距离得克萨斯州关键参议院选举投票结束仅剩数小时,局势似乎取决于最后时刻的选民投票率。自1988年劳埃德·本特森连任以来,没有民主党人赢得过得克萨斯州的参议院选举。民主党参议院候选人詹姆斯·塔拉里科似乎有望改写这一历史,击败获得特朗普背书的共和党人肯·帕克斯顿,因为所有民调都显示民主党人领先。
With just hours left for the polls to close in the crucial Texas Senate race, things seem to be boiling down to voter turnout in the final moments. No Democrat has won a Senate race from Texas after Lloyd Bentsen's reelection in 1988. Democrat Senate candidate James Talarico looks set to change that course, defeating Trump-endorsed Republican Ken Paxton, as all polls show the Democrat ahead.
周二投票开始时,得克萨斯州参议院选举已有超过700万张选票通过提前投票投出。预计约300万选民将在选举日当天投票。随着提前投票显示詹姆斯·塔拉里科领先,得克萨斯州共和党策略师认为,扭转局势的唯一办法是在投票最后几小时提高投票率。一位资深共和党策略师对CNN表示,共和党在最后几小时的策略类似于一道“数学题”。
More than 7 million votes have already been cast in the Texas Senate race in advance as polls opened Tuesday. Around 3 million voters are expected to cast their ballots on election day. As early voting indicates a lead for James Talarico, Republican strategists in Texas feel that the only way to turn that around will be to boost voter turnout in the final hours of polling. Speaking to CNN, a top Republican strategist said that the strategy for the Republicans in the final hours is akin to a "math problem."
共和党认为一切取决于最后几小时的投票率得克萨斯州大部分地区在周二投票开始的清晨遭遇大雨,但到下午天气已转晴。据报道,共和党寄希望于最后几小时的投票率,以缩小塔拉里科与帕克斯顿之间的差距,因为提前投票显示民主党人领先。3名NASA宇航员从国际空间站为美国中期选举投票据CNN报道,民主党和塔拉里科的应对策略是集中力量在最后关头推动拉美裔人口占比较大的县份投票。
Everything pivots on voter turnout in the final hours, GOP feelsMost of Texas saw heavy rains in the early hours of voting Tuesday, but by afternoon that had cleared. The GOP is reportedly banking on the turnout in the final hours to close the gap between Talarico and Paxton after early voting indicated a lead for the Democrat.3 NASA astronauts cast votes in US midterm elections from International Space StationAccording to CNN, the counter strategy of the Democratic Party and Talarico is focusing on their last-minute push in counties that have a significant Latino population.
女性选民也受到重视,因为民主党认为她们可能对结果至关重要,尤其是居住在郊区的女性。
Women voters are also given importance, as Democrats feel they could be crucial to the outcomes, especially women living in the suburbs.
“决策日总部”周一表示,詹姆斯·塔拉里科当选美国参议员的概率为61%,将终结该州38年的纪录。塔兰特县选情为何可能至关重要分析人士指出,塔兰特县的民调情况可能对这场备受瞩目的得克萨斯州参议院选举结果起决定性作用。
The Decision Day HQ said on Monday that James Talarico has a 61% chance of being elected to the US Senate, flipping the 38-year-old state record. Why the Tarrant County race could be crucialAnalysts point out that the polling in Tarrant County could be critical to the outcome of the high-profile Texas Senate race.
塔兰特县历史上一直是共和党的大本营,但鉴于塔拉里科在得克萨斯州目前处于有利态势,该县可能成为议席易手的关键地点,CNN报道称。值得注意的是,该县关闭了92个投票站,引发了对选民投票便利性的质疑。民主党人指责此举是一种伎俩,旨在增加选民投票的难度。
Tarrant County has historically been Republican, but amid the favorable current for Talarico in Texas, it could become the site where the seat flips, CNN reports. The county, notably, saw the closure of 92 polling locations, raising questions about voters' access. The Democrats had alleged that it was a ploy to make it harder for voters to cast their ballots.