全美共和党人在2026年中期选举前重新划分国会选区以谋取自身利益，但在大多数地方未能为本党带来席位增益。周四发布的一项分析显示，情况本可能更糟。
Republicans across the country redrew congressional maps for their benefit ahead of the 2026 midterms, but it failed to yield them gains in most places. An analysis shared Thursday shows it could have been worse.
南卡罗来纳州和印第安纳州的共和党人均否决了推行有利于共和党、可能消灭所有民主党席位的选区图，当时民主党人将此视为其争夺众议院多数党地位斗争中的一场胜利。
South Carolina and Indiana Republicans both rejected efforts to implement GOP-friendly maps that could eliminate all Democratic seats, which Democrats at the time took as a win in their fight to retake the House majority.
但非党派选举预测机构“决策台总部”（DDHQ，系《国会山报》合作伙伴）的一项新分析显示，若这些选区图获批，极可能对共和党适得其反，反而导致民主党取得更大幅度的增益。
But a new analysis from nonpartisan election forecaster Decision Desk HQ (DDHQ), a partner of The Hill, shows that, if these maps had passed, they likely would have backfired badly for the GOP and led to even larger gains for Democrats.
DDHQ的分析发现，将南卡罗来纳州的众议院选票套用到拟议的重新划分方案中，民主党本将赢得该州七个国会选区中的三个——尽管该选区图旨在让共和党赢下所有席位。在现行选区图下，民主党候选人赢得了两个席位。
Applying House votes in South Carolina to the proposed redraw, Democrats would have won three of the state’s seven congressional districts — despite the map intending to elect Republicans to all of them, DDHQ’s analysis found. Democratic candidates won two seats on the current map.
周二晚间，南卡罗来纳州民主党展现出惊人实力，民主党人安妮·安德鲁斯击败了参议员达琳·格雷厄姆（共和党）。根据DDHQ测算，安德鲁斯在拟议选区图下本将拿下五个选区。
Palmetto State Democrats showed surprising strength Tuesday night as Democrat Annie Andrews defeated Sen. Darline Graham (R). Andrews would have carried five districts under the proposed map, according to DDHQ.
在印第安纳州，套用州务卿全州选举的结果，民主党本将赢得所有九个重新划分的选区——这些选区同样设计为共和党横扫。在现行选区图下，印第安纳州民主党最终赢得了三个选区。
diana, applying the results from the statewide election for secretary of state, Democrats would have carried all nine of the redrawn districts — also designed for a GOP sweep. Democrats in Indiana ultimately won three districts on the current map.
今年印第安纳州州务卿竞选异常高调，博·贝伊（民主党人，前民主党参议员埃文·贝伊和伯奇·贝伊之子）以九个百分点的优势赢得该职位。
The Indiana secretary of state’s race was unusually high-profile this year, as Beau Bayh (D), son of former Democratic Sens. Evan Bayh and Birch Bayh, won the race by nine points.
这些重新划分选区的提案成为共和党内部争议的焦点，起因是印第安纳州几名共和党州参议员阻挠了特朗普总统推动的选区调整。作为回应，特朗普支持初选挑战者对抗投反对票的参议员，许多现任议员因此落败。
The redistricting proposals were the center of controversy in Republican politics after a few GOP state senators in Indiana blocked the map changes President Trump pushed for. In response, Trump backed primary challengers to the senators who voted against the map, and many of the incumbents lost.
在南卡罗来纳州，共和党人曾考虑通过重划选区将众议员吉姆·克莱伯恩（民主党-南卡罗来纳州）挤出选区，尽管面临总统的压力，但最终决定放弃。
In South Carolina, Republicans considered drawing out Rep. Jim Clyburn (D-S.C.) but ultimately decided against it, despite pressure from the president.
许多州确实在中期选举前完成了重新划分选区，包括佛罗里达州、得克萨斯州、北卡罗来纳州和田纳西州。决策台总部（DDHQ）发现，这些州的选区图并未带来共和党预期的收获。
Many states did end up redistricting ahead of the midterms, including Florida, Texas, North Carolina and Tennessee. Maps in those states did not deliver the gains they expected, DDHQ found.
佛罗里达州共和党人试图通过重划选区翻转四个民主党席位，结果一席未得。得克萨斯州共和党人本想为共和党新增五个席位，却仅赢得一个额外席位，反而失去了两个原有席位。
Florida Republicans tried to flip four Democratic seats with a redraw and got zero. And while aiming to draw five new seats for the GOP, Texas Republicans won just one additional seat and lost two others.
北卡罗来纳州共和党人推动新版选区图，试图在第一国会选区击败众议员唐·戴维斯（民主党人）。戴维斯成功连任，共和党在“松柏州”几乎每个国会选区的得票率都仅比民主党高出几个百分点。
North Carolina Republicans pushed to maps to try and oust Rep. Don Davis (D) in the 1st Congressional District. Davis held on, and the GOP came within a couple points of losing every congressional seat in the Tar Heel State.
俄亥俄州共和党人的新选区图本应将两名民主党籍现任议员挤出选区，但两人均成功连任，民主党反而在“七叶树州”翻转了另外三个席位。
Ohio Republicans’ new map should have drawn out two Democratic incumbents, but both held on, and Democrats flipped three other seats in the Buckeye State.
在田纳西州，共和党虽然以微弱优势翻转了目标席位，但在第四国会选区，共和党现任议员在几乎所有选票统计完毕的情况下仍落后——该选区在2024年大选中特朗普以24个百分点的优势获胜，原本不被视为民主党的攻坚目标。
And in Tennessee, while Republicans did narrowly flip the seat they targeted, the GOP incumbent in the 4th Congressional District is trailing with nearly all votes counted — a seat Trump won by 24 points in 2024 that was not thought to be a Democratic target.