
2023年11月4日——2025年10月,在爱荷华州沃伦县举行的一场民主党筹款活动现场异常拥挤,以至于当地党主席吉姆·库尔伯特在食物用尽后不得不点披萨。
Nov 4 - A Democratic Party fundraiser in Warren County, Iowa in October 2025 was so crowded that local party chair Jim Culbert found himself ordering pizza after the food ran out.
“如果没有足够的食物,那也是个好问题,”他回忆起对志愿者们说的话。
"If we don’t have enough food, that’s a good problem," he recalled telling volunteers.
大量的到场者让人提前看到农村美国日益高涨的民主党热情——这片传统上是美国总统唐纳德·特朗普所属共和党坚固的据点。一年后,这股热情帮助民主党在周二的中期选举中取得压倒性胜利。
The big turnout offered an early glimpse of the mounting Democratic enthusiasm in rural America -- traditionally a stronghold of US President Donald Trump's Republican party. A year later, it would help propel Democrats to sweeping victories in Tuesday's midterm elections.
民主党在包括爱荷华、堪萨斯、德克萨斯和威斯康星等农村共和党据点翻下了众议院、参议院和州长席位,这些地区的农民等因特朗普的全球关税政策以及伊朗战争导致的高油价受到严重冲击。
Democrats flipped House, Senate and gubernatorial seats in rural Republican strongholds including in Iowa, Kansas, Texas and Wisconsin, where farmers and others have been hard hit by his global tariff campaign and high fuel prices caused by the Iran war.
这些胜利是在民主党多年努力更积极争夺农村社区之后取得的。过去,民主党在农村地区的支持不断让位于共和党。此次报道基于对16名民主党候选人、竞选工作人员以及政治专家和策划人的访谈。
The victories followed a years-long Democratic effort to compete more aggressively in rural communities, where the party had steadily ceded ground to Republicans, according to interviews with 16 Democratic candidates, campaign staff and political experts and strategists.
民主党策划人表示,这一推动是民主党全国委员会(DNC)更广泛努力的一部分,旨在在长期被忽视的地区展开竞争。与其把资源集中在少数几个摇摆州,DNC将资金投入到每个州党部,并推动在每场选举中推出候选人。
Democratic strategists said that push was part of a broader Democratic National Committee effort to compete in places the party had long neglected. Rather than concentrating resources on a handful of battleground states, the DNC invested in every state party and pushed to field candidates in every race, they said.
“很多农村美国人感到被抛在后面,因为(民主党)没有出现与他们对话,”民主党人丽贝卡·库克在周二击败共和党现任者,赢得威斯康星州第三选区后说。她对路透社表示,“现在没有哪个社区太小,不能去拜访”。
"A lot of folks in rural America feel left behind because (Democrats) haven’t been showing up to talk to people," said Democrat Rebecca Cooke, who unseated the Republican incumbent to win Wisconsin's third congressional district on Tuesday. Now, she told Reuters, "there's no community too small" to visit.
现在的问题是,民主党能否在2028年总统选举周期中保持这些收获。周二的选举被普遍视为对特朗普的否定,而非对民主党的拥抱。
The question now is whether Democrats can hold on to their gains through the 2028 presidential election cycle. Tuesday's election was widely seen as a rebuke of Trump rather than an embrace of the Democratic Party.
共和党周二仍在包括阿肯色州、俄克拉荷马州和内布拉斯加州在内的农村州份赢得了选举。历史表明,由单一政党主导的所谓“浪潮选举”并不一定会转化为两年后该党在总统大选中的胜利。
Republicans still won races on Tuesday in rural states including Arkansas, Oklahoma and Nebraska. And history shows that so-called wave elections dominated by one party do not necessarily translate into a presidential victory for the same party two years later.
三位民主党策略师告诉路透社,为了让他们的胜利成果持久,民主党需要坚持其广泛的选举策略,继续在农村社区及其他已取得进展的地区投入时间和金钱。
To make their gains durable, Democrats will need to stick with their expansive electoral strategy, continuing to invest time and money in rural communities and other areas where they have made inroads, three Democratic strategists told Reuters.
民主党策略师西蒙·罗森伯格表示:“这实质上是对该党近年来运作方式的否定,后者聚焦于六七个州。我们一直在一张非常狭窄的地图上运作——太狭窄了。”根据皮尤研究中心的数据,过去25年来,美国农村选民稳步向共和党靠拢,这是由文化议题和经济政策上的分歧驱动的。
"This was a rejection in essence of the way the party had worked in recent years, which was this focus on six or seven states," said Simon Rosenberg, a Democratic strategist. "We had been operating on a very narrow map -- too narrow." Rural Americans have steadily moved towards the Republican party over the past 25 years, according to Pew Research Center, driven by splits with Democrats on cultural issues and economic policies.
周三在白宫,特朗普向记者承认,伊朗战争导致了他所在政党在中期选举中的失利,但他仍认为这场战争值得打。
At the White House on Wednesday, Trump acknowledged to reporters that the war in Iran contributed to his party's midterm losses but that he still felt the war was worth it.
共和党全国委员会未立即回应关于其党在农村州份失利的置评请求。
The Republican National Committee did not immediately respond to requests for comment on their party's rural-state losses.
深入基层 爱荷华州民主党众议员候选人克里斯蒂娜·博汉南将每周二称为“小城镇周二”,连续11个月每周都深入农村城镇拉票。竞选经理丹·德里斯科尔在电子邮件中表示,她的团队经常听到居民说,以前从未有过政治竞选活动联系过他们。博汉南赢得了该州第一国会选区。
SHOWING UP Every week for 11 months, on what she dubbed "Small Town Tuesday," Iowa Democratic House candidate Christina Bohannan, focused on canvassing rural towns. Her team regularly heard from residents that no political campaign had ever contacted them before, campaign manager Dan Driscoll said in an email. Bohannan flipped the state's first congressional district.
对于她在威斯康星州的竞选,库克表示,她聘请了四名地区现场组织者,敲开了5.4万扇门,其中许多在农村地区,这还不包括全州民主党敲开的门。
For her campaign in Wisconsin, Cooke said she hired four regional field organizers and knocked on 54,000 doors, many in rural areas, in addition to those knocked on by the statewide Democratic Party.
库克、博汉南等农村选区的民主党候选人,力图利用特朗普支持率下滑的机会。路透社/益普索民调显示,10月份特朗普在农村地区的支持率降至45%的新低,低于其任期开始时的60%。
Cooke, Bohannan and other Democratic candidates in rural districts aimed to capitalize on declining support for Trump. Approval of the president in rural areas fell to a new low in October of 45%, down from 60% at the start of his term, according to Reuters/Ipsos polling.
截至周三,在近全部选票已统计完毕的1500多个农村县中,共和党候选人的总得票率比特朗普2024年的得票率低8个百分点。这一数据基于路透社与《今日美国》汇编的选票统计,两家媒体今年合作收集美国参议院和众议院选举的实时结果。
Across more than 1,500 rural counties where nearly all ballots had been counted on Wednesday, Republican candidates were collectively underperforming Trump's 2024 share of the vote by 8 percentage points, according vote totals compiled by Reuters and USA Today, which are partnering this year to collect live election results for US Senate and House races.
民主党国会竞选委员会表示,今年还首次实施了一项争取农村选民参与的计划。
The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee said it also implemented a program for engaging rural voters for the first time this year.
民主党国会竞选委员会发言人凯蒂·史密斯在给路透社的声明中说:“这种地面组织和亲临现场倾听的承诺,是民主党将版图扩展到特朗普以两位数优势获胜的席位的众多原因之一。”
"That ground game and commitment to showing up and listening is one of the many reasons why Democrats have expanded the map into seats Trump won by double digits," DCCC spokesperson Katie Smith said in a statement to Reuters.
艾奥瓦州民主党负责该项工作的弗朗西斯·帕塔诺说,在艾奥瓦州,民主党候选人联合起来,开展了该州自2018年以来首次协调一致的竞选活动。这意味着候选人可以共同出资参与联合组织工作,从而节省成本并提升知名度较低的竞选活动。
STRONGER COORDINATION In Iowa, Democratic candidates united for the state's first coordinated campaign since 2018, said Frances Patano, who ran the effort for the Iowa Democratic Party. That meant candidates could chip into a joint organizing effort that saved on costs and boosted lower-profile campaigns.
帕塔诺说:“通过协调,你可以开展效率高得多的实地项目,因为你们不再为同一批组织者相互竞争。”
"By coordinating, you can run a far more efficient field program because you’re not competing" for the same group of organizers, Patano said.
帕塔诺说,在10月的头两个周末,全州竞选活动的敲门次数几乎是2018年中期选举时的两倍。
In the first two weekends of October, the statewide campaign nearly doubled its door knock attempts from the 2018 midterms, Patano said.
在农村的沃伦县,这项协调计划出资聘请了一名工作人员,由其在县党部办公室每个周末带领六个拉票班次。
In rural Warren County, the coordinated program paid for a staffer who led six canvassing shifts every weekend out of the county's party office.
新增的能力提升了志愿者参与度。卡尔伯特说,在多年来一直组织同一批当地民主党人做志愿者之后,他有时扫一眼敲门拉票者名单会想:“嗯,这一半名字我都不认识。”多年的准备在堪萨斯州,推选亚当·汉密尔顿的努力始于四年前;汉密尔顿是该州近一个世纪以来首位当选的民主党参议员。
The added capacity boosted volunteer turnout. After years of organizing the same local Democrats to volunteer, Culbert said he would glance at a list of doorknockers and think: "Well, I don’t know half these names." YEARS OF PREPARATION In Kansas, efforts to elect Adam Hamilton, the first Democratic senator elected from the state in nearly a century, began four years ago.
2022年,珍娜·雷帕斯成为堪萨斯州民主党主席时,她知道该党需要在一个重度农村化的州取得进展;特朗普在2016年和2020年都以两位数优势赢下了这个州。她聘用了一名全年专职组织者,并将县党部数量从57个增加到68个。
When Jeanna Repass became chair of the Kansas Democratic Party in 2022, she knew the party would need to make inroads in a heavily rural state that Trump won by double digits in 2016 and 2020. She hired a year-round organizer and grew the number of county party chapters from 57 to 68.
雷帕斯说,这一努力“帮助我们激发人们的热情,并把他们组织起来”。
The effort "helped us to stir people’s passions and get them organized," Repass said.
雷帕斯说,今年该党敲开的门比2022年中期选举时多了约50%。她说,值得注意的是,一些志愿者是无党派人士或此前曾投票给特朗普的共和党人。
This year, the party knocked about 50% more doors than they did in the 2022 midterms, Repass said. Notably, some volunteers were independents or Republicans who had previously voted for Trump, she said.
这一策略在周二为汉密尔顿带来了回报,尤其是在西沃德县,那里约有一半合格选民是西班牙裔。汉密尔顿在西沃德以13个百分点的优势获胜,这与2024年相比发生了巨大转变;当年特朗普以39个百分点的优势赢下该县。
That strategy paid dividends for Hamilton on Tuesday, particularly in Seward County, where about half of eligible voters are Hispanic. Hamilton won by 13 points in Seward, a dramatic shift from 2024 when Trump won the county by 39 points.
“我们不是飞越之地,”汉密尔顿在周二深夜的胜选演讲中说道,现场爆发出巨大欢呼声。“我们是美国的心脏。”路透社
"We are not flyover country," Hamilton said in his victory speech late on Tuesday night, to huge cheers. "We are the heart of America." REUTERS