbia is heading into an election unlike any other in the 14 years since the Serbian Progressive Party (SNS) first came to power.
“学生名单”在选票上的编号是3号。多年来首次,执政党面临严峻的政治挑战,而这一次,挑战来自一个将广泛公众不满引入选举竞争的学生运动。
Three is the number of the Student List on the ballot paper For the first time in years, the ruling party faces a serious political challenge, which this time comes from a student movement that has channeled widespread public discontent into an electoral campaign.
“这是自[亚历山大·]武契奇2012年掌权以来,首次具有竞争性且结果难以预测的选举,”政治学家杜尚·斯帕索耶维奇对德国之声表示。“学生运动在民众中激起了希望,并获得了大量支持。民调显示,他们甚至可能获得超过40%的选票。”学生名单将此次选举定性为对抗腐败、追究一场沦为体制性失败象征的灾难责任的契机。
"These are the first elections since [Aleksandar] Vucic came to power in 2012 that are competitive and whose outcome is uncertain," political scientist Dusan Spasojevic told DW. "The student movement has generated hope among citizens and substantial support. Polls suggest that they could even win more than 40% of the vote." The Student List has framed the election as a chance to confront corruption and demand accountability for a disaster that became a symbol of institutional failure.
在此过程中,学生们试图搁置长期以来塑造塞尔维亚政治的意识形态、社会和外交政策分歧。
In doing so, the students have sought to put aside the ideological, social and foreign-policy divisions that have long shaped Serbian politics.
执政党SNS自诩为延续性的保障者 仅几公里之外,同样在贝尔格莱德,执政的塞尔维亚进步党(SNS)举行了自己的最后一场造势集会。
SNS presents itself as a guarantor of continuity Just a few kilometers away, also in Belgrade, the ruling SNS held its own final rally.
“他们动用数十亿欧元攻击我们,我们则以正直、我们的纲领、对祖国的热爱和塞尔维亚的成就进行捍卫,”亚历山大·武契奇周四对支持者说道 这里的信息一如既往:投票给SNS意味着稳定、延续和进一步繁荣,而政权更迭将冒着让国家陷入混乱的风险。
'They attacked us with billions of euros, and we defended ourselves with integrity, our program, love for our homeland and Serbia's achievements,' Aleksandar Vucic told his supporters on Thursday The message here was familiar: A vote for the SNS means stability, continuity and further prosperity, while a change of government would risk plunging the country into chaos.
该党将选举定性为关乎塞尔维亚未来和主权的战役,指责对手充当外国利益的代理人。
The party framed the election as a battle for Serbia's future and sovereignty, accusing its opponents of serving foreign interests.
“他们受外国指使试图摧毁我们的国家,这就是为什么这是最艰难的战役,”前总统亚历山大·武契奇对支持者说道。“他们动用数十亿欧元攻击我们,我们则以正直、我们的纲领、对祖国的热爱和塞尔维亚的成就进行捍卫。” 紧张局势升级 竞选活动日益笼罩在暴力阴影之下,折射出一个将政治对手往往不仅描绘为对手,更描绘为敌人的社会。
"They tried to destroy our country on foreign orders, and that is why this is the hardest battle," former President Aleksandar Vucic told his supporters. "They attacked us with billions of euros, and we defended ourselves with integrity, our program, love for our homeland and Serbia's achievements." Rising tension The campaign has increasingly been overshadowed by violence, reflecting a society in which political opponents are often portrayed not simply as rivals, but as enemies.
不仅是学生支持“学生名单”。红手成为了2024年11月学生抗议运动的象征。到了竞选最后一周,独立选举监督组织CRTA已记录了116起涉及肢体暴力或言语威胁的事件。这些事件包括肢体冲突、对竞选人员的袭击以及试图夺走竞选横幅。
It's not just students who support the Student List. The red hand became a symbol of the student protest movement in November 2024 By the final week of the campaign, CRTA, an independent election-monitoring organization, had recorded 116 incidents involving physical violence or verbal threats. The incidents included physical confrontations, attacks on campaigners and attempts to seize campaign banners.
CRTA还报告称,反对派活动人士,特别是与“学生名单”有关联的人士,也遭到了监视和警方盘问。该组织表示,在某些情况下,警方对保护反对派候选人和支持者反应迟缓。
CRTA also reported that opposition activists, particularly those linked to the Student List, were also subjected to surveillance and police questioning. In some cases, the organization said, police were slow to protect opposition candidates and supporters.
关于与犯罪网络关联的指控 在选举前夕,还出现了一系列调查报道,审视执政党塞尔维亚进步党(SNS)相关人士与犯罪网络之间的涉嫌关联。
Allegations of links to criminal networks In the final runup to the election, there have also been a series of investigative reports examining alleged links between people connected to the ruling SNS and criminal networks.
这些报道由独立媒体在选举前几天发布,再次引发了人们对腐败、政治影响力和问责制问题的关注——这些正是学生运动向政府发起挑战的核心议题。但斯帕索耶维奇怀疑,这些披露是否会对选举结果产生重大影响。
Published by independent media in the days before the election, the reports have brought renewed attention to questions of corruption, political influence and accountability — issues at the heart of the student movement's challenge to the government. But Spasojevic is skeptical that the revelations will make a significant difference to the election outcome.
他认为,信任调查性媒体的人很可能早已下定决心,而依赖亲政府媒体的选民甚至可能根本看不到这些报道。
He argues that those who trust investigative media are likely to have already made up their minds, while voters who rely on pro-government outlets may never even see these reports.
对违规行为的担忧 此外,人们对选举过程的公正性也存在严重担忧。
Concerns about irregularities There are also serious concerns about the fairness of the election process.
震动塞尔维亚并正在塑造选举的丑闻 要观看此视频,CRTA告诉德国之声,从第一天起,选举竞选就既不自由也不公平,理由是候选人和选民之间“自由空间的收窄和不平等的加深”。
The scandals that rocked Serbia and are shaping the election To view this video , and CRTA told DW that the election campaign has not been either free or fair from day one, citing "a narrowing of freedoms and deepening inequality" among candidates and voters.
其报告发现媒体报道存在显著失衡:国家电视台用于政治人物的播出时间中,近四分之三呈现的是政府代表;而对“学生名单”的报道超过80%为负面。
Its report found a pronounced imbalance in media coverage: Almost three-quarters of airtime devoted to political players on national television has featured government representatives, while more than 80% of coverage on the Student List has been negative.
投票前夕,巴尔干调查报道网(BIRN)发布了一名前塞尔维亚进步党(SNS)成员的证词,描述了公共部门员工如何被施压为该党拉选票。
Ahead of the vote, the Balkan Investigative Reporting Network (BIRN) published the testimony of a former member of the SNS, who described how public-sector employees were pressured to deliver votes for the party.
德国之声(DW)还从要求匿名的消息人士处获悉,选民被开出30欧元至150欧元不等的价码,以投票支持进步党;据报道,如果全家承诺将选票投给执政党,甚至会被提供度假套餐。选举后会发生什么?
DW has also learned from sources who want to remain anonymous that voters have been offered between €30 and €150 to vote for the SNS, with holiday packages reportedly offered to entire families if they pledge all their votes to the ruling party. What could come after the election?
许多人担心投票后会出现一段动荡、不确定和政治危机的时期,选举之夜本身更是焦虑的特定来源。
Many fear a period of turbulence, uncertainty and political crisis after the vote, with election night itself a particular source of anxiety.
数周来,当局警告称,学生据称在外国情报机构帮助下,正准备在街头制造暴力。竞选最后几天,检方以涉嫌策划选举之夜骚乱为由逮捕了数人。
For weeks, the authorities have warned that students, allegedly with the help of foreign intelligence services, are preparing violence in the streets. In the final days of the campaign, several people were arrested on what the prosecution has said was the suspicion of plotting disturbances on election night.
杜尚·斯帕索耶维奇表示,最好的情况是两个对立阵营中的一方取得决定性胜利,几乎不给另一方留下质疑结果的空间。
The best-case scenario, says Dusan Spasojevic, would be a decisive victory for one of the two opposing camps, leaving little room for the other to challenge the result.
支持者本周在一场集会上为阿莱克桑德尔·武契奇和执政的进步党欢呼 “但民调显示差距将非常微小,我们很可能会陷入某种选举后危机,”他说,并补充道,考虑到长期以来对选举过程公正性的担忧,以及部分选票可能被非法获取的指控,执政党的微弱胜利几乎肯定会被质疑。
Supporters cheered Aleksandar Vucic and the ruling SNS party at a rally this week "But polls suggest that the margin will be narrow, and we will probably enter some kind of post-election crisis," he said, adding that a narrow victory for the ruling party would almost certainly be contested, given longstanding concerns about the fairness of the electoral process and allegations that some votes may have been obtained illegally.
欧盟的反应可能至关重要 无论发生什么,欧洲联盟(EU)的反应可能至关重要。
The EU's reaction could be crucial Whatever happens, the European Union 's response could be crucial.
“我认为国际社会的反应将对防止重大事件和危机进一步升级起到关键作用。这是唯一能说服当局接受失败、避免对任何抗议或事件采取过于强硬回应的因素,”他对德国之声表示。
"I think the international response will be crucial in preventing major incidents and a further escalation of the crisis. It is the only thing that can persuade the authorities to accept defeat and refrain from an overly heavy-handed response to any protests or incidents," he told DW.
欧盟委员会发言人向德国之声承认,关于改善塞尔维亚选举框架的关键建议仍未落实,并强调民主和法治是入盟进程的关键。
An EU Commission spokesperson acknowledged to DW that key recommendations on improving Serbia's electoral framework remain unimplemented and also stressed that democracy and the rule of law are key to the accession process.
塞尔维亚自2012年起成为欧盟候选国。回到贝尔格莱德,学生们以一场科洛——一种传统的塞尔维亚圆圈舞——结束了集会,展现出对自己在投票箱前获胜机会的信心。
Serbia has been an EU candidate country since 2012 Back in Belgrade, the students ended their rally with a kolo a traditional Serbian circle dance, projecting confidence in their chances at the ballot box.
但通往胜利的道路可能充满坎坷。该运动誓言要捍卫每一张选票——如果结果有争议,这将为一个可能紧张的选举之夜埋下伏笔。
But the path to victory could prove difficult. The movement has vowed to defend every vote — setting the stage for a potentially tense election night if the results are disputed.