唐纳德·特朗普总统反复鼓励选民假装他在中期选票上。他们照做了。结果对他和他的共和党来说非常糟糕。
President Donald Trump repeatedly encouraged voters to pretend he was on the midterm ballot. They did. And it went very badly for him and his Republican Party.
周二,选民在摇摆州和共和党大本营都毫不留情地惩罚了特朗普的盟友,让民主党在新罕布什尔州、北卡罗来纳州、俄亥俄州、得克萨斯州,甚至南卡罗来纳州取得关键胜利。特朗普有争议的十年中期重划选区计划似乎适得其反。在佐治亚州,民主党人凯莎·兰斯·博托姆斯成为美国历史上首位当选州长的黑人女性,而得克萨斯州选出民主党人吉娜·伊诺霍萨为其首位拉丁裔州长。
Voters absolutely punished Trump’s allies in swing states and Republican strongholds alike on Tuesday, giving Democrats key victories across New Hampshire, North Carolina, Ohio, Texas, and even South Carolina. Trump’s controversial mid-decade redistricting plan appeared to backfire. In Georgia, Democrat Keisha Lance Bottoms became the first Black woman elected governor in U.S. history, while Texas elected Democrat Gina Hinojosa as its first Latina governor.
据美联社选民民调显示,全国选民都想要变革,调查发现大约四分之三的选民对国家发展方向感到“愤怒”或“不满”。在心中想着特朗普投下选票的人当中,想要表达对这位共和党总统反对的人数,约为想要支持他的人的两倍。
Voters nationwide were in the mood for change, according to the AP Voter Poll, which found that roughly three-quarters of voters feel “angry” or “dissatisfied” with the direction of the country. Among those who had Trump in mind when they cast their vote, about twice as many wanted to express opposition to the Republican president as those who wanted to support him.
大多数受访者也将高昂的生活成本归咎于特朗普政府:约60%的人表示,高于往常的价格“更多是因为特朗普的政策”。特朗普的联盟也出现了裂痕:年轻选民和西班牙裔选民在2024年曾转向支持特朗普,如今似乎正在远离共和党。民主党士气高涨,正着眼于夺取众议院和参议院的多数席位,这将在特朗普面对一个顺从的共和党控制国会、几乎未受制约之后,遏制其权力。
Most also blamed the Trump administration for high costs: about 6 in 10 say higher than usual prices are “more because of Trump’s policies." Trump's coalition was also fraying: Young voters and Hispanics appear to have shifted away from the GOP after warming to Trump in 2024. With undeniable momentum, Democrats were eyeing majorities in the House and Senate, which would curb Trump’s power after he’s faced few limits from a compliant Republican-controlled Congress.
以下是周二中期选举的一些要点:特朗普时代的终结可能已拉开帷幕。周二的选举惨败似乎直接否定了特朗普,他要求全党效忠,却让共和党背负着他极低的支持率、一场不得人心的对伊朗战争,以及让数百万沮丧的美国人承受的飙涨成本,去参加中期选举。事实上,特朗普的政治实力正跌至新低,距离其最后一个任期结束还有约两年。
Here are some takeaways from Tuesday's midterms:The end of the Trump era may be beginningTuesday's electoral beating appeared to be a direct repudiation of Trump, who demanded loyalty across his party and brought Republicans to the midterms saddled by his dismal approval ratings, an unpopular war with Iran, and surging costs for millions of frustrated Americans. Indeed, Trump's political strength is hitting a new low roughly two years before his final term ends.
美联社选民民调证实,选民对这位共和党总统深感不满,约60%的人表示不认可他的工作表现。约70%的选民希望国会对总统职权提供更多制衡。约60%的选民表示,特朗普优先考虑个人利益而非国家利益。
The AP Voter Poll confirms that voters are deeply unhappy with the Republican president, with roughly 6 in 10 saying they disapprove of his job performance. About 70% of voters want Congress to provide more checks and balances on the presidency. And roughly 6 in 10 voters said Trump places a higher priority on his personal interests than the country’s interests.
特朗普押注,他的白人蓝领选民基本盘——以及更多年轻人和有色人种选民的支持——曾推动他在2024年赢得总统大选,如果这些人大量出现投票,就能挽救他的共和党盟友。他押错了。美联社选民民调显示,与仅仅两年前特朗普获胜时相比,年轻人和西班牙裔选民大幅转离共和党。30岁以下选民在2024年大选中对特朗普和副总统卡玛拉·哈里斯的支持率大致持平。
Trump was betting that his base of white working-class voters — and an increased share of young people and voters of color — which fueled his presidential victory in 2024 could save his Republican allies if they show up in great numbers. He was wrong. The AP Voter Poll indicates a substantial shift in young people and Hispanics moving away from Republicans compared to Trump's victory just two years ago. Voters under 30 were about evenly split between Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris in 2024.
但在本次选举中,全国约有70%的同龄选民表示,他们支持所在选区的民主党众议院候选人。与此同时,只有约三分之一的西班牙裔选民表示支持其所在选区的共和党联邦众议院候选人,而大约两年前有约40%的西班牙裔选民投票支持特朗普。全国约有60%的西班牙裔选民表示,他们投票支持所在选区的民主党众议院候选人。
But in this election, about 7 in 10 voters in that same age nationally say they supported the Democratic House candidate in their area. Meanwhile, only about one-third of Hispanic voters say they backed the Republican in their local U.S. House race, while roughly 4 in 10 voted for Trump two years ago. About 6 in 10 Hispanic voters nationally say they voted for the Democratic candidate in their local House race.
这与约70%的西班牙裔选民认为特朗普的政策恶化了美国经济状况相吻合。这种转变将延续到2028年总统大选中,后者将于周三非正式拉开帷幕。民主党全面获胜,濒临控制国会二战以来,众议院和参议院在同一届中期选举中同时易手的情况仅出现过三次:1946年、1994年和2006年。民主党濒临在2026年再次实现这一壮举。
That's as about 7 in 10 Hispanic voters say Trump’s policies have worsened economic conditions in the U.S.Such shifts will echo into the 2028 presidential contest, which unofficially begins on Wednesday. Democrats winning everywhere and on brink of controlling CongressSince World War II, the House and Senate have flipped from one party to the other in the same midterm just three times: 1946, 1994 and 2006. Democrats are on the brink of doing it again in 2026.
他们在几乎所有地方都取得胜利,实现了一场真正具有历史意义的横扫。民主党在佐治亚州、俄亥俄州和得克萨斯州赢得了参议院和州长选举——后两个州是特朗普分别以11和14个百分点优势赢下的。在北卡罗来纳州,民主党籍前州长罗伊·库珀赢得了参议院选举。参议员乔恩·奥索夫在佐治亚州轻松连任,而兰斯·博特姆斯赢得了佐治亚州州长职位。
They are winning virtually everywhere in a truly historic sweep. Democrats won Senate and governor's races in Georgia, Ohio and Texas — the latter two states Trump carried by 11 and 14 percentage points, respectively. In North Carolina, Democratic former Gov. Roy Cooper won the Senate race. Sen. Jon Ossoff easily won reelection in Georgia, while Lance Bottoms won the Georgia governorship.
新罕布什尔州民主党人克里斯·帕帕斯赢得了参议院选举,这将使他成为唯一一位公开出柜的同性恋参议员。在俄亥俄州,前俄亥俄州参议员谢罗德·布朗翻转了一个共和党把持的参议院席位,而前州卫生官员艾米·阿克顿在州长选举中击败了特朗普的亲密盟友维韦克·拉马斯瓦米。民主党的大胜延续到了堪萨斯州,选民选择了民主党人亚当·汉密尔顿——一位初次参选、领导全美最大联合卫理公会教堂的候选人——击败了现任共和党参议员罗杰·马歇尔。
New Hampshire Democrat Chris Pappas won his Senate election, which will make him the only openly gay senator. In Ohio, former Ohio Sen. Sherrod Brown flipped a GOP-held Senate seat, while former state health official Amy Acton beat close Trump ally Vivek Ramaswamy in the governor's race. The Democratic romp continued in Kansas, where voters picked Democrat Adam Hamilton, a first-time candidate who leads the largest United Methodist church in the country, over incumbent Republican Sen. Roger Marshall.
而在民主党长期垂涎的得克萨斯州,37岁的州议员詹姆斯·塔拉里科当选参议员,而伊诺霍萨击败了三届州长。
And in Texas, long an object of desire for Democrats, 37-year-old state lawmaker James Talarico was elected to the Senate, while Hinojosa defeated three-term Gov. Greg Abbott.
格雷格·阿博特。对特朗普而言,最痛苦的打击可能来自南卡罗来纳州,他亲自挑选的候选人、已故参议员林赛·格雷厄姆的妹妹达琳·格雷厄姆,败给了民主党人安妮·安德鲁斯,后者是一名儿科医生,这是她首次竞选公职。共和党目前在参议院以53比47占优。要夺回控制权,民主党必须赢下特朗普2024年获胜的州。两党策略师均认为,民主党有望在众议院赢得多数席位,共和党在本届国会伊始仅以220比215的微弱优势领先。
The most painful blow for Trump may have come in South Carolina, where his handpicked candidate to replace the late Sen. Lindsey Graham, his sister Darline Graham, was defeated by Democrat Annie Andrews, a pediatrician making her first run for office. Republicans currently have a 53-47 advantage in the Senate. To take control, Democrats must win states that Trump won in 2024. Strategists in both parties believe Democrats are on track to win a majority in the House, where Republicans began the current Congress with a slim margin of 220-215.
民主党瞄准的众议院选区超过60个,其中包括许多特朗普以两位数优势获胜的选区。民主党品牌仍需打磨尽管特朗普的声望在2026年大幅下滑,但民主党整体品牌也没什么可夸耀的。这使得该党的主要派系——进步派左翼和自由派至温和派建制派——正在解读周二的选举结果,以在民主党关于党的身份认同的拔河较量中争取任何优势。
Democrats are targeting more than 60 House districts, including many where Trump won by double digits. The Democratic brand still needs workWhile Trump’s standing has cratered in 2026, Democrats’ brand as a whole isn’t much to brag about. That leaves the party’s major factions — the progressive left flank and the liberal-to-moderate establishment — parsing Tuesday’s outcomes to claim any advantage in Democrats’ tug-of-war over party identity.
该党温和派早早迎来良好开局,宾夕法尼亚州州长乔什·夏皮罗和马里兰州州长韦斯·摩尔等高调领导人成功连任。两人均被视为2028年总统大选的潜在人选。
The party’s moderate wing was having a good night early on as high-profile leaders like Pennsylvania Gov. Josh Shapiro and Maryland Gov. Wes Moore won reelection. Both are considered 2028 presidential prospects.
与此同时,佛罗里达州民主党人安吉·尼克松,作为参议院选票上唯一一位自称民主社会主义者的候选人,尽管表现远超预期,仍告落败。
At the same time, Florida Democrat Angie Nixon, the only self-identified democratic socialist on a Senate ballot, was defeated, despite a much stronger-than-expected showing.
尽管如此,若密歇根州民主党参议院提名人阿卜杜勒·埃尔-赛义德击败共和党人迈克·罗杰斯,进步运动将增添一笔光彩。埃尔-赛义德是进步派最高调的候选人,尽管他不认同美国民主社会主义者(DSA)成员身份,也未获该组织背书。
Still, the progressive movement would have a feather in its cap should Michigan Democratic Senate nominee Abdul El-Sayed defeat Republican Mike Rogers in Michigan. El-Sayed is progressives’ highest-profile candidate, although he does not identify as a DSA member nor is he endorsed by the organization.
纽约人选举自称民主社会主义者的佐赫兰·马姆达尼为市长是一回事。
It’s one thing for New Yorkers to elect Zohran Mamdani, a democratic socialist, as mayor.
对于像埃尔-赛义德这样毫不掩饰的进步派人士来说,要在一个帮助特朗普两度当选的长期摇摆州获胜,则是完全另一回事。无论民主党在周二的表现如何,民主党的品牌形象都需要改善。美联社选民民调显示,约半数选民对民主党持“非常”或“某种程度”负面看法,而约60%的选民对共和党持负面看法。
It’s quite another for an unabashed progressive like El-Sayed to carry a perennial battleground state that helped elect Trump twice. The Democratic brand needs help no matter how well the party does on Tuesday. The AP Voter Poll shows that about half of voters have a “very” or “somewhat” unfavorable opinion of the Democratic Party, while about 6 in 10 view the GOP negatively.
特朗普支持的选区重划可能适得其反。去年,特朗普推动人口最多的共和党执政州得克萨斯州重新划定国会选区边界,引发轩然大波。加利福尼亚州州长加文·纽森回应说服本州选民以同样的方式还击。随后,民主党和共和党执政的州纷纷效仿。在此期间,美国最高法院废除了《投票权法案》的部分条款,允许几个南方州重新划定原本由黑人占多数或接近多数的选区。
Trump’s gerrymandering may backfireTrump set off a tempest in Texas last year when he pushed the most populous Republican-run state to redraw congressional boundaries. California Gov. Gavin Newsom answered by persuading his state’s voters to respond in kind. Democratic and Republican states followed. Along the way, the U.S. Supreme Court gutted part of the Voting Rights Act, allowing several Southern states to redraw districts that had been majority- or near-majority-Black.
然而,特朗普支持的选区重划推动并未按共和党的计划进行。从纸面数据看,结果显示净移动九个席位向共和党倾斜。但选区重划意味着将保守派支持者分散到更多选区中。
However, the Trump-backed gerrymandering push is not going as planned for Republicans. On paper, the results suggest a net shift of nine seats to Republicans. But the gerrymandering meant spreading conservative supporters across more districts.
这对佛罗里达州和得克萨斯州等州的共和党在其他选区而言是个坏消息——这些州的共和党计划指望获得拉美裔选民和其他支持特朗普的非白人选民的选票。早期结果显示,这种情况并未发生。在佛罗里达州,民主党众议员贾里德·莫斯科维茨赢得该州第25选区;民主党新人皮娅·丹迪亚赢得第22选区;众议员凯西·卡斯特在该州第14选区成功连任。共和党今春重新划定了这三个选区,意在确保共和党在今秋获胜。
That’s bad news for Republicans in other districts in Florida and potentially in Texas — states where the Republican plan counted on getting votes from Latino voters and other nonwhites who backed Trump in 2024. Early results show that has not happened. In Florida, Democratic Rep. Jared Moskowitz won the state's 25th District; Democrat Pia Dandiya, a first-time candidate, won the 22nd District and Rep. Kathy Castor won reelection in the 14th District. Republicans had redrawn all three districts this spring with the intent of ensuring GOP victories this fall.