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民主党大败重塑州权力版图Democratic thrashing redraws the map of state power

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威斯康星州议会民主党少数党领袖格蕾塔·纽鲍尔在民主党同僚的簇拥下发表讲话,支持扩大新妈妈医疗补助覆盖范围以及乳腺检查保险覆盖范围的措施,讲话于2026年2月18日星期三在威斯康星州麦迪逊的州议会大厦举行的新闻发布会上进行。Democratic Wisconsin Assembly Minority Leader Greta Neubauer, surrounded by Democratic colleagues, speaks in support of measures to expand Medicaid coverage for new mothers and insurance coverage for breast exams at a news conference in the state Capitol on Wednesday, Feb. 18, 2026, in Madison, Wis.

周二,蓝色浪潮席卷全国各州议会,带来的政治和政策影响将持续多年。

The blue wave crashed through statehouses across the country Tuesday — carrying political and policy ramifications that will reverberate for years.

民主党翻转了500多个州议会席位,并至少控制了12个议院,在密歇根、亚利桑那、宾夕法尼亚、明尼苏达、威斯康星和内华达州建立了新的执政三连胜。他们在得克萨斯、佐治亚和北卡罗来纳州拿下了长期由共和党议员主导的议院。在纽约、加利福尼亚和伊利诺伊等深蓝大本营,他们还赢得了更多议会席位。

Democrats flipped more than 500 state legislative seats and won control of at least a dozen legislative chambers, establishing new governing trifectas in Michigan, Arizona, Pennsylvania, Minnesota, Wisconsin and Nevada. They captured legislative chambers in Texas, Georgia and North Carolina — states long dominated by Republican lawmakers. And they picked up even more legislative seats in deep blue strongholds like New York, California and Illinois.

这些胜利让民主党有机会推进在住房成本和公共教育方面长期搁置的议程,并在对富人、企业征税和监管人工智能的博弈中获得新的筹码。他们的收获还将重塑全美的选区重划之争,并检验民主党能否将其由反感情绪推动的胜利转化为选民在日常生活中能感受到的变化。

The victories give Democrats an opening to pursue long-stalled agendas on housing costs and public education, along with new leverage in fights over taxing wealthy people and corporations and regulating artificial intelligence. Their gains will also reshape the country’s redistricting wars — and test whether Democrats can turn their backlash-fueled victories into changes voters can feel in their daily lives.

“我们遇到了一个世代难遇的机会,去改变各州的权力格局并推动变革,我们做到了。”民主党立法竞选委员会主席希瑟·威廉姆斯说,“我们大获全胜。这太不可思议了。”这场胜利的规模具有历史意义。在纽约,民主党有望取得自1846年以来最大的州参议院多数优势,当时他们的竞争对手是辉格党。在得克萨斯州,他们自2002年以来首次赢得州众议院控制权。

“We had a generational opportunity to shift the power in our states and to affect change and we did just that,” Democratic Legislative Campaign Committee President Heather Williams said. “We ran the table. It's amazing.”The scale of the victory is historic. In New York, Democrats are on track for their biggest state Senate majority since 1846, when they were running against the Whigs. In Texas, they won the state House for the first time since 2002.

亚利桑那州将出现自1960年代以来首次民主党执政三连胜。民主党还翻转了佐治亚州众议院,这是现代时期民主党在深南部夺回的第一个议院。总体而言,该党赢得的席位比自1974年水门事件后选举以来的任何一年都多。

Arizona will have its first Democratic trifecta since the 1960s. And Democrats flipped Georgia's House, the first chamber Democrats have taken back in the Deep South in the modern era. Altogether, the party won more seats than in any year since the post-Watergate campaign of 1974.

这是自2010年共和党在全国范围内重创民主党、夺得近700个州议会席位并翻转20个议会控制权以来,州府权力版图发生的最剧烈变化。共和党在随后几年利用这一权力巩固保守派政策,并在全国大片地区重划选区版图以利于己。

The gains represent the most seismic change in state capitals since Republicans shellacked Democrats nationwide in 2010, picking up nearly 700 state legislative seats and flipping 20 chambers. They used that power in the ensuing years to entrench conservative policies and redraw legislative maps in their favor in wide swaths of the country.

以威斯康星州为例,共和党那一年囊括所有全州范围选举的职位,并控制了参众两院,为在随后十年推行深远的保守派议程、重塑该州铺平了道路。周二,民主党翻转了该州两院的控制权。

Wisconsin Republicans, for example, swept every statewide office and won control of both legislative chambers that year, clearing the way to enact a far-reaching conservative agenda that remade the state over the ensuing decade. On Tuesday, Democrats flipped both legislative chambers.

威斯康星州众议院少数党领袖格蕾塔·诺伊鲍尔(Greta Neubauer)表示:“这对威斯康星州和全国来说都是一个不可思议的时刻。”她预计明年将出任议长。“我们将利用这份权力为本州人民办实事,证明政府可以成为他们生活中的一股善的力量,并展示民主党执政时情况会有所不同。”

“This is an incredible moment for the state of Wisconsin and the country,” said Wisconsin Assembly Minority Leader Greta Neubauer, who’s expected to become speaker next year. ”We are going to use this power to deliver for the people of our state and demonstrate that government can be a force for good in their lives and things are different when Democrats are in charge.”

近年来,民主党在州府选举中稳步夺回权力,包括在特别选举和弗吉尼亚州2025年立法选举中赢得31个席位,这些选举均在唐纳德·特朗普重返白宫后举行。根据民主党立法竞选委员会(DLCC)的数据,周二选举后,民主党现在控制至少51个州立法议院的微弱多数,高于特朗普2016年首次就职时的29个。

Democrats have been steadily clawing their way back to power in state capitals in recent election cycles, including picking up 31 seats in special elections and Virginia’s 2025 legislative elections after Donald Trump returned to the White House. After Tuesday, they now control a narrow majority of at least 51 state legislative chambers, up from 29 when Trump first took office in 2016, according to the DLCC.

但新掌权的民主党州议员将面临充满挑战的政治和经济环境:选民因钱包缩水和政府失职,对两党当选官员均感到愤怒。

But newly empowered Democratic state lawmakers will face a challenging political and economic landscape with voters angry at elected officials of all partisan stripes as they face pocketbook woes and government failings.

资深明尼苏达州共和党策略师格雷格·佩平曾在本周期参与州参议院竞选工作,他表示,那里的选举结果主要取决于选民最愤怒的是什么:民主党执政下该州发生的大规模欺诈丑闻,还是一位极不受欢迎的总统。最终,民主党将其在州参议院的多数席位优势扩大了五席,并赢得了州众议院的控制权。

Veteran Minnesota Republican strategist Gregg Peppin, who worked on state Senate races this cycle, said the results there largely hinged on what voters were most angry about: the state’s massive fraud scandals under Democratic governance, or a deeply unpopular president. Ultimately, Democrats padded their state Senate majority by five seats and won control of the House.

佩平说:“显然,我们发现选民对唐纳德·特朗普的厌倦程度超过了对欺诈的愤怒。我想大家都累了,共和党人也是。是时候翻篇了。”

“Clearly we found out they were more fed up with Donald Trump than they were with fraud,” Peppin said. “Everybody’s just worn out from the guy, I think Republicans too. It’s just time to turn the page.”

在亚利桑那州,众议员奥斯卡·德洛斯桑托斯有望在明年菲尼克斯立法机构复会时出任众议院议长。他表示,鉴于长期处于政治边缘地位,他们已规划了强有力的议程。“我们积压了六十年的想法无法推进,”他说。“我们准备了一大批法案随时可以提交。”议程项目包括:禁止企业房东购买住宅、打击基于人们过往购买记录的监控定价,以及解决该州严重的水资源问题。

In Arizona, Rep. Oscar De Los Santos, who’s poised to become speaker of the House when lawmakers reconvene in Phoenix next year, said they have a robust agenda planned given their long time in the political wilderness. “We have sixty years of pent-up ideas that we have not been able to move,” he said. “There's a bunch of legislation that we've got ready to go.”Among the items on the agenda: banning corporate landlords from buying homes, cracking down on surveillance pricing based on people’s past purchases and addressing the state’s massive water woes.

德洛斯桑托斯表示,民主党将严厉打击利用亚利桑那州水资源种植苜蓿用于出口的沙特阿拉伯拥有的农场。

De Los Santos said Democrats would crack down on Saudi-owned farms using Arizona water to grow alfalfa for export.

另一个重点目标是:遏制该州的全民教育券计划,该计划允许家庭动用纳税人的钱不仅用于支付私立学校学费,还可用于其他教育相关开支。德洛斯桑托斯指出,公共资金已被用于支付滑雪旅行、厨房装修甚至内衣费用。

Another top target: reigning in the state’s universal education voucher program, which allows families to tap taxpayer dollars not only for private school tuition, but also for other education-related expenses. De Los Santos points out that public dollars have been used to pay for ski trips, kitchen remodels and even lingerie.

“这太疯狂了,已经失控了,”他说。“这个项目在维多利亚的秘密上花费了数千美元,我们要终止这一切荒唐事,把资金转投公立学校。”周二,民主党还在已经拥有“三权合一”的州进一步巩固了多数优势。共和党遭遇重创,例如在芝加哥郊区,民主党翻转了一系列州立法机构席位——这些席位此前由温和派和保守派共和党人持有——进一步削弱了共和党在该地区曾经强大的影响力。

“It’s insane. It is out of control,” he said. “You've got literally thousands of dollars spent at Victoria's Secret from this program and so we're going to put an end to all of that nonsense and redirect those funds to our public schools.”Democrats also juiced their majorities Tuesday in states where they already enjoyed governing trifectas. Republicans took a beating, for example, in Chicago’s suburbs, with Democrats flipping a string of state legislative seats — held by both moderates and conservatives — and further shrinking the GOP’s once-formidable presence in the region.

共和党在伊利诺伊州议会至少丢掉八个席位,包括六个由在任议员持有的席位和两个空缺席位。这次惨败进一步扩大了民主党在两院的超级多数优势:他们将在众议院118个席位中占据84个,在参议院59个席位中占据45个。

Republicans lost at least eight seats in the Illinois General Assembly, including six held by sitting lawmakers and two open seats. The drubbing further expands Democrats’ supermajorities in both chambers: They’ll now hold 84 out of 118 seats in the House and 45 out of 59 seats in the Senate.

“这意味着民主党不必在立法问题上试图向中间靠拢,而中间才是绝大多数选民所在的地方,”州共和党众议员丹·乌加斯特说。他代表芝加哥最西部的郊区,是周二落败的共和党人之一。

“It means Democrats don’t have to try to work toward the middle [on legislation], which is really where the vast majority of the electorate is,” said state GOP Rep. Dan Ugaste, who represents Chicago’s far western suburbs and was among the Republicans who lost Tuesday.

乌加斯特将共和党的失利部分归因于“更多”民主党人投票,而非2022年中期选举时的投票率。他还指出,民众对经济的不满以及对特朗普政府期望落空也是原因。

Ugaste attributed the GOP losses, in part, to “many more” Democrats turning out than they did in the 2022 midterms. He also pointed to frustration with the economy and unmet expectations from the Trump administration.

“政府第一天就说,他们要改善每个人的经济状况,”乌加斯特说。“而宏观经济——企业有订单,每个人都还在工作——处于良好状态,但让人担忧的是,人们是否买得起货架上的商品。”在加利福尼亚州和纽约州,民主党人也有望显著扩大其已占主导地位的立法多数席位。在萨克拉门托,他们控制了州议会75%的席位,但随着选票仍在统计中,预计将把多数席位再增加至少四个。在纽约,民主党人有望再赢得至少14个席位,使其控制213个席位中的158个。

“The administration said on day one that they were going to improve everyone's economic situation,” Ugaste said. “And while the macro economy — businesses have orders, everyone's still employed — is at a good place, what’s hurting is whether people can afford what’s on the shelf.”In California and New York, Democrats are also poised to significantly expand their already dominant legislative majorities. In Sacramento, they control 75% of seats in the state Assembly, but with votes still being tallied they’re expected to pad that majority by at least four more seats. In New York, Democrats are poised to win at least 14 additional seats, giving them control of 158 out of 213.

甚至有早期猜测认为——当最终结果统计完毕、选举尘埃落定后——州立法机构中可能现在有足够的支持来实施基于普选的总统选举制度。

There’s even early speculation that — when the final results are tabulated and the electoral dust settles — that there might now be sufficient support in state legislatures to implement a presidential election system based on the popular vote.

这些胜利还使民主党州立法者有机会帮助定义该党进入2028年的议程。

The wins also put Democratic state lawmakers in a position to help define the party’s agenda heading into 2028.

“[我们]需要开始向所有人展示民主党的本质、我们能够完成什么以及我们如何领导,”DLCC的威廉姆斯说。“但我们也在一个预计至关重要且异常激烈的民主党初选背景下这样做,届时全国各地的选民将能够对民主党领导人是谁以及我们将走向何方留下自己的印记。”

“[We] need to begin to show everyone what Democrats are made of and what we're able to accomplish and how we lead,” said the DLCC’s Williams. “But also we're doing that in the context of what is expected to be a critically important and incredibly robust Democratic primary, where voters around the country are going to be able to put their mark on who the leader of the Democratic Party is going to be and where we go.”

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