
德国工商会周四将欧洲最大经济体2026年的增长预期从0.3%上调至1%,但警告称,这种扩张主要由债务融资的公共支出驱动。
The German Chamber of Commerce and Industry on Thursday raised its 2026 growth outlook for Europe's largest economy to 1% from 0.3% but warned that the expansion is largely being driven by debt-financed public spending.
该游说团体首席执行官海伦娜·梅尔尼科夫在声明中说:“政府正在基础设施和国防方面投入资金,出口提供了一些顺风。我们距离自我维持的增长还有很长的路要走。”
"The government is spending money on infrastructure and defence, and exports are providing some tailwind. We are still a long way from self-sustaining growth," said the chief executive of the lobby group, Helena Melnikov, in a statement.
在对2.3万家德国企业的调查中,26%的受访者将目前的经营状况评为良好,较初夏上升了三个百分点,而23%的公司将其评为不佳。
In its poll of 23,000 German businesses, 26% of respondents rated their current business situation as good, up three points from early summer, while 23% of companies rated it as poor.
分析人士普遍认为德国正在走出长期的放缓,但许多人不愿称这种复苏为自我维持的,因为私人投资依然疲软。
Analysts broadly agree that Germany is emerging from a prolonged slowdown, but many stop short of calling the recovery self-sustaining because private investment remains weak.
德国政府预计经济将在2026年增长1.3%、2027年增长1.1%,而工商会预计2027年增长1%。
The German government expects the economy to grow by 1.3% in 2026 and 1.1% in 2027, while the chamber of commerce sees 2027 growth at 1%.
尽管伊朗冲突导致价格上涨,以及美国关税带来的不确定性,德国经济表现出了韧性,第三季度增长了0.2%。
Despite higher prices due to the Iran conflict and uncertainty caused by US tariffs, the German economy has shown resilience and grew by 0.2% in the third quarter.