尼克负责报道意大利、梵蒂冈、希腊和巴尔干地区。自2000年起为本报撰稿,此前曾报道澳大利亚、新西兰和南太平洋地区 格林威治标准时间下午4点47分 塞尔维亚陷入未知领域,其长期执政的威权领导人亚历山大·武契奇于周一被一场民众学生运动推翻。
Nick covers Italy, the Vatican, Greece and the Balkans. He has reported for the paper since 2000, having previously covered Australia, New Zealand and the South Pacific 4:47pm GMT Serbia faces uncharted waters after Aleksandar Vučić, its longtime authoritarian leader, was toppled by a popular student movement on Monday.
“学生名单”获得大量支持,但没有明确的总理或其他政府职位人选,使塞尔维亚陷入不确定性之中。
The Student List garnered substantial support but has no clear candidate for prime minister or any other government role, plunging Serbia into uncertainty.
欣喜的塞尔维亚人将武契奇先生——他作为总统或总理执政了12年——及其塞尔维亚前进党(SNS)的选举失利描述为“奇迹”和“梦想成真”。
Jubilant Serbs described the electoral defeat of Mr Vučić – who had been in power as president or prime minister for 12 years – and his Serbian Progressive Party (SNS) as “a miracle” and “a dream come true”.
据独立选举监督组织CeSID统计,基于96%的计票进度,“学生名单”获得53%的选票,而武契奇先生的民粹主义前进党获得近39%。这一结果将使“学生名单”在250个国民议会席位中获得140席,前进党获得103席,少数族裔政党将获得剩余席位。
According to the independent electoral watchdog CeSID, the Student List secured 53 per cent of the vote while Mr Vučić’s populist SNS garnered almost 39 per cent, based on 96 per cent of the count. The result will give the Student List 140 of the 250 seats in the national assembly, with the SNS at 103. Minority parties will get the remaining seats.
武契奇先生作为总统或总理执政了12年 这是巴尔干国家的一次剧变,但前方仍有巨大的不确定性。
Mr Vučić had been in power as president or prime minister for 12 years It is a seismic change for the Balkan nation, but a great deal of uncertainty lies ahead.
“学生名单”源于2024年诺维萨德市火车站雨棚倒塌导致16人死亡引发的愤怒。
The Student List grew out of anger after 16 people died when a railway station canopy collapsed in 2024 in the city of Novi Sad.
许多塞尔维亚人不仅对抗议运动胜利的规模感到惊讶,也对武契奇先生认输的速度感到意外。
Many Serbs were surprised not only by the scale of the protest movement’s victory but also by the speed with which Mr Vučić conceded defeat.
此前曾有担忧,他可能会对选举结果提出异议,这可能导致其忠诚支持者与“学生名单”支持者发生冲突。
There had been fears that he might contest the election result, which could have led to clashes between his loyalists and supporters of the Student List.
塞尔维亚现在面临的问题是,这场学生领导的运动将如何以及何时组建政府,并将任命谁为总理。
Serbia now faces questions about how and when the student-led movement will form a government and who it will appoint as prime minister.
许多塞尔维亚人对抗议运动胜利的规模感到惊讶 贝尔格莱德大学政治学家亚历山德拉·克尔斯季奇教授将这一结果描述为“历史性的”和“巨大的惊喜”。
Many Serbs were surprised by the scale of the protest movement’s victory Prof Aleksandra Krstić, a political scientist at the University of Belgrade, described the results as “historic” and “a huge surprise”.
她告诉《每日电讯报》:“人们庆祝了整个夜晚。人们突然感到自由。他们正在看到自由是什么样子。但还有大量工作要做。我们不知道谁将担任总理。”学生名单运动由250名候选人组成。没有指定的领导人,几乎没有人有政府经验,尽管他们在其他领域颇有成就——例如,德扬·肖希奇是前央行行长。
She told The Telegraph: “People celebrated long into the night. People suddenly feel free. They are seeing what freedom looks like. But there is a lot of work to be done. We don’t know who will be prime minister.”The Student List movement consists of 250 candidates. There are no designated leaders and hardly any have experience in government, although they are distinguished in other fields – Dejan Šoškić, for instance, is a former governor of the central bank.
学生名单的其他候选人包括来自诺维萨德的心脏病学教授伊利亚·斯尔达诺维奇;前篮球明星德扬·博迪罗加;出演过80多部电影的演员蒂霍米尔·斯塔尼奇;歌剧演员尼古拉·米基奇;贝尔格莱德律师、嘻哈乐队创始人费季亚·迪莫维奇,其乐队的歌曲长期抨击腐败;以及前文化古迹保护研究所副所长埃斯特拉·拉东吉奇·日夫科夫。
Other candidates for the Student List include Ilija Srdanović, a professor of cardiology from the city of Novi Sad; Dejan Bodiroga, a former basketball star; Tihomir Stanić, an actor who has appeared in more than 80 films; Nikola Mikić, an opera singer; Feđa Dimović, a Belgrade lawyer and the founder of a hip hop group whose songs have long attacked corruption; and Estela Radonjić Živkov, former deputy director of the Institute for the Protection of Cultural Monuments.
前塞尔维亚国家银行行长德扬·肖希奇,周日在投票站投票。“最大的不确定性是……谁将领导政府,谁将担任关键部长,以及他们将如何根据他们打击腐败、重新引入法治,同时重新确立塞尔维亚在外交政策中地位的承诺来运作,”政治顾问拉多耶·格鲁伊奇告诉路透社。
Dejan Šoškić, the former governor of the National Bank of Serbia, voting at a polling station on Sunday“The biggest uncertainty is... who is going to lead the government, who will be the key ministers, and how they will operate based on the promises they made to fight corruption, to reintroduce the rule of law, but also to re-establish Serbia’s position in foreign policy,” Radivoje Grujić, a political consultant, told Reuters.
投票率接近70%,是自1992年南斯拉夫解体以来的最高水平。
Voter turnout was close to 70 per cent, the highest since the breakup of Yugoslavia in 1992.
“该运动的主要目标将是夺回被控制的机构,重建对民主、司法、媒体和教育体系的信任,”克尔西奇教授说。
“The movement’s main aim is going to be the recovery of captured institutions, to bring back trust in democracy, in the judiciary, in the media, in the education system,” said Prof Krstić.
社会许多领域可能会清洗政权官员,就像今年早些时候维克托·欧尔班16年统治在选举中结束后,匈牙利正在发生的情况一样。
There will probably be a purging of regime officials in many sectors of society, as is taking place in Hungary after Viktor Orbán’s 16-year rule was brought to an end in elections earlier this year.
欣喜若狂的塞尔维亚人将武契奇的选举失利描述为“奇迹”。“这就是学生们想要的——清除前政权的人将是他们的优先事项之一。这不会一蹴而就。在14年非常强势的统治之后,这将会很复杂,”克尔丘蒂奇教授补充道。
Jubilant Serbs described the electoral defeat of Mr Vučić as ‘a miracle’ “This is what the students want – the removal of former regime people is going to be one of their priorities. It won’t happen overnight. After 14 years of very strong rule, it’s going to be complicated,” Prof Krstić added.
新政府的外交政策议程仍不明朗。选举竞选几乎完全围绕国内议题展开。
The new government’s foreign policy agenda remains unclear. The election campaign was fought almost exclusively on domestic issues.
新政府还将继承一个复杂的地缘政治局势。武契奇擅长与俄罗斯保持密切关系,同时争取中国作为主要投资者,又一边讨好西方,希望塞尔维亚能加入欧盟。
The new administration will also inherit a complicated geopolitical landscape. Mr Vučić was adept at maintaining close ties with Russia and courting China as a major investor while at the same time pandering to the West in the hope of Serbia being admitted to the EU.
莫斯科向武契奇致敬,称其为巴尔干地区长期的盟友,并向学生运动发出警告。
Moscow paid tribute to Mr Vučić as a longstanding ally in the Balkans and sounded a note of warning to the student movement.
武契奇与普京合影。作为领导人,他擅长与俄罗斯保持密切关系。克里姆林宫发言人德米特里·佩斯科夫表示,他希望塞尔维亚的新统治者意识到,与俄罗斯的合作符合他们自己国家的利益,俄罗斯向塞尔维亚提供廉价能源。
Mr Vučić pictured with Vladimir Putin. As leader he was adept at maintaining close ties with Russia Dmitry Peskov, the Kremlin spokesman, said he hoped Serbia’s new rulers realised that co-operation with Russia, which supplies cheap energy to Serbia, was in their own country’s interests.
“至于选举产生的新政治力量,我们希望表达这样的愿望:其行动也能建设性地推动关系的进一步发展,并且这些新政治力量会明白,与俄罗斯的合作符合塞尔维亚的利益,因为这有利于塞尔维亚。
“As for the new political force that will come to power as a result of the elections, we wish to express our hope that its actions will also be constructively directed towards the further development of relations, and that these new political forces will understand that cooperation with Russia is in Serbia’s interests, because it benefits Serbia.
“就我们而言,我们打算继续尽一切努力促进与贝尔格莱德关系的发展。但是,众所周知,一只手拍不响。”
“For our part, we intend to continue to do everything we can to foster the development of our relations with Belgrade. But, as you know, it takes two to tango.”