在投票较早结束的州，选举结果可能预示着两党在全国其他地区的众议院和参议院竞选中将表现如何。
Election results in states where voting ends early could indicate how each party will fare in House and Senate races elsewhere in the country.
在选举日，投票站较早关闭、计票较早开始的州，可能为当晚其余时间的走势提供首批具体线索，而国会控制权正处于关键时刻。
On Election Day, states where polls close and ballot counting begins early could offer the first concrete clues for how the rest of the night will go, with control of Congress on the line.
以下是选举之夜前几小时值得关注的投票站关闭时间。所有时间均为东部时间。
Here are some poll closures to watch in the first hours of election night. All times are Eastern.
下午6点：肯塔基州大部分地区和印第安纳州大部分地区 特朗普总统在2024年以15个百分点的优势赢得了肯塔基州第六国会选区，但该选区今年的众议院竞选被非党派选举预测机构评为“势均力敌”。如果民主党候选人、前联邦检察官兼海军老兵扎克·登博击败共和党候选人、医生兼前州参议员拉尔夫·阿尔瓦拉多（获特朗普先生背书），这将显示民主党的整体实力。
6 p.m.: Much of Kentucky and Indiana President Trump won Kentucky’s Sixth Congressional District by 15 points in 2024, but its House race this year has been rated a tossup by nonpartisan election forecasters. If the Democratic candidate, Zach Dembo, a former federal prosecutor and Navy veteran, beats the Republican, Dr. Ralph Alvarado, a physician and former state senator endorsed by Mr. Trump, it would signal Democrats’ strength overall.
印第安纳州向来保守的第五选区，共和党联邦众议员维多利亚·斯帕茨在2024年以约19个百分点的优势获胜，据预测机构分析，她在周二有望保住该席位。但她的领先优势已在该地区收窄，而民主党通常在该地区缺乏竞争力。如果获胜者是她的民主党挑战者、州参议员J.D. 福特，这可能预示着民主党将取得更广泛的胜利。
diana’s traditionally conservative Fifth District, Representative Victoria Spartz, a Republican, won by about 19 points in 2024 and is favored to retain the seat on Tuesday, according to forecasters. But her lead has narrowed the area, where Democrats are usually not competitive. If the winner is her Democratic challenger, State Senator J.D. Ford, it could signal broader Democratic victories.
民主党通常无法在上述任一选区赢得农村白人选民的选票，如果一位或两位民主党候选人获胜，那“将表明我们正以一种将在全国许多类似选区产生连带效应的方式获胜”，众议院多数党超级政治行动委员会（众议院民主党最大的超级政治行动委员会）发言人CJ·沃恩克表示。
Democrats do not usually win votes from rural white voters in either district, and if one or both Democratic candidates prevail, that “would indicate that we are winning in a way that is going to translate across the country in many similar districts,” said CJ Warnke, a spokesman for the House Majority PAC, the biggest super PAC for House Democrats.
如果共和党在任一竞选中获胜，可能意味着该党能够减轻在其他地区的损失。
If a Republican wins either race, it could mean that their party might mitigate its losses elsewhere.
下午7点：佛罗里达州共和党籍州议员重新划分了多个国会选区，以有利于本党。尽管如此，分析人士表示，这些选区中有许多竞争激烈。如果民主党在第七、第九、第十四、第二十二或第二十五选区获胜，可能预示着他们在其他地方的表现也会不错。
7 p.m.: Florida Republican state lawmakers redrew several congressional districts to favor their party. Despite that, analysts say many of these districts have close races. If Democrats win in the Seventh, Ninth, 14th, 22nd or 25th Districts, it could bode well for them elsewhere.
共和党在这些选区获胜，可能意味着该党的重新划分选区努力成功阻挡了民主党在共和党处境艰难的一年里的声势。
Republican victories in these districts could mean that the party’s redistricting efforts successfully blocked a Democratic surge during a difficult year for Republicans.
据分析人士称，共和党有望赢得佛罗里达州的参议员和州长选举。但民主党近期对州长选举抱有希望，民主党提名人大卫·乔利正在挑战共和党籍联邦众议员拜伦·唐纳兹。如果民主党赢得参议员和州长选举，他们将度过一个非常美好的夜晚。
Republicans are favored to win the Senate and governor’s races in Florida, according to analysts. But Democrats have lately been hopeful about the governor’s race where David Jolly, the Democratic nominee, is challenging Representative Byron Donalds, a Republican. If Democrats win the Senate and governor’s races, they are having a very good night.
选民于2026年11月3日星期二在佛罗里达州杰克逊维尔的三一路德教会投下中期选举选票。
Voters cast midterm election ballots at Trinity Lutheran Church in Jacksonville, Florida Tuesday, November 3, 2026.
即使唐纳兹先生或参议院共和党现任议员阿什利·穆迪获胜，民主党可能会发现一些人口群体值得关注。
Even if there is a victory for Mr. Donalds or the Republican incumbent in the Senate, Ashley Moody Democrats may find that some demographic groups bear watching.
美国每个西班牙裔和黑人社区都是独特的，但南佛罗里达这些群体投票方式的重大变化，可能预示着民主党在其他地方的表现，例如詹姆斯·塔拉里科在得克萨斯州参议员竞选中的前景。西班牙裔选民约占得克萨斯州选民的三分之一，是该州关键的摇摆投票群体。
Each Hispanic and Black community in the United States is unique, but significant shifts in how the groups vote in South Florida could indicate how Democrats elsewhere, like James Talarico in the Texas Senate race, will fare. Hispanic voters, who make up about a third of the Texas electorate, are a key swing voting bloc in the state.
下午7点：南卡罗来纳州 南卡罗来纳州第一选区不仅传统上倾向保守，而且还被共和党通过杰利蝾螈式划分选区以进一步有利于本党。尽管如此，分析人士仍将该竞争评为势均力敌。
7 p.m.: South Carolina South Carolina’s First District has not only been traditionally conservative-leaning, but it has also been gerrymandered by Republicans to further benefit their party. Still, the race has been rated a tossup by analysts.
南希·拉科尔是一名民主党籍前海军少将，曾被国防部长皮特·赫格塞斯解职，她在空缺席位的竞选中击败了共和党籍地方议员兼律师珍妮·科斯塔·霍尼卡特，这将表明一位强有力的民主党候选人有可能在该国其他红色领地获胜。但如果霍尼卡特女士获胜，则可能反映出该地区保守派基本盘的实力以及重新划分的选区界线所产生的影响。
Nancy Lacore a Democratic former Navy admiral who was fired by Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth wins the open seat over Jenny Costa Honeycutt a Republican local councilwoman and lawyer, it would signal that a strong Democratic candidate could win in red territory elsewhere in the country. But if Ms. Honeycutt wins, it could reflect the strength of the region’s conservative base and the redrawn district lines.
该州参议院竞选中民主党获胜的几率较小，但达琳·格雷厄姆在竞选期间的领先优势已逐渐缩小；她是在其兄长、参议员林赛·格雷厄姆去世后获任命填补该席位的。如果她败给以民主党身份参选的儿科医生安妮·安德鲁斯博士，那可能意味着共和党将失去对参议院的多数控制权。
The chances of a Democratic victory in the state’s Senate race are slimmer, but the lead held by Darline Graham who was appointed to fill the seat after the death of her brother, Senator Lindsey Graham, has narrowed throughout her campaign. If she loses to Dr. Annie Andrews a pediatrician running as a Democrat, that could mean that Republicans may lose their majority in the upper chamber.
晚上7点：弗吉尼亚州 弗吉尼亚州第二国会选区向来摇摆不定，分析人士称民主党候选人、前众议员伊莱恩·卢里亚被看好翻盘。结果将显示像珍·基根斯这样一位强有力的共和党候选人——她是寻求连任的两届现任议员——能否在民主党声势下幸存。
7 p.m.: Virginia Virginia’s Second District traditionally swings, and analysts said that the Democratic candidate, former Representative Elaine Luria was favored to flip it. The result could indicate whether a strong Republican candidate like Jen Kiggans a two-term incumbent, can survive Democratic momentum.
特朗普先生在2024年曾以五个百分点的优势赢得相邻的第一国会选区，但分析人士称今年该选区的众议院竞选势均力敌。如果民主党籍检察官香农·泰勒击败2007年首次当选的共和党众议员罗布·维特曼，民主党可能将迎来一个大捷之夜。
Mr. Trump won the neighboring First District by five points in 2024, but analysts said the House race there this year was a tossup. If Shannon Taylor a Democratic prosecutor, defeats Representative Rob Wittman, a Republican first elected in 2007, Democrats could be in for a great night.