知名保守派人士警告称，共和党在周二的惨重失利可能会在未来数年重塑最高法院，他们认为民主党新获得的参议院多数席位可能会阻止唐纳德·特朗普总统用保守派继任者替换克拉伦斯·托马斯或塞缪尔·阿利托大法官。
Republicans’ sweeping losses Tuesday could reshape the Supreme Court for years, prominent conservatives warned, arguing that Democrats’ new Senate majority may block President Donald Trump from replacing Justices Clarence Thomas or Samuel Alito with conservative successors.
佛罗里达州共和党州长罗恩·德桑蒂斯周二晚间在X上写道：“假设共和党在预测市场认为民主党有90%以上胜算的席位上落败，那将产生55个民主党参议院席位。”该帖文浏览量接近400万次。
"Assuming Republicans lose the seats where prediction markets have the Democrats at 90+% to win, that would produce 55 Democrat Senate seats," Florida Republican Gov. Ron DeSantis wrote on X on Tuesday night in a post that was viewed almost 4 million times.
“在特朗普总统任期内确认托马斯大法官和/或阿利托大法官的合格继任者的机会：零。在假设的2029-2033年共和党政府期间确认合格继任者的机会：可能也是零（共和党在28年无法夺回足够多的席位）。”民主党周二晚间掌控了参议院，截至周三中午已持有54个席位。德桑蒂斯在社交媒体上还有多位人士附和，他们解释说，76岁的阿利托和78岁的托马斯几乎不可能被同样保守的被提名人替换。
"Chance of confirming a worthy successor to Justice Thomas and/or Alito during President Trump’s term: Zero. Chance of confirming a worthy successor during a hypothetical GOP admin 2029-2033: probably zero (GOP won’t be able to recapture enough seats in 28)." Democrats took control of the Senate Tuesday night and hold 54 seats as of midday Wednesday, and DeSantis was joined on social media by several others explaining that Alito, 76, and Thomas, 78, will be almost impossible to replace with equally conservative appointees.
美国看到了蓝色浪潮的到来——但严重低估了民主派海啸的规模。曾担任已故最高法院大法官安东宁·斯卡利亚书记员的保守派法律专家埃德·惠兰在X上写道，特朗普在其任期的最后两年实际上已被阻止任命联邦法官或最高法院大法官。
AMERICA SAW THE BLUE WAVE COMING — BUT DRASTICALLY UNDERESTIMATED THE EXTENT OF THE DEM TSUNAMI Ed Whelan, a conservative legal expert who clerked for the late Supreme Court Justice Antonin Scalia, wrote on X that Trump is now effectively blocked from appointing federal judges or Supreme Court justices during the final two years of his term.
惠兰写道：“如果共和党人在2028年当选总统，那位总统在共和党重新夺回参议院之前将无法任命任何大法官或法官。鉴于缺口如此之深，那可能要等到2033年。”惠兰还解释说，大法官在即将到来的“跛脚鸭”会期期间辞职的可能性极低，共和党将很难获得51票。
"If a Republican is elected president in 2028, that president will not be able to appoint any justices or judges until Republicans regain the Senate," Whelan wrote. "Given the deep hole, that might not happen until 2033. " Whelan also explained that a justice resigning during the upcoming "lame duck" session is highly unlikely and Republicans would have a hard time securing 51 votes.
惠兰写道：“如果谢罗德·布朗赢得俄亥俄州席位，他将在12月初宣誓就任参议员，届时参议院将变为52名共和党人对48名民主党人。”“柯林斯和穆尔科斯基不太可能支持特朗普提名的任何人。约翰·科宁、汤姆·蒂利斯和比尔·卡西迪不会急于帮特朗普的忙。还有其他参议员——例如犹他州的约翰·柯蒂斯——会对特朗普急于推动通过的任何人持怀疑态度。”社交媒体上的其他人也表达了类似的看法。
"If Sherrod Brown wins Ohio seat, he gets sworn into Senate in early December, so Senate becomes 52R-48D," Whelan wrote. "Collins and Murkowski would be unlikely to support anyone Trump would nominate. John Cornyn, Thom Tillis, and Bill Cassidy aren’t going to be eager to do Trump any favors. And there are other senators—e.g., John Curtis of Utah—who would be leery of anyone Trump would be eager to push through." Others on social media echoed similar sentiments.
保守派作家汉斯·马恩克在X上回应德桑蒂斯时发帖称：“2033年，克拉伦斯·托马斯将年满85岁，塞缪尔·阿利托将年满83岁。没有理由认为他们不会继续在法官席上保持强劲势头。但更重要的观点绝对成立。没有人能永生，如果这两位伟人最终没有被真正的保守派法官取代，美国将走上其他西方国家的老路。”
"In 2033, Clarence Thomas will turn 85 and Samuel Alito will turn 83," conservative author Hans Mahncke posted on X in response to DeSantis. "There is no reason to believe they won't still be going strong on the bench. But the larger point is absolutely valid. No one lives forever, and if these two great men are not eventually replaced by genuinely conservative justices, America will go the way of the rest of the Western world."
“再说一次，今晚的选举对最高法院的影响是惊人的，”南方浸信会神学院博伊斯学院院长丹尼·伯克在
"Again, the consequences of tonight's election for the Supreme Court are staggering," Denny Burk, the dean of Boyce College at the Southern Baptist Theological Seminary, posted on