
参议院控制权将于周二揭晓,此前的中期选举周期中,各场竞选充满了背叛、涉嫌选票舞弊,以及唐纳德·特朗普总统对一名共和党候选人臀部的不断赞美。预计几个传统战场州——包括佐治亚州、密歇根州和北卡罗来纳州——将出现胶着局面,但自特朗普崛起以来变得更加可靠地倾向共和党的州,如俄亥俄州和爱荷华州,也出现了势均力敌的竞选。
Control of the Senate is on the line Tuesday, following a midterm election cycle with races marked by betrayal, alleged ballot shenanigans and President Donald Trump’s incessant swooning over the backside of one Republican candidate. Close races are expected in several traditional battlegrounds — including Georgia, Michigan and North Carolina — but also in states that have become more reliably red since Trump’s rise in politics, such as Ohio and Iowa.
甚至在更红的阿拉斯加、堪萨斯和得克萨斯州,也酝酿着比预期更接近的竞争。凸显高风险的是:据追踪公司AdImpact统计,全国参议院竞选在电视和数字广告上的支出已超过34亿美元。共和党目前在参议院以53比47占多数,这意味着民主党需要净增四个席位才能重夺控制权。请在此关注实时选举报道。对特朗普而言,后果重大。
There also are closer-than-expected races brewing in even redder states such as Alaska, Kansas and Texas. Underscoring the high stakes: More than $3.4 billion has been spent on television and digital s in Senate races across the country, according to tracking firm AdImpact. Republicans currently hold a 53-47 majority in the chamber, meaning Democrats would need a net gain of four seats to regain control. Follow live election coverage here. The consequences for Trump are significant.
过去两年,他所属的共和党控制了国会两院,使他能够基本不受阻碍地推行议程。但如果共和党失去参议院,他将需要民主党的配合才能推进立法和任命。民主党将拥有更大权力对政府展开调查。阿拉斯加晚些时候成为一场受密切关注的竞争。据《纽约时报》报道,民主党人玛丽·佩尔托拉的竞选团队及其他民主党人招募了一名同名候选人——丹·J·沙利文——参选,与共和党参议员丹·沙利文同名,佩尔托拉因此受到审视。
For the past two years, his own Republican Party has controlled both chambers of Congress, allowing him to pursue his agenda largely unchecked. But if the Republicans lose the Senate, he’ll need Democratic cooperation to move forward on legislation and appointments. Democrats will have increased power to pursue investigations into the administration. Alaska has emerged late as a closely watched contest. Democrat Mary Peltola is under scrutiny after a New York Times report that her campaign and other Democrats recruited a candidate into the race — Dan J. Sullivan — with the same name as Republican Sen. Dan Sullivan.
这种“堆叠选票”策略被视为在采用排序选择投票且选票上有四名参议院候选人的州内,制造选民混淆的一种方式。佩尔托拉及其竞选团队反复否认招募了这位鲜为人知的沙利文。阿拉斯加投票于美东时间凌晨1点结束。俄亥俄州等州的投票于美东时间晚上7点半结束,参议院争夺战的结果将更早明朗。
The “ballot-stacking” tactic is seen as a way to sow confusion among voters in a state that uses ranked choice voting and has four Senate candidates on the ballot. Peltola and her campaign have repeatedly denied allegations that they recruited the lesser-known Sullivan. Polls close in Alaska at 1 a.m. ET. Clarity about the fight for the Senate will come much earlier in states such as Ohio, where polls close at 7:30 p.m.
东部时间,以及密歇根州,那里最后的投票站将于东部时间晚上9点关闭。在俄亥俄州,共和党参议员乔恩·赫斯特德面临民主党前参议员谢罗德·布朗的强力挑战,两人竞逐JD·万斯未满的参议员任期剩余两年。万斯当选副总统后,赫斯特德去年获任命暂时填补该席位。民调显示俄亥俄州竞争胶着,总统近几周在该州举行了三场集会——以及一场在邻州肯塔基州辛辛那提媒体市场的集会——以助选赫斯特德。
ET, and Michigan, where the last polls close at 9 p.m. ET. In Ohio, Republican Sen. Jon Husted faces a tough challenge from Democratic former Sen. Sherrod Brown in the race to serve the remaining two years on JD Vance’s unexpired Senate term. Husted was appointed to fill the seat temporarily last year after Vance was elected vice president. Polls have shown a close race in Ohio, and the president held three rallies in the state in recent weeks — as well as one in the Cincinnati media market, in neighboring Kentucky — in an effort to boost Husted.
特朗普在集会上不仅宣传赫斯特德作为参议员的工作表现,还夸赞他的体格。特朗普常给人一种在为电影选角的印象,在冲刺阶段,他在俄亥俄州及其他地方反复赞扬赫斯特德的“屁股”。“如果赫斯特德赢了,”一位资深共和党官员上周告诉NBC新闻,“是因为特朗普简直是硬拖着他的屁股冲过终点线的。”还有密歇根州的竞选,以爆炸性音符收尾。
Trump used the rallies not only to promote Husted’s work as a senator, but also to compliment his physique. Trump, who often gives the impression that he is casting for a movie, repeatedly praised Husted’s “ass” in Ohio and elsewhere down the stretch. “If Husted wins,” one senior Republican official told NBC News last week, “it’s because Trump literally dragged his ass over the finish line.”Then there’s the Michigan race, which is ending on an explosive note.
共和党提名人、前众议员迈克·罗杰斯在周日获得了一个惊人的最后时刻背书,来自众议员海利·史蒂文斯,她在8月输掉了挑战罗杰斯的民主党提名。直到周六,史蒂文斯公开和私下都誓言不会违背承诺投票给阿卜杜勒·埃尔-赛义德。民主党人长期因他对以色列的批评而发生冲突,但史蒂文斯的批评近日升级,促使埃尔-赛义德竞选团队发出信号,表示她不再受邀参加他的活动。
The Republican nominee, former Rep. Mike Rogers, scored a surprise last-minute endorsement Sunday from Rep. Haley Stevens, who in August lost the Democratic nomination to challenge him. Stevens had vowed as late as Saturday, publicly and privately, to not break her promise to vote for Abdul El-Sayed. The Democrats had long clashed over his criticism of Israel, but Stevens’ criticism had intensified in recent days, prompting the El-Sayed campaign to signal that she was no longer welcome at his events.
史蒂文斯引用此事作为她倒戈支持罗杰斯的决定理由,引发众议院民主党同僚的愤怒和背叛指责。周二其他值得关注的关键竞选包括缅因州,投票站于晚上8点关闭,共和党参议员苏珊·柯林斯对阵民主党前州参议院议长特洛伊·杰克逊。而在东部时间晚上9点,最后的投票站将在德克萨斯州关闭,该州已有33年没有民主党参议员。
Stevens cited that in her decision to defect to Rogers, sparking outrage and accusations of betrayal from House Democratic colleagues. Other key races to watch Tuesday include Maine, where polls close at 8 p.m., and where Republican Sen. Susan Collins is up against Democratic former state Senate President Troy Jackson. And at 9 p.m. ET, the last polls will close in Texas, which hasn’t had a Democratic senator in 33 years.
共和党现任参议员约翰·科宁在初选决选中败给州检察长肯·帕克斯顿,特朗普大力支持后者,这让竞选气氛骤然升温。民主党对他们的候选人、州众议员詹姆斯·塔拉里科感到振奋,他在民调中保持稳定领先,尽管领先幅度在误差范围内。与此同时,特朗普盟友、科技亿万富翁埃隆·马斯克已斥资至少1.5亿美元支持帕克斯顿。
The race took on a heightened energy after the Republican incumbent, Sen. John Cornyn, lost a primary runoff to state Attorney General Ken Paxton after a heavy push by Trump in favor of the latter. Democrats are excited about their candidate, state Rep. James Talarico, who has maintained steady leads in polls, though within the margin of error. Trump ally and tech billionaire Elon Musk, meanwhile, has spent at least $150 million to back Paxton.