
新西兰惠灵顿——数十名新当选议员将于本周开始抵达新西兰议会,尽管该国在大选后面临数周的等待,才能知晓谁将组建政府。初步结果显示,现任中右翼阵营仅以微弱优势领先。
WELLINGTON, New Zealand -- Dozens of newly elected lawmakers will start to arrive at New Zealand's parliament this week, even as the country faces a weekslong wait to learn who will govern after an election that left the incumbent center-right bloc with a razor-thin lead.
初步结果显示,总理克里斯托弗·拉克斯顿领导的国家党、新西兰行动党和新西兰优先党在131个议席的议会中共获得67个席位,比组建多数政府所需的66席仅多一席。
Preliminary results gave Prime Minister Christopher Luxon's National Party, ACT New Zealand and New Zealand First 67 seats in a 131-seat parliament, one more than the 66 required for a majority.
但近40万张选票(约占总票数的14%)尚未计数,官方结果要等到11月27日才会公布。拉克斯顿和工党领袖克里斯·希普金斯均表示,将在最终结果出炉前,不启动正式的联合组阁谈判。
But almost 400,000 votes, or around 14 percent of the total, have yet to be counted, and official results are not due until Nov. 27. Both Luxon and Labour leader Chris Hipkins have said they would wait for final results before entering formal coalition negotiations.
这一胶着结果给新当选立法者带来了一段不确定期,其中包括来自中间派机会党的7名议员。该党首次跨越5%得票率门槛进入议会。
The tight result has created a period of uncertainty for incoming legislators, including seven from the centrist Opportunity Party, which crossed the 5 percent threshold to enter parliament for the first time.
机会党领袖、政坛新人黄琪莲(Qiulae Wong,音译)若最终计票改变选情,可能成为关键人物。她表示,党团正在惠灵顿开会,开始为进驻议会做准备。
Opportunity leader Qiulae Wong, a political newcomer who could become pivotal if the final vote changes the outcome, said her caucus was meeting in Wellington to begin preparing for parliament.
黄琪莲在记者会上说,她已接到希普金斯和绿党共同领袖克洛伊·斯瓦布里克的电话,但尚未收到其他领袖(包括拉克斯顿)的联系。“我相信他说过马上就会打来,”她补充道。
Wong told a press conference that she had received calls from Hipkins and Green Party co-leader Chloe Swarbrick but had not heard from any other leaders, including Luxon. "I believe he said he was going to call shortly," she added.
此次大选凸显了选民对两大主导政党的不满,支持率流向政治光谱两端的小党,选民寻求解决疲软经济、成本上涨和医疗体系紧张等问题的新出路。工党在政党票中略微领先国家党,但国家党赢得足够多的选区席位,使其三党联盟勉强保持领先。
The election has underlined voters' frustration with the two dominant parties, with support flowing to smaller parties across the political spectrum as voters looked for new solutions to problems, such as the weak economy, rising costs and strained healthcare. Labour narrowly led National in the popular vote, but National secured enough electorate seats to keep its three-party bloc marginally ahead.
“归根结底,我们要打选民发给我们的牌。这些牌会是什么,我们还不知道,”尚未承认败选的希普金斯周一表示。希普金斯说,他依然乐观地认为最终计票结果可能对左翼有利,如果真是这样,他希望能在圣诞节前组建政府。
"At the end of the day, we play the cards that the voters have dealt us. We don't yet know what those cards are going to show," Hipkins, who has not conceded the election, said on Monday. Hipkins said he remains optimistic the final vote count could favor the left, and if it does, would like to see a government in by Christmas.
投资者正密切关注政治不确定性,特别是考虑到新西兰元面临压力,以及财政政策走向存在疑问。
Investors are watching the political uncertainty closely, particularly given pressure on the New Zealand dollar and questions about the direction of fiscal policy.
新西兰大华银行首席经济学家凯利·埃克霍尔德表示,随着该国确定选举结果,市场在未来几周将处于紧张状态,汇率将成为特别关注的焦点。
Kelly Eckhold, chief economist at Westpac Bank in New Zealand, said markets would be on edge over the next couple of weeks as the country worked out the result, with the exchange rate a particular focus.
“大概率我们最终会得到某种中右翼政府。问题是:它是否需要机会党(TOP)的支持?为了达成这一点,需要达成哪些协议?”他说。
"The likelihood is that we will end up with some sort of center-right government. The question will be: Will it require the support of TOP (Opportunity)? And what will be required to be agreed to be able to get there?" he said.
新西兰财政部长妮可拉·威利斯周六晚间失去议席后,经济咨询公司Infometrics首席经济学家布拉德·奥尔森表示,目前更大的问题是谁将成为下一任财政部长。
After New Zealand Finance Minister Nicola Willis lost her seat on Saturday night, Brad Olsen, chief economist at economic consultancy Infometrics, said the bigger question at the moment was who is going to be the next finance minister.
威利斯将继续任职,直到四周后她的部长授权到期,随后在总督同意下,看守政府内部的其他人将接任该职务,直到新政府组建完成。
Willis will remain in the job until her ministerial warrant expires in four weeks' time and then the role will be taken on by someone else within the caretaker-government following agreement from the Governor General until a government is formed.