截至当地时间周三晚上9点，在已清点的90%的选票中，备受关注的以色列选举尚未产生明显的胜者。根据以色列中央选举委员会的数据，基于初步结果，本雅明·内塔尼亚胡领导的利库德集团的执政联盟有望在拥有120个席位的议会中获得53个席位，而由加迪·艾森科特领导的反对党则拥有48个席位。
With 90 per cent of the votes counted 9pm local time on Wednesday, no clear winner has emerged in the widely watched Israeli elections. According to the Israeli Central Elections Committee, the ruling coalition of Benjamin Netanyahu's Likud party was poised to bag 53 seats in the 120-seat Knesset, and the Opposition, led by Gadi Eisenkot, had 48 seats based on the interim results.
尽管目前尚无明显的胜者，但两个阿拉伯政党——“共同名单”和“拉阿姆”——及其可能在新政府中扮演的角色正受到密切关注。
While there is no clear winner in sight, the two Arab parties - the Joint List and Ra'am - and their possible role in the new government are under the spotlight.
以色列选举：决定谁来执政的数字、联盟和61个席位的门槛。根据选举委员会的数据，阿拉伯政党可能获得多达19个席位——这意味着无论他们加入哪个阵营，该联盟都将组建下一届政府。关于“共同名单”与“拉阿姆”“共同名单”“共同名单”是以色列阿拉伯人为主的政党于2015年组成的一个政治联盟。该联盟由“和平民主党”、“民族民主联盟”和“阿拉伯复兴运动”组成。
Israel election: The numbers, alliances and 61-seat mark that decides who governs As per the election committee, the Arab parties could secure up to 19 seats - meaning whichever bloc they join, that coalition will form the next government. About Joint List and Ra'amJoint ListThe Joint List is a political alliance of Arab-majority parties in Israel formed in 2015. The alliance comprises Hadash, Balad and Ta'al. Ra'am too was part of this bloc until 2021.
“拉阿姆”在2021年之前也是该阵营的一部分。尽管是一个联盟，“共同名单”经常作为独立政党参加选举。
Despite being an alliance, the Joint List often contests elections as a standalone party. In 2015, the Joint List emerged as the third-largest party in the Knesset with 13 seats and 10.6 per cent of the vote share.
2015年，“共同名单”在议会中获得13个席位和10.6%的得票率，一跃成为议会第三大党。“共同名单”在2019年的选举中以15个席位重新夺回第三大党的头衔。
The Joint List regained its title as the third-largest party in the 2019 elections, with 15 seats. However, due to the inability to produce a coalition government in 2019, Israel voted again in 2020, where the Arab alliance won 15 seats.
然而，由于2019年未能组建联合政府，以色列于2020年再次举行大选，阿拉伯联盟赢得了15个席位。
The alliance ran again in 2021 without Ra'am and won six seats, recording a sharp decline in its voter share.
该联盟在2021年再次参选，但没有“拉阿姆”加入，仅赢得6个席位，选民份额录得急剧下降。
In the next few years, as Ra'am, Ta'al, and Balad moved away from the alliance, the Joint List disbanded.
在接下来的几年里，随着拉阿姆（Ra'am）、塔阿尔（Ta'al）和巴拉德（Balad）退出联盟，“联合名单”解散了。在加沙和黎巴嫩战争的背景下，为了2026年的选举，“联合名单”重新出现，这一次由哈达什（Hadash）、塔阿尔和巴拉德组成，而拉阿姆则单独参选。在优素福·扎巴林（Yousef Jabareen）的领导下，“联合名单”将重点放在以色列卷入的更大冲突上，并呼吁将工作重点从战争转向投资于生活。
For the 2026 elections, in the backdrop of the war in Gaza and Lebanon, the Joint List re-emerged, this time with Hadash, Ta'al, Balad, while Ra'am contested alone. Led by Yousef Jabareen, the Joint List has focused on the larger conflicts Israel is involved in and called for a shift in focus to investing in life, rather than war. The alliance has also advocated for better housing, wages, free education, improving the Israeli-Arab society, and workers' rights. The list also called for a plan to eradicate organised crime, which is a key issue for Arab society in Israel."
该联盟还主张改善住房、提高工资、实行免费教育、改善以色列阿拉伯社会以及维护工人权益。该名单还呼吁制定一项根除有组织犯罪的计划，这是以色列阿拉伯社会的一个关键问题。
Investment in economic development. Restore the rule of law. Hit the pocket - sever the alliance between crime, corruption and privatisations. Strengthen the Arab local authorities and protect them. Move from a culture of 'fixes' to a culture of lawful arrangements.
“投资经济发展。恢复法治。打击腰包——切断犯罪、腐败与私有化之间的联盟。加强阿拉伯地方当局并保护他们。从‘权宜之计’的文化转向法治安排的文化。在国家与阿拉伯社会之间建立真正的伙伴关系——反对犯罪联盟的‘生命联盟’。确保真正的公民平等，”该联盟在发布2026年大选竞选纲领时的一份声明中写道。拉阿姆拉阿姆也被称为统一阿拉伯名单（United Arab List），得以色列的一个具有伊斯兰主义根源的保守派政党。
Build a genuine partnership between the state and Arab society - the Coalition for Life against the crime coalition. Ensuring genuine civil equality," reads a statement from the alliance that accompanied the alliance's manifesto for the 2026 polls. Ra'amRa'am, also known as the United Arab List, is a conservative political party in Israel with Islamist roots.
该政党在以色列1996年大选前成立。虽然拉阿姆党自1996年以来一直参加竞选，但其得票率逐渐增加，直到2021年加入联合政府，这标志着50年来阿拉伯政党首次在以色列执政政府中发出声音。2022年，该党重返反对派，党魁曼苏尔·阿巴斯表示，该党对与“反内塔尼亚胡的声音”合作持开放态度。虽然该党最初是伊斯兰运动南派，但在2025年，该党宣布与该运动分离，并作为“公民政党”运作。
The party was established before the 1996 elections in Israel. While Ra'am has contested elections since 1996, its vote share gradually increased until 2021, when it joined the coalition government, marking the first time in 50 years that an Arab party became a voice in the Israeli ruling government. In 2022, the party returned to the Opposition, with leader Mansour Abbas stating that the party was open to working with "anti-Netanyahu voices." While starting out as a southern faction of the Islamic Movement, in 2025 the party announced its separation from the movement and functioned as a "civic party."
众所周知，这个阿拉伯政党支持以色列和巴勒斯坦之间的两国方案；然而，其竞选纲领并未“强调结束以色列对巴勒斯坦领土占领的必要性”。在其领袖曼苏尔·阿巴斯的带领下，拉阿姆党致力于充分参与以色列议会政治并改善以色列阿拉伯人的生活质量。该党的选民主要由民族主义倾向的以色列阿拉伯人组成，尤其是贝都因社群。
The Arab party is known to support the two-state solution between Israel and Palestine; however, its manifestos do not "emphasise the need to end Israeli occupation of Palestinian territories." Under its leader, Masour Abbas, the Ra'am party focuses on full-fledged political involvement in the Knesset and to improve the quality of life for Arab Israelis. The party's voters mostly consist of nationalist Israeli Arabs, especially from the Bedouin community.
阿拉伯政党能否成为“造王者”？这19个阿拉伯席位可以使内塔尼亚胡或埃森科特阵营跨过61席的多数门槛。然而，一项反阿拉伯的否决权限制了这些政党。这种非正式的否决权指的是犹太人领导的政党不愿与阿拉伯人领导的派别组建联合政府。内塔尼亚胡领导的阵营曾采取行动禁止“联合名单”和拉阿姆党等阿拉伯政党参加竞选，后来这一举动被最高法院驳回，这也反映了这一点。
Can the Arab parties be 'kingmakers'?The 19 Arab seats could take the Netanyahu or Eisenkot blocs over the 61 majority mark. However, an anti-Arab veto limits the parties. This informal veto refers to the reluctance of Jewish-led political parties to form a coalition with Arab-led factions. This was also reflected in a move by the Netanyahu-led bloc to bar Arab parties such as the Joint List and Ra'am from contesting the elections, a move later struck down by the Supreme Court.
以色列大选：阿拉伯政党预计将赢得创纪录席位，但可能无法成为“造王者”如果埃森科特希望推翻内塔尼亚胡政府，与阿拉伯政党结盟将是唯一的出路。对于面临终极考验的内塔尼亚胡来说，在持续的战争和腐败审判中，与阿拉伯政党结盟或许能帮他赢得又一个任期。
Israel election: Arab parties projected to win record seats but may not be 'kingmakers'If Eisenkot wishes to remove the Netanyahu government, teaming up with the Arab parties will be the only way out. For Netanyahu, who is facing the ultimate test, a coalition with Arab parties may help him secure another term amid the ongoing wars and a corruption trial.
然而，现任总理表示，与阿拉伯政党组建联盟将是“一种耻辱和丑闻”。联合名单领导人贾巴林表示，该联盟赢得席位的主要目标将集中在“赶走内塔尼亚胡并改变以色列的政治局势”，并补充说，与艾森科特合作也可能是一个挑战，因为该集团支持以色列在加沙地带的军事行动和对黎巴嫩南部的占领。
However, the incumbent has stated that a coalition with Arab parties would be "a shame and disgrace." Joint List leader Jabareen has stated that the main aim of the seats won by the alliance will focus on "getting rid of Netanyahu and changing the political situation in Israel," adding that working with Eisenkot may also be a challenge due to the bloc's support for Israel's military campaign in the Gaza Strip and occupation of southern Lebanon.
与此同时，统一阿拉伯名单领导人阿巴斯表示愿意加入新联合政府，称在体制内工作是解决问题的最佳途径。“如果我们加入一个变革政府，我们将能够看到实质性的变化，而不仅仅是空谈，”首批出口民调于周三公布后，阿巴斯对 Ynet 新闻网表示。
Meanwhile, Ra'am leader Abbas has signalled a willingness to join a new coalition, stating that working from within the system was the best way to address issues." If we join a government of change, we will be able to see substantial changes, not just empty talk," Abbas told Ynet news after the first exit polls were released on Wednesday.
但在 2023 年 10 月 7 日哈马斯发动袭击后，与阿拉伯政党合作可能成为犹太主导政党的禁忌。
But teaming with Arab parties could be an anathema to Jewish-led parties after the October 7, 2023, attacks by Hamas.
如果两大阵营都拒绝与阿拉伯政党携手，以色列可能面临再次大选，内塔尼亚胡将继续担任看守总理。
If both blocs refuse to join hands with Arab parties, Israel could face another election, with Netanyahu staying on as the caretaker leader.