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白宫对本周俄乌和平谈判持谨慎乐观态度White House cautiously upbeat about Russia-Ukraine peace talks this week

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这张2025年制作的拼图展示了特朗普总统、乌克兰总统弗拉基米尔和俄罗斯总统弗拉基米尔·普京。图片:Andrew Caballero-Reynolds/AFP via Getty ImagesThis combination of pictures created in 2025 shows President Trump, Ukrainian President Volodymyr and Russian President Vladimir Putin. Photo: Andrew Caballero-Reynolds/AFP via Getty Images

美国官员周一表示,随着俄罗斯与乌克兰本周在阿布扎比重启和平谈判,白宫对此持“谨慎乐观”态度。

The White House is "cautiously optimistic" as peace talks between Russia and Ukraine resume in Abu Dhabi this week, U.S. officials said on Monday.

为何重要:周二和周三的会谈将是自2月以来各方首次在美国调解人出席的情况下会面。此前的谈判因伊朗战争而中断。

Why it matters: The talks on Tuesday and Wednesday will be the first time the parties have met with U.S. mediators present since February, when they were suspended due to the war in Iran.

  • 白宫特使史蒂夫·威特科夫和贾里德·库什纳数周来一直努力说服俄罗斯总统弗拉基米尔·普京重启谈判。特朗普总统及其团队希望,在美国解除对俄罗斯柴油销售的制裁并采取其他受莫斯科欢迎的措施后,普京会更愿意妥协。

• White House envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner have worked for weeks to convince Russian President Vladimir Putin to restart negotiations. President Trump and his team hope Putin will be more willing to compromise after the U.S. lifted sanctions on Russian diesel sales and took other steps welcomed by Moscow.

  • “我们与普京建立的关系将在这些谈判中发挥关键作用,”一名美国官员说。

• "The relations we have built with Putin will be instrumental in these negotiations," a U.S. official said.

  • 一名美国官员表示,在阿布扎比会谈结束后,威特科夫和库什纳可能会前往莫斯科和基辅,直接与普京和泽连斯基交谈。

• After the meetings in Abu Dhabi, Witkoff and Kushner may travel to Moscow and Kyiv to speak directly with Putin and Zelensky, a U.S. official said.

不过:各方立场仍然相距甚远,尤其是在乌克兰可能做出的领土让步问题上。俄罗斯对乌克兰城市的袭击不断升级,普京拒绝同意停火,这让人们对取得实质性进展的前景产生怀疑。

Yes, but: The parties remain far apart, particularly over potential territorial concessions by Ukraine. Russia's escalating attacks on Ukrainian cities and Putin's refusal to agree to a ceasefire have cast doubt on prospects for meaningful progress. Behind the scenes:

幕后情况:美国官员表示,过去两周,威特科夫和库什纳每天与俄罗斯和乌克兰官员通电话,有时一天多次,为即将举行的会谈做准备。

Over the last two weeks, Witkoff and Kushner had daily phone calls — sometimes multiple times a day — with Russian and Ukrainian officials to prepare for the upcoming talks, U.S. officials said.

各方表态:周一向记者通报情况的美国官员语气积极,尽管欧洲和乌克兰对普京是否愿意结束战争持怀疑态度。

What they're saying: U.S. officials who briefed reporters on Monday struck a positive tone despite skepticism in Europe and Ukraine about Putin's willingness to end the war.

  • “有机会朝着达成协议取得重大进展,并努力弥合分歧,”一名美国官员说。“让各方回到谈判桌并不容易,作为调解人,我们看到了有希望的迹象。”

• "There is a shot to make significant progress towards a deal and to try and bridge the gaps," a U.S. official said. "Getting the parties back to the table wasn't easy to do and we see promising signs as mediators."

  • 这名官员还说,威特科夫和库什纳希望利用会谈来“明确”普京和泽连斯基将不得不做出的决定。

• The official added that Witkoff and Kushner want to use the talks to "crystallize" the decisions Putin and Zelensky will have to make.

新闻驱动:阿布扎比会谈将聚焦两个轨道:

Driving the news: The talks in Abu Dhabi will focus on two tracks:

  • 由美国欧洲司令部司令阿莱克修斯·格林凯维奇上将领导的军事工作组将讨论战后停火监督和安全安排。该工作组在2月上一轮会谈中在这方面取得了重大进展。

• A military working group led by the commander of U.S. European command, Gen. Alexus Grynkewich, will discuss post-war ceasefire monitoring and security arrangements. The working group made significant progress on this front during the last round of talks in February.

  • 一个政治工作组,聚焦最敏感的议题:领土要求。2月这一问题没有取得进展。

• A political working group that focuses on the most sensitive topic: territorial demands. There was no progress on this issue in February.

当前态势:双方公开立场均未松动。俄罗斯要求控制整个顿巴斯地区,而乌克兰坚持按当前前线划分领土。

State of play: The two sides haven't budged publicly. Russia is demanding control over the entire region of Donbas, while Ukraine insists that territory be divided based on current front lines.

  • 不过,美国官员私下表示,近几周双方在领土问题上“展现出了一点灵活性”。

• In private, though, U.S. officials say that both sides "have shown a little bit of flexibility" on the territorial issue in recent weeks.

  • 他们表示,在达成安全保障之前,不可能就领土问题达成协议。

• They say an agreement on territory won't be possible until security guarantees are reached. The big picture:

大局:威特科夫和库什纳邀请北约、欧盟以及欧洲四大强国——英国、法国、德国和意大利——的高级官员前往阿布扎比,在俄乌谈判间隙举行单独讨论。

Witkoff and Kushner invited senior officials from NATO, the EU and four major European powers — the UK, France, Germany and Italy — to Abu Dhabi to hold separate discussions on the sidelines of the Russia-Ukraine negotiations.

  • 乌克兰的欧洲盟友将在任何战后安全安排中发挥关键作用。

• Ukraine's European allies will play a key role in any post-war security arrangements.

  • 美国还希望启动欧洲国家与俄罗斯之间的第三轨道谈判,以开辟缓解紧张局势、避免冲突的新途径。

• The U.S. also wants to start a third track of negotiations between European countries and Russia to create new ways of easing tensions and avoiding conflict.

  • 但许多欧洲国家对这一想法高度怀疑。他们认为这认可了俄罗斯的一种叙事,即欧洲对莫斯科构成安全威胁,并担心这会导致北约被削弱。

• But many European countries are highly suspicious of the idea. They believe it endorses a Russian narrative that Europe is a security threat to Moscow and worry it will result in weakening NATO.

  • 美国官员强调,拟议的欧俄安全倡议不会取代或削弱北约及其在保护欧洲方面发挥的核心作用。

• U.S. officials stress that the proposed Europe-Russia security initiative would not replace or diminish NATO and the central role it plays in protecting Europe.

  • 但他们表示,欧洲与俄罗斯之间达成新的安全协议将有助于结束乌克兰战争。

• But a new security agreement between Europe and Russia would help end the war in Ukraine, they say.

  • 一名美国官员表示,威特科夫和库什纳希望俄方同意在阿布扎比会谈之后的下一轮和平谈判中纳入欧洲代表。乌克兰官员表示,他们在会谈中有三个优先事项:

• A U.S. official said Witkoff and Kushner hope Russians will agree to include European representatives in the next round of peace talks after Abu Dhabi. What to Ukrainian officials say they have three priorities for the talks:

  • 达成一项缓和黑海紧张局势并允许粮食出口的协议。

• Clinching a deal to de-escalate tensions on the Black Sea and allow grain exports.

  • 在冬季到来前达成停止袭击乌克兰发电厂和俄罗斯炼油厂的协议。

• Reaching an agreement to stop attacks on Ukrainian power plants and Russian oil refineries before the winter.

  • 组织特朗普、普京和泽连斯基的三方峰会,可能在下个月于迈阿密举行的G20峰会期间举行。

• Organizing a trilateral summit between Trump, Putin and Zelensky, possibly during the G20 summit in Miami next month.

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