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油价下跌、AI交易降温,印度股市迎来近六年来最大外资流入India stocks draw biggest foreign inflow in nearly six years as oil falls, AI trade cools

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2024年10月22日,印度孟买,人们走过国家证券交易所(NSE)外。路透社/弗朗西斯·马斯卡雷尼亚斯/资料照片People walk outside the National Stock Exchange (NSE) in Mumbai, India, October 22, 2024. REUTERS/Francis Mascarenhas/File Photo

外资周四净买入印度股票16亿美元,为近六年最大单日买入,油价下跌及AI相关股票回调提升了印度的吸引力。

M, Bharath Rajeswaran Foreign investors bought a net $1.6 billion of Indian stocks on Thursday, their biggest daily purchase in nearly six years, as falling oil prices and a retreat from AI-linked shares boosted India's appeal.

据初步交易所数据,海外投资者买入1479.6亿卢比股票,为2021年2月24日以来最多,那次买入2873.9亿卢比,包含一笔大型由内部人推动的交易。

Overseas investors bought 147.96 billion rupees of shares, provisional stock exchange data showed, the most since February 24, 2021, when purchases of 287.39 billion rupees included a large promoter-driven block deal.

此次买入发生在美国中期选举后油价大幅下跌之际,同时人工智能相关股票的抛售促使全球基金重新调整持仓。

The buying came as oil prices fell sharply after the U.S. midterm elections, while a selloff in artificial intelligence-related stocks prompted global funds to rebalance their exposure.

作为主要石油进口国,印度今年表现落后于新兴市场同行,原油价格高企引发经济前景担忧,而AI相关股票相对较少也令投资者望而却步。

India, a major oil importer, has underperformed emerging-market peers this year as elevated crude prices raised concerns over the economic outlook, while its relative lack of AI-linked stocks kept investors away.

但随着油价下跌和投资者重新审视拥挤的AI交易,分析师表示印度资产可能迎来第二轮关注。

But with oil prices falling and investors reconsidering crowded AI trades, analysts said Indian assets could get a second look.

“我们认为,加速盈利、估值偏低以及外资持股比例较低,使印度成为一个有吸引力的机会,”安联全球投资印度股票组合负责人Anand Gupta表示。

"In our view, accelerating earnings, below-average valuations and low foreign ownership make India an attractive opportunity," said Anand Gupta, lead portfolio manager for India equity at Allianz Global Investors.

在美股中期选举结果明朗之前,外资已选择性转为买入。过去五个交易日,外资净买入印度股票2083.5亿卢比(22亿美元)。

Foreign investors had selectively turned buyers even before the US midterm election results became clear. They have bought a net 208.35 billion rupees ($2.20 billion) of Indian stocks over the past five sessions.

这标志着与外资通过十月净卖出创纪录的300亿美元印度股票形成鲜明对比。

That marks a sharp reversal after foreign investors sold a record $30 billion of Indian equities through October.

周四,印度基准指数Nifty 50(.NSEI)和Sensex(.BSEN)分别上涨2.4%,收于24536.6和79310.01点。这两个指数在过去六个交易日累计上涨超过8%,为一年来最长连涨,缩小了与新兴市场同行的表现差距。

The Nifty 50 (.NSEI) and Sensex (.BSEN) jumped 2.4% on Thursday to 24,536.6 and 79,310.01, respectively. The benchmarks have gained more than 8% over six sessions, their longest winning streak in a year, narrowing their underperformance against emerging-market peers.

“印度股票有望维持正走势,”Motilal Oswal Financial Services财富管理研究主管Siddhartha Khemka表示。

Indian equities should maintain their positive trajectory, said Siddhartha Khemka, head of research for wealth management at Motilal Oswal Financial Services.

凯姆卡表示:“美国中期选举的结果进一步提振了全球市场情绪,市场预期贸易和关税政策将更为温和,同时美元走弱,10年期美国国债收益率也出现回落。”

"The US midterm election outcome has further lifted global sentiment, with expectations of a more measured approach to trade and tariffs, alongside a weaker US dollar and the 10-year US Treasury yield easing," Khemka said.

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