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美国中期选举投票人数已超5000万:这意味着什么?More than 50 million votes cast in US midterm elections: What does it mean?

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一名选民在俄亥俄州诺伍德的汉密尔顿县选举委员会投下提前选票[资料图:塞缪尔·科鲁姆/通过路透社]A person casts an early ballot at the Hamilton County Board of Elections in Norwood, Ohio [File: Samuel Corum/Pool via Reuters]

根据佛罗里达大学的分析,截至周日,2026年美国中期选举的提前投票人数激增,超过5000万美国人已投票。

Early voting has surged in the 2026 United States midterm elections with more than 50 million Americans casting their ballots as of Sunday, according to alysis by the University of Florida.

在50个州中,大多数州允许提前现场投票,所有州都允许邮寄投票。约2300万人通过邮寄选票投票,特朗普总统此前曾试图在选举前限制邮寄投票,但未能成功。

Most of the 50 states allow early in-person voting while all of them allow mail-in voting. About 23 million people voted through mail-in ballots, which President Donald Trump unsuccessfully tried to curb before the elections.

最新的全国民调显示,距离周二选举日还有两天,民主党的支持率为51.5%,共和党为43.1%。

With two days left to go before Election Day on Tuesday, support for Democrats was 51.5 percent and for Republicans 43.1 percent, the latest national polls suggested.

总统的关税政策以及他决定与以色列一起对伊朗发动战争,正在损害他的共和党。这两项政策都被指责导致了生活成本危机。为什么这么多美国人提前投票?它是如何运作的?以下是我们了解的情况:有多少美国人提前投票了?提前投票让美国公民有机会在选举日之前投票。

The president’s tariff policy and his decision to launch a war with Israel on Iran are hurting his Republican Party. Both have been blamed for contributing to a cost-of-living crisis. Why are so many Americans voting early? How does it work? Here’s what we know: How many Americans have voted early?

根据美国政府的说法,大多数州的人们可以前往指定的投票站提前现场投票。所有州都提供邮寄投票选项,注册选民可以在选举日之前通过邮寄方式接收和寄回选票。

Early voting gives US citizens a chance to cast their ballots before Election Day. According to the US government, people may vote early in person in most states by visiting designated polling stations.

提供在11月之前现场投票选项的州数量从2000年的24个增加到2026年的47个,加上华盛顿特区。但提前投票期、资格要求和程序因州而异。

All states offer vote-by-mail options, in which registered voters may receive and return ballots by Election Day by mail. The number of states offering options to vote in person before November expanded from 24 in 2000 to 47 in 2026, plus Washington, DC.

今年,在约2.1亿注册选民中,根据佛罗里达大学的分析,截至周日东部时间上午6点56分(格林尼治标准时间11点56分),有5314万人提前投票。其中包括2900万张现场投票和2300万张邮寄选票。在2022年中期选举中,有4600万人提前投票。

But early-voting periods, eligibility requirements and procedures vary widely by state. This year, out of about 210 million registered voters, 53.14 million had voted early as of 6:56am East Coast time (11:56 GMT) on Sunday , according to the University of Florida analysis. This includes 29 million in-person votes and 23 million mail-in ballots.

根据该大学的分析,今年民主党的提前投票热情更高,超过1100万名注册民主党人已提前投票,而注册共和党人约为800万。哪些州的提前投票激增?

In the 2022 midterm elections, 46 million people had voted early. Early voting enthusiasm has been higher among Democrats this year with more than 11 million registered Democrats having voted early, compared with about 8 million registered Republicans, according to the university’s analysis.

提前投票在关键摇摆州得克萨斯州尤为激增,已有超过700万人提前投票。根据佛罗里达大学的分析,这比2022年中期选举的提前投票人数多出150多万。

Which states have seen a surge in early votes? Early voting has particularly surged in the state of Texas, a key battleground, where more than 7 million people have already voted early.

据美联社民意分析,在南卡罗来纳州——特朗普在2024年(原文如此)以近18个百分点的优势获胜——提前投票较2022年同期激增83%。该州今年有州长和联邦参议员的空缺席位竞选。

This is over 1.5 million more than voted early in the 2022 midterms, according to the University of Florida analysis. According to an Associated Press polling analysis, in South Carolina, where Trump won by nearly 18 percentage points in 2024, early voting has surged 83 percent compared with the same point in 2022.

在堪萨斯州——共和党参议员罗杰·马歇尔对阵民主党卫理公会牧师亚当·汉密尔顿——提前投票增加了34%,比四年前同期多投出约8.3万张选票,美联社报道称。

The state has open races for governor and US Senate this year.

在缅因州——共和党参议员苏珊·柯林斯对阵民主党前州参议院议长特洛伊·杰克逊——提前投票上涨44%。密歇根州也比2022年同期多记录了约40.9万张提前选票,增幅32%。为什么人们选择提前投票?

In Kansas, where Republican Senator Roger Marshall faces Democratic Methodist minister Adam Hamilton, early voting has increased 34 percent with roughly 83,000 more ballots cast than at the same point four years ago, AP reported. In Maine, where Republican Senator Susan Collins faces Democratic former state Senate President Troy Jackson, early voting is up 44 percent. Michigan has also recorded roughly 409,000 more early votes than at the same point in 2022, a 32 percent increase.

马里兰大学民主与公民参与中心(CDCE)表示,美国人提前投票有很多原因。

Why are people voting early?

该中心称,这可能是因为“部分选民认为提前投票在后勤上比选举日投票更方便”,或者他们被“动员”去提前投票。

the University of Maryland’s Center for Democracy and Civic Engagement (CDCE), there are many reasons why Americans are voting early.

CDCE表示:“许多选民表示提前投票是因为对选举感到焦虑,或者有一种想‘赶紧了结’或‘从清单上划掉’的心情,希望尽快完成投票。”

This could be because “some voters find early voting to be more logistically convenient than Election Day voting” or have been “mobilised” to vote early, it said.

该中心补充说,一些选民出于社会或文化原因选择提前投票。它指出,“投票派对”等活动以及庆祝投票的社区活动“试图在特定投票地点营造更具庆祝氛围的环境,尤其是在提前现场投票期间”。

“Many voters report voting early because of anxiety about the election or a feeling of wanting to ‘get it over with’ or ‘cross it off their list’ as soon as possible,” the CDCE said. The centre added that some voters choose to vote early for social or cultural reasons.

虽然早期投票率数据并未显示选民选择了哪位候选人,也无法预示最终结果,但民主党政治策略师塞琳达·莱克本周告诉半岛电视台,许多选民都在寻求变革。

It noted how efforts like “Parties at the Polls” and community celebrations of voting “try to create a more celebratory environment at certain voting locations, especially during early in-person voting”.

“很多选民都在说:‘我要孤注一掷地投给变革,但我希望你们真的能有所作为,’”她说。

While early turnout figures don’t show which candidates voters have chosen or what the final results will be, Democratic political strategist Celinda Lake told Al Jazeera this past week that many voters were looking for change.

“我们大家都真心希望每个人都能拥有更美好的未来,尤其是下一代,”一位年轻选民告诉半岛电视台。

“You got a lot of voters who say, ‘I’m going to do a Hail Mary for change, but I hope you do something,’” she said.

另一位年轻选民将人们对选举兴趣增加的原因归结为社交媒体。“绝对是社交媒体。社交媒体和媒体让投票成为了焦点,”这位选民告诉半岛电视台。特朗普对邮寄投票说了什么?

“We all just really want a better future for everyone, especially like the next generation,” one young voter told Al Jazeera. Another young voter pointed to social media as a reason for the increased interest in the election. “Definitely social media. Social media and the media have put voting in the limelight,” the voter told Al Jazeera.

特朗普多次对邮寄投票的安全性表示怀疑,邮寄投票允许人们通过邮件提前投票。特朗普本人多次通过邮寄方式投票,他引用了已被证伪的说法,声称邮寄投票与大规模选举舞弊有关。

What has Trump said about mail-in voting? Trump has repeatedly cast doubt on the security of mail-in voting, which enables people to vote early by mail.

邮寄选票已实施数十年,研究发现其能提高投票率,目前占美国所有选票的三分之一。

Trump, who himself has repeatedly voted by mail, cited debunked claims of widespread election fraud associated with it.

八个州的州和县官员会将选票寄送到所有已登记选民的家中,选民随后在截止日期前将选票寄回。其余各州仅向申请的已登记选民寄送选票。选民可通过官方选举投递箱退回选票。在一些州,选票必须在选举日前送达投票中心;而在另一些州,只要选举日当天或之前的邮戳为凭,即便选举日后收到也可能被计入。

Mail-in ballots, which have been in place for decades, have been found to increase voter turnout and currently account for a third of all votes cast in the US. State and county officials in eight states send ballots to the homes of all registered voters, who then mail them back before a deadline. The rest of the states send ballots only to the registered voters who request them. Voters may return the ballots through official election drop boxes.

八个州——加利福尼亚州、科罗拉多州、夏威夷州、内华达州、俄勒冈州、犹他州、佛蒙特州和华盛顿州——以及哥伦比亚特区允许所有选举完全通过邮寄方式进行。其中几个州倾向民主党。其他一些州允许小型选举通过邮寄方式进行。

In some states, the ballots have to reach the voting centre by Election Day while in others, ballots postmarked by Election Day but received after it may still be counted. Eight states, several of them Democratic-leaning – California, Colorado, Hawaii, Nevada, Oregon, Utah, Vermont and Washington – as well as the District of Columbia allow all elections to be conducted entirely by mail. Others allow smaller elections to be conducted by mail.

特朗普错误地将他在2020年总统大选中的失利归咎于邮寄选票舞弊。他和他的支持者还反对在新冠疫情期间为扩大邮寄投票而做出的改变。

Trump has falsely blamed his 2020 presidential election loss on mail-in voting fraud. He and his supporters also opposed changes made during the COVID-19 pandemic to expand mail-in voting.

今年3月,特朗普签署了一项行政命令,指示美国邮政局通过设计带有特殊条形码的新信封来控制邮寄投票,以便联邦政府确保选票仅来自合格选民。

In March, Trump signed an executive order directing the US Postal Service to take control of mail-in voting by designing new envelopes with special barcodes that would allow the federal government to ensure ballots are only from eligible voters.

对于中期选举,这一举措将迫使所有州在短时间内采用统一的信封样式。

For the midterms, that move would have forced all states to adopt a uniform envelope style in a short time.

民主党人和活动人士在多个法院对该命令提出挑战,导致从5月到8月出现了一系列反复的裁决。

Democrats and activists challenged the order in several courts, resulting in a series of back-and-forth rulings from May to August.

然而,上个月,最高法院驳回了特朗普要求在本月大选前实施邮寄投票限制的请求。

Last month, however, the Supreme Court rejected Trump’s bid to require the mail-in voting restrictions before this month’s elections.

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